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Competition is heating up amongst developers as all the new towers started during the boom years are beginning to come on the market. Unfortunately for developers, an inconvenient thing happened with the mortgage industry — it crashed. The time when buyers could put as little as nothing down on their mortgage is over; now they are expected to come up with 20 percent. “Developers better have a good product if they want to sell,” commented Halstead Director Bill Ross. First-time home buyers, without the equity from the sale of their previous property, will have the toughest time meeting the new requirements, he said. In some places, prices will have to drop. We decided to play a game of comparison shopping for two bedrooms, and a few other options with more space, all priced between $600K and $700K. Pretend you’ve got $140,000 burning a hole in your savings account. Scores of new condos are on the market all vying for your attention; the borough is your oyster. Which one do you choose…

The first choice is a four-room condo at The Crest in Park Slope along burgeoning Fourth Avenue, quick walking distance from transportation and two of the borough’s best retail and restaurant strips. This sprawling duplex in Bushwick (er, East Williamsburg) has two floors, a private garden and a working fireplace. Or you could give up some space to live in the real Williamsburg and have everything you could possibly want at your doorstep. This even smaller condo in Downtown Brooklyn’s BridgeView Tower is literally right next to the bridges into Manhattan, saving you money on cab fare, has SubZero appliances and a “cascading waterfall” in the lobby. Or you could snag an extra bedroom at the lofty Washington Condos in Prospect Heights, an up-and-coming neighborhood and right near Atlantic Yards. And then there’s always the fuhgeddabout-Brooklyn option, this two-family home with an above-ground pool and double curb cut in Lodi, New Jersey. Which one is it?

David Leonhardt of The New York Times advised in a column Monday that you answer none of the above. While he chose to finally buy a place in Washington, he said New Yorkers should invest their down payment for now until the rent ratio (see link, it involves math) decreases. His philosophy as “an evangelist for renting” has been that once you add in the closing costs, repairs, property taxes, mortgage principal, mortgage interest, and other monthly bills if you own a condo or co-op, you might be earning more on your $140,000 down payment if it were invested in something besides real estate.
As Home Prices Drop, Committed Renter Buys (in Washington) [NY Times]


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  1. slopenick,

    There is not a cause and effect relationship between perceived and real risk. It is just that on those occasions when there *is* a significant divergence between the two, there is created an opportunity to profit if you can spot the divergence.

    Sometimes, the market is right.

  2. Funny thing about Bed Stuy…everything was worse whether it be 5, 10 or 15 years ago than it is today. Yet, property prices continued upwards. Arguably the highest appreciation from a certainly lower base has been in Bed Stuy over the past 5-6 years. Yet,there’s no other place you can get a quality brownstone on a quality block in the range of $200-350 per sq. ft.

    I’m looking for investors for additional buildings. We’ll also be bringing more services into the neighborhood.

  3. re: “NO ONE is buying in Bed Stuy now”.

    I just read some of the best stock market advice I’ve ever seen, and I believe the same is true about real estate: the real level of risk in the market is actually inversely proportional to the perceived level of risk. With people like you talking values down, Bed Stuy might actually become…….. a good value. Prices in Park Slope may be holding up better than Bed Stuy, but that helps the seller, not the buyer.

  4. These are just assumptions. The 7% is what the 30 year jumbo fixed rate is and I assume interest only. Most apartments in what some would consider the most desirable areas are not eligible for Fannie or Freddie. The maintenance doesn’t change the math very much. What the model says is that if my assumptions are correct, $1000 / square foot is way too much and to make the implied rent work it would need to be 700-800 / square foot.

    BTW, on Bankrate.com. 30 yr fixed = 6.02%
    30 year jumbo fixed = 7.2%

  5. “NO ONE is buying in Bed Stuy now”.

    Amazing that you were able to assemble that statistic from total thin air.

    Also amazing are the THOUSANDS of families raising their children in BS now, and for the last 50 or so years, producing thousands of tax paying, go to work everyday, non criminal citizens, just like everywhere else. How bout that!

  6. Bed Stuy is a really bad place to live if you have $800k to spend 1:12pm. The resale value in Bed Stuy will be nonexistent.

    Anyone who chooses to raise a family in that environment needs to have their head examined. Especially considering the asinine amounts people are paying to live in those neighborhoods

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