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  1. M4L;

    Here’s the score, as I see it:

    -As Lech said, the bet was made on a very specific subset of the larger argument. Literally immediately after I made the bet, I realized that I mis-understood the problem, and Lech was gentlemenly enough to let me off it. I owe him a Jameson.

    -Lech mis-understood my calculation on the roll of the die. He later understood my point.

    -The remaining isue is the use of statistics/distribution. I think that this comes down to an apples/oranges situation. I have said that Lech’s method is correct in calculating the probability of one event/(one party if you will). My point is that this probability does not correspond to the “odds”, if one was to bet on this issue repeatedly, and my dice calculation was an example of that. One has to determine the underlying distribution.

    -Finally, there is an exceedingly high probability that some folks on this OT enjoyed my admitting I made a mistake 😉

  2. I did hear that DH.

    Weird, right? Honestly don’t care, because Fornino is not somewhere I go but perhaps it will improve with someone new in charge. For pizza, I go to Franny’s, Lucali and Campo di Fiori.

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