June 25, 2008

Latest S&P Numbers: Surprise! They Ain't Good

The Journal reports that the most recent S&P/Case-Shiller indexes, which covered home-price trends in 20 major metropolitan areas through April, show home prices dropping 15.3 percent in the past year—a record decline. The continued devaluation of residential real estate across the country set home prices back to where they were a whole three years ago, even though eight of metropolitan areas included in the index showed a bit of improvement over March of this year. There was no region studied, however, that did not post a year-over-year decline in prices. Vegas and Miami saw the biggest price drops between April '07 and April '08, while Charlotte and Dallas fared the best. The New York region was somewhere in the middle, with a year-over-year decline of 8.4 percent and a 1.3 percent dip between March '08 and April '08. "There might be some regional pockets of improvement," said David M. Blitzer, chairman of Standard & Poor's index committee, though "on an annual basis the overall numbers continue to decline."
Home-Price Gains Are Erased, Now Stand at 2004-2005 Levels [WSJ]
Graphic from the Wall Street Journal.

Posted by Gabby at 9:28 AM | Comments (140)
Categories: National RE Market

June 10, 2008

Bearish Bob Toll: No One Wants to Look 'Like a Schmuck'

Well, leave it to Bob Toll to cast storm clouds over a Bloomberg news article that contains a slightly positive piece of news—the index of pending home sales rose 6.3 percent in April—about the national housing market. "What people are most scared of is looking like a schmuck," said Toll, who believes the housing slump will last another two to three years, at a conference in New York last week. "What do I want to buy a home for and next year be looking at 10 percent less asset?'' Economists, meanwhile, incorrectly predicted that the index of pending home sales would actually fall slightly in April. Either way, no one's taking the news as a sure sign that housing is on the rebound, or that there's going to be a substantial dent in the 5 million or so unsold homes on the market, or that the foreclosure rate is going to take a nosedive anytime soon.
U.S. Economy: Pending Sales of Existing Homes Unexpectedly Rise [Bloomberg]
Photo by david.

Posted by Gabby at 9:00 AM | Comments (97)
Categories: National RE Market

June 2, 2008

Dear Owner: I'm Not That Into Your Pad

By now you've probably read the Times article about negotiating for a home by sending a letter explaining a lowball offer; it's been one of the top e-mailed stories on the paper's web site for a couple days. In it, Rob Lieber drafts sample letters from both the buyer's and seller's sides. Apparently, epistolary haggling is all the rage nowadays in places where the market's tanked. Here's part of the pretend buyer's letter:

Dear Seller:

I’m writing to let you know that I would like to make a bid on your property. I love the area and am committed to buying a house nearby. And your home fits my needs. But given that my offer is well below your asking price, I also feel I owe you an explanation. First, consider the big picture. Nationwide, home prices in the first quarter of 2008 fell 14.1 percent compared with the same period a year earlier, according to the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index. That’s the biggest decline in the 20-year history of the data. And just in case you’re wondering, during the housing downturn of the early 1990s, the decline was never worse than 2.8 percent. Not only that, earlier this month, the National Association of Realtors pointed to the huge number of existing homes on the market. As of the end of April, the total number was 4.55 million. At the rate people are buying right now, that represents an 11.2-month supply. So buyers have options right now. A lot of them. I’m no different. Your home is great, but it isn’t unique...

Whoa! It's a crazy letter-writing jungle out there. Anyone heard of this happening here?
Negotiating for a House? Start With ‘Dear Seller’ [NY Times]
Photo by The Fuzzy Squid.

Posted by Gabby at 9:31 AM | Comments (60)
Categories: Market, Money, National RE Market