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  1. Money moves first into places where it’s easy to move. It moves more slowly where it is harder to transact. It’s like friction. Or liquid finding the same level in two vessels, one of which has a large opening for water to pour into and the other a small one.

  2. If it’s something that’s on the tip of a trader’s tongue when you say “commodity” and it’s something that is traded in an easily accessible liquid market, I’m guessing it’s too late.

    Just think of stuff that will cost more when inflation takes off. Then ask yourself if the cost has already gone up. Ask yourself if it’s easy to buy, and therefore an easy play for your average dumb trader.

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