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Ratner's Yards Bonds Rated 'Barely' Investment Grade

barclays-center-120209.jpg
On the heels of last week's eminent domain ruling, Forest City Ratner took another step towards realizing its vision for a basketball arena in Brooklyn when Moody's Investor Service gave the $500 million in tax free bonds being used to finance the Barclays Center a crucial investment-grade rating. According to a largely positive story in Crain's yesterday afternoon, "the “Baa3” rating reflects several factors, including the strength of New York City as a media market, existing sponsorship support for the team, the large amount of equity the developer and its partner are putting in the project and strong reserve funds." And check out this quote in The Times from a vice president at Moody's: “The lawsuits are not an issue as far as the rating is concerned. The rating assumes that the lawsuits will be settled and that the project will move forward." A more skeptical article in the New York Observer noted that while technically investement-grade, the bond rating was only one step above junk level, reflecting significant risk factors like relocation, weak team finances and "uncertain demand for premium seating." And Atlantic Yards Report points out that the Moody's rating assumes 225 events per year but Ratner's on record as predicting only 200. Crain's says that bond sales are expected to begin sometime this week.
New Nets Arena Wins Another Court Challenge [NY Times]
Moody's Gives $500M in Nets Bonds Thumbs Up [Crain's]
Nets Arena Wins Needed Bond Rating, Mostly [Observer]
Atlantic Yards Debt Gets Rated [The Bond Buyer]



66 Comments

By BrooklynIsHome on December 2, 2009 9:15 AM

A Baa3 rating is but a slip on a banana peel to a speculative rating, ie. JUNK. In order for the bonds to maintain this barely investment grade rating, everything has to fall in line perfectly.

At the end of the day, what will Brooklyn get? A championship basketball team. The team now known as the Nets has not been a contender since the days of the old ABA. Ridding a community of blight? Well we'll have to see what the changes are to the actual railyard, the sole site of blight in this area? More parking...just what Prospect Heights needs. More traffic congestion? You betcha. Jobs for community residents? None and longer term jobs will be seasonal and minimum wage. A community whose health as reflected by a strong real estate pricing and projects? Gone! Marty Markowitz's vision? Limited.

Absolutley priceless!

By fsrg on December 2, 2009 9:18 AM

Who the hell cares what the bonds are rated - if they sell, its a go, if they dont, its a no......

By jessibaby on December 2, 2009 9:21 AM

Anyone know what the bonds are backed by?

By CG_ups on December 2, 2009 9:27 AM

aren't the nets 0-18? they're off to the worst start in NBA history!

fqrg - the rating is important bc it determines the cost of funding/financing. the lower the rating, the more expensive the interest they are paying on the debt.

jessi - would guess these are senior unsecured, no? if they are secured, then this is an extra crappy rating. would think that if they are secured though, it would be by the assets (the actual land/project).

By jessibaby on December 2, 2009 9:37 AM

CG - yeah, just looked at the Bond Buyer article. Backed by PILOTS generated by stadium revenues.

By STARGAZER on December 2, 2009 9:48 AM

oh goodie, just what that crowded area of Brooklyn needs, a basketball arena.

By antidope on December 2, 2009 9:51 AM

Go Nyets.

By Johnny on December 2, 2009 9:52 AM

The question is what are the taxpayers of New York PAYING to RENT an 0-18 team?

Answer - several times what it would cost to buy the actual team outright. Thanks Bloomberg. More welfare for billionaires.

By benson on December 2, 2009 9:55 AM

Well, if the Nets are losers, then DDDB should love them!!

How's their track record in court?

By FtGreeneCorey on December 2, 2009 9:58 AM

The fact that the bond are "barely" investment grade is irrelevant...they are investment grade....period. This is the rating that FCR and Goldman Sachs realistically hoped to get and they got it, and the same rating, oh by the way, that the new Yankee Stadium and Citi Field received. The bonds will sell. They fact that the team is 0-18 is also irrelavant. The Nets have been clearing salary cap room for years in order to be a contender by the time they get to Brooklyn. Lebron or not, they are in a position to make a serious run at Dwayne Wade, Chris Bosh and Amare Stoudemire in 2010, and Carmelo Anthony in 2011. By the time they get here, they will be a playoff caliber team...no doubt.

By havelc on December 2, 2009 10:03 AM

The Nets are an up-and-coming team. I know that sounds silly on its face given their record, but they have a lot of very good and very promising first, second and third year players. The reason they suck is that they have intentionally starved their team for money the last two years and not signed any big name or veteran players.

The reason being: this off-season, they will have more cap space than any team in the NBA to go after what will be the best free agent class in the last 15 years.

As a basketball fan-- and not a citizen-- I am definitely looking forward to how this team comes together over the next couple years.

By havelc on December 2, 2009 10:04 AM

FtGreeneCorey, you just beat me to it! But yes, I agree. The Nets will be an exciting team in 2010-2011 and beyond.

Good point about Yankee Stadium/ Citi Field.

By DitmasSnark on December 2, 2009 10:08 AM

> Anyone know what the bonds are backed by?

I'm guessing about as much as those issued by Dubai World.

I believe the technical term is "bupkis."

By havelc on December 2, 2009 10:15 AM

I know we all gripe about what to do with this space and how to pay for it... but can I just ask if anyone else is embarrassed when they drive/ walk from Flatbush/Atlantic to Prospect Park?

That stretch should be one of the proudest parts of Brooklyn as you come up to the park, yet it's run-down and thoroughly lacking in charm and personality. It's certainly not pre-Disneyfied West/East Village charming. It's not even Williamsburg raggedy-chic, it's just raggedy.

Please don't respond with a comment of the arena is out of scale or the money is whack-- I'm just talking big picture here and not about the arena specifically. At what point do you simply have to try something bold?

By fsrg on December 2, 2009 10:17 AM

CG-ups - I dont care what the cost to finance is, its irrelevant to me - if the Bonds get bought, Ratner builds, if they don't, it won't

The Bonds are backed by the revenue of the arena - instead of paying taxes, the arena will be making bond payments - PILOTS

By fsrg on December 2, 2009 10:21 AM

havelc - are you new - here is the talking point response (even if it is totally false)

'Yes I am embarrassed that Ratner took a organically developing neighborhood and purposely blighted it for his greedy pursuit of taxpayer money, we want the area to develop and it could have if only the city wasnt bought and sold to Bloomberg's cronies like Ratner. ' blah,blah, blah blah'

long and short havelc - this subject is well past rational discussion

By DitmasSnark on December 2, 2009 10:23 AM

> instead of paying taxes, the arena will be making bond payments

Shall we add tax evasion to the list of flaws this project contains?

By fsrg on December 2, 2009 10:32 AM

Ditmas - I assume you are being provacative - but it isnt evasion, since it is part of the deal - and a good one at that I might add...
While you may moan and groan about the lack of taxes AY will pay for the next 25 yrs (I believe) - the reality is that the weeds and uhaul lots that existed there before, barely paid any taxes either....so unlike the normal Goverment MO which takes the $ today and puts the tax burden on our children, our children will eventually see the tax coffers filled by the taxes from a billion dollar arena, in a place where there would otherwise be essentially zero taxes coming in. (BTW this is also how 421(a) works and why in about 10 years NYC property tax revenues will skyrocket)

By Polemicist on December 2, 2009 10:43 AM

fsrq:

The same communists who oppose AY undoubtedly support commercial rent control. If that passes, NYC and especially Brooklyn will be finished. Property tax revenue and values will plummet.

On a side note - why are these bonds being downgraded? It isn't due to lack of demand for housing, it is due to political uncertainty. Why would anyone risk investing in a city ruled by communists?

By havelc on December 2, 2009 10:51 AM

fsrg-- I'm there with you. And yes, it might be too much for Brownstoner posters to understand that tax exempt bonds don't destroy value or cost the city money (it's not a tax cut, it's an abatement).

Here's what I was trying to get at:

Not having grown up in this country, the thing that always strikes me as strange about Americans is that they're very penny-wise and pound foolish, which is very strange to me because growing up in Europe we always thought that Americans were very big-picture oriented.

Big projects and big sweeping changes (whether an arena, investment in a train line or increased taxes in a business improvement district or the creation of a special economic zone) rarely make money on their own, but in conjunction with other things they can improve the economic standing and quality of life of an area. Everything builds on everything else, making new things possible.

The problem with AY, admittedly is that it isn't part of a bigger vision, but my only point is that for a place like Brooklyn, a big vision is needed. It should be the great American city of the 21st century but it's too caught up in sniping itself to death over b.s. like Bjork putting in new windows.

By fsrg on December 2, 2009 10:53 AM

the "small business survival act" (the ironic name for commercial rent control) will not kill NYC (it will hurt) what it will do is destroy small businesses - no LL will ever rent to any business that has under 100 employees - since such businesses are not covered by law...and if the LL is forced to rent to a small business it will charge higher rent.....essentially the Act should be named...The End of Small Business (except those that already have leases) Act.

By havelc on December 2, 2009 10:57 AM

Polemiscist-- if only the city were run by Communists! I'm only half joking, because in Denmark we are run-- pretty much-- by Communists... the only advantage is that at least someone is in charge. If the city wants to build a public works project or a soccer stadium, they figure out a way to do it (involve the community better than the AY people), figure out something sensible and do it.

The biggest problem with the AY project is how no-one is in charge. There are years of lawsuits, fights and problems over stuff that should have been ironed out in a few months.

In a socialist country you would have gotten the Frank Gehry design and gotten it a year and a half ago.

In the everyone-is-a-special-snowflake world of Brooklyn, you get years of fights, millions of dollars wasted on legal fees and years of bad will built up as thousands of people became bitter over a long fight... you STILL end up with a stadium, just a crappier one which will cost the same amount.

By benson on December 2, 2009 11:03 AM

"In the everyone-is-a-special-snowflake world of Brooklyn"

Havelc;

You are a breath of fresh air on this site!!!!! Excellent!!!!!!

By DitmasSnark on December 2, 2009 11:07 AM

> but it isnt evasion, since it is part of the deal - and a
> good one at that I might add...

Sorry, your argument that it is somehow good that the arena does not pay taxes for 25 years makes no sense. Fill those coffers as soon as they start doing business, not 25 years from now.

By DitmasSnark on December 2, 2009 11:09 AM

> Why would anyone risk investing in a city ruled by communists?

You heard it hear first, folks. Billionaire Bloomberg is a Communist!

By Brooklyn Chicken on December 2, 2009 11:14 AM

TWO HUNDRED EVENTS PER YEAR. Oh my god. Please, this is not about basketball.

By DitmasSnark on December 2, 2009 11:21 AM

TWO HUNDRED EVENTS PER YEAR that will apparently generate no tax income for the city for 25 years...

By fsrg on December 2, 2009 11:26 AM

"Sorry, your argument that it is somehow good that the arena does not pay taxes for 25 years makes no sense. Fill those coffers as soon as they start doing business, not 25 years from now."

Really? it makes no sense???? or are you just being pig-headed for fun?

I think you can see that it makes perfect "sense" - If your argument is that other development (that would pay more total taxes) would have taken place anyway - that is valid argument (one I do not agree, but at least intellectually valid) or if you oppose AY for other reasons fine - BUT unless your math skills are at a pre-K level you can certainly understand that

$0 taxes < $0 (for 25yrs) + Lots of taxes (after 25yrs)

By DitmasSnark on December 2, 2009 11:31 AM

> Really? it makes no sense???? or are you just being
> pig-headed for fun?

The point is that it should never have been part of the deal.

> $0 taxes < $0 (for 25yrs) + Lots of taxes (after 25yrs)

Or, something else gets built during those 25 years that does pay taxes. An even better equation, no?

By East New York on December 2, 2009 11:35 AM


More traffic congestion? You betcha.

-The area is served by mass transit and commuter rail lines. A percentage of fans will use these means to travel to and from games. Will there be traffic? Yes. Will people adapt? Certainly. Madison Square Garden, in a more heavily congested area, seems to do fine.

Jobs for community residents? None and longer term jobs will be seasonal and minimum wage.

- The arena will also create economic opportunities for retailers large and small who can develop innovative products/services/locations that rely on fans attending games. The quality of that retail may be open to debate, but one thing is certain - that economic activity does not exist in this area presently.

A community whose health as reflected by a strong real estate pricing and projects?

-Healthy for whom? People who can afford the market-rate housing or the luckier-than-you, never-gonna-move rent-control, rent-stabilization forces that inhabit the area? Because no one outside of these two groups would be able to afford to live in the area even before the arena project began.

By havelc on December 2, 2009 11:40 AM

DitmasSnark-- you're right, the best possible situation is that someone moves it to that whole area earns as much money and pays taxes for 25 years. That is not under dispute.

Tax exempt bonds only cost cities money if the opportunity cost (someone else building something that would pay taxes) exceeds the cost of maintenance and liability costs for the city in the period between when the bonds are issued and when the alternative company would come along and develop.

NYC has consistently, over the last 20 years, made the bet that waiting costs more than short-term tax abatement.

By be_rude on December 2, 2009 11:47 AM

Just because snark is part of your alias doesn't mean you always need to spout off provocative drivel without first actually reading/thinking yourself.

fsrg already acknowledged that IF your argument is other, tax-paying development will come organically, then that is intellectually valid, so your "contribution" @11:31 adds nothing.

And while I'm at it, I echo the kudos for havelc. Brilliant!

By Sparafucile on December 2, 2009 11:48 AM

QUOTE "The arena will also create economic opportunities for retailers large and small who can develop innovative products/services/locations that rely on fans attending games."

Can you cite examples of sports arenas that have generated such economic spillover?

Based on what I've read, and have observed first hand in areas like River Avenue across from Yankee Stadium, there is exceedingly little of the type of economic opportunity you anticipate.

By DitmasSnark on December 2, 2009 11:54 AM

> Just because snark is part of your alias..

Be true to your moniker, be_rude, be true. And thanks for adding oh so much to the conversation.

By East New York on December 2, 2009 11:54 AM


"Based on what I've read, and have observed first hand in areas like River Avenue across from Yankee Stadium, there is exceedingly little of the type of economic opportunity you anticipate."

I disagree. First of all, much of the restaurant traffic around Madison Square Garden is related to the events that happen there. The same thing will happen in this area if an arena is built. There will be more restaurant biz and more opportunities for new restaurants nearby. Also, it's true, some retailers in the Yankee Stadium area have complained they aren't getting their fair share. But when I was last out there, some vendors in the area were still operating, although I guess some weren't making what they dis previously. Furthermore, I do know few people in that area (where I lived in the late 1980s and early 1990s and met my ex-wife) who now have Stadium jobs, including my ex-wife's daughter, who is a hostess at the Yankee Stadium steak house. Now, as I said, that isn't the greatest job ever, but it's a job, one that didn't exist previously.

By havelc on December 2, 2009 11:58 AM

Sparafucile-- Yankee Stadium isn't enough to overcome the fact that it's in America's poorest urban congressional district, though all the stores on River Ave wouldn't be there w/o the stadium.

Stadiums usually lose money for cities. The only way they succeed economically is if they succeed at prying dollars away from another tax base. Building a new Yankee Stadium across the street (or even somewhere else in the Bronx) doesn't accomplish that. The idea (and this is the idea) is that the 200 events per year is going to represent spending and local tangential spending that would not have taken place in Brooklyn otherwise.

By benson on December 2, 2009 12:00 PM

Snark and Sparafucile;

The opponents of this project have made their arguments both in the public realm, and in court, and here we are. Is there anything new that can be said?

Sometimes in a democracy, you win, sometimes you lose. To havelc's point, however: what will it say about NYC if the opponents of this project try to defeat it by any means possible, regardless of public sentiment or court precedent? It will continue the paralysis we have been in for over 40 years in NYC regarding big projects. As Polemecist alluded to above, this endless bickering only makes the cost of development here prohibitive, as developers know that they have to factor in large litigation risk.

You've made your best case, and the issue has been decided. It's time to move on.

By be_rude on December 2, 2009 12:01 PM

>And thanks for adding oh so much to the conversation.

Calling you out for basically ignoring everything someone else said and polluting this board with yet more of your same old irrelevant anti-AY chatter is, in my view, an addition to the conversation.

By bxgrl on December 2, 2009 12:22 PM

Both Ditmas and Sparafucile have made valid points. Not to mention, even now Ratner is backing down from promises he made regarding money, affordable housing and payments. And let's not forget Gehry- Frankly I'm surprised at the usual suspects who love to rant about socialism and communism from the left but are so pissed off at people fighting back and not rolling over for the government or big developers. DDDB is a great grass roots movement.

That said, those who desperately want the arena will endlessly rebut any argument or fact. And while DDDB may have lost court cases (and there are any number of reasons for that), they have been effective in throwing a wrench in the works and gaining attention and support for their fight. Seems Ratner has been as much a loser in the real world as DDDB has been in court.

By DitmasSnark on December 2, 2009 12:23 PM

be_rude,

You should take a cue from benson. He is far more polite when telling someone to STFU.

TTFN.

By be_rude on December 2, 2009 12:37 PM

I most sincerely apologize if I've offended your delicate sensibilities, snark. Perhaps your chosen alias, and the general provocative nature of your postings, led me to the erroneous belief that you had the backbone to take some of your own snarky medicine when it is due.


By DitmasSnark on December 2, 2009 12:46 PM

sar⋅casm
  /ˈsɑrkæzəm/ [sahr-kaz-uhm]

–noun
1. harsh or bitter derision or irony.
2. a sharply ironical taunt; sneering or cutting remark: a review full of sarcasms.

Origin:
1570–80; < LL sarcasmus < Gk sarkasmós, deriv. of sarkázein to rend (flesh), sneer; see sarco-

Synonyms:
1. sardonicism, bitterness, ridicule. See irony 1 . 2. jeer.

By FYI on December 2, 2009 12:52 PM

Anti AY people should really stop mentioning Gehry. It was the delay in ongoing lawsuits that brought a 2006 proposition into a budgeted 2010 reality. If even one dispute against the arena was won in court I can understand the dozens of lawsuits but with such a losing streak, any promises or dreams that do not come into fruition because of the economy can 100% be blamed on the DDDB.

By antidope on December 2, 2009 1:07 PM

nice work, be_rude. count me in your corner. while i'll admit to occasional chuckles, the act is rather tiresome. different day, different thread, sos.

By bxgrl on December 2, 2009 1:09 PM

On the other hand, if Ratner had come up with a more reasonable, environmentally intelligent and appropriately scaled plan and actually paid what the Yards were actually worth, instead of depending on abatements, public funding, and eminent domain the community probably would not have fought him. Ratner is to blame for this mess.

By fsrg on December 2, 2009 1:22 PM

Environmentally intelligent =/ scaled back

This is next to one of the largest mass transit hubs in the nation (by lines) - environmentally intelligent = density

Also DDDB has stated numerous times that ANY PLAN that involved an arena would be fought


By bxgrl on December 2, 2009 1:34 PM

A mass transit hub that is close to peak operation during rush hour, and they can't add mopre trains to the lines as it is. Some city and ruban specialists have said that it makes more sense to spread out density across the transit system, rather than concentrate it right over a hub.

By fsrg on December 2, 2009 1:41 PM

"Some city and ruban specialists have said that it makes more sense to spread out density across the transit system, rather than concentrate it right over a hub."

Can you cite a credible source for that?

Oh and At/Pac is not "near capacity", (and certainly not more so than any of the individual feeder lines) And most importantly if we ever do add capacity, the most logical and efficient place to do so is at the hubs.

By FYI on December 2, 2009 1:44 PM

"SOME city and ruban specialists have said that it makes more sense to spread out density across the transit system" though MOST would go against that statement.

By benson on December 2, 2009 2:06 PM

Regarding the "capacity" issue:

The MTA is in the midst of an upgrade to the subway's signalling system, which will effectively increase the capacity of existing lines without the need for more tunnels and tracks.

Details here:

http://www.progressiverailroading.com/pr/article.asp?id=13257

By DitmasSnark on December 2, 2009 2:20 PM

> the act is rather tiresome

True, true. The schtick has gotten stale. Thanks for the encouragement to take a hiatus.

By bxgrl on December 2, 2009 2:48 PM

just goes to show, not everyone is in agreement. FSRG- wish I could find the pages where I read that. i did a lot of research one day after a thread about just this subject and found a lot of differing opinions. This one stuck out because, as posted above, on the surface it doesn't seem the most obvious solution but they did explain why they believed it and related it to the NYC transit system. It had a lot to do with the development of neighborhoods, supply pipelines and infrastructure aging.

By bxgrl on December 2, 2009 2:57 PM

snark- don't you dare go on hiatus! Who but you understands steampunk garden gnomes?

By DeLepp on December 2, 2009 3:14 PM

As much we complain about the MTA it's way better than the FAA which still relies on technology used in the 1950s.

By Bob Marvin on December 2, 2009 4:01 PM

Polemicist is right this time. Damn commie pinkos, demonstrating in favor of subversive un-American ideas like private property rights! Send em back where they came from!

By East New York on December 2, 2009 4:16 PM


Keep going, Snark. You're doing fine.

By Brooklyn Red on December 2, 2009 4:42 PM

Snark, don't go on hiatus. And bxgrl,don't buy into the "gotcha" demand for a citation, especially when the folks who go on about the great ecomomic benefits of stadiums rely on anecdotal information. I suggested once before, if they google "stadium impact on a community" they will find that the vast majority of the articles cited note that there is little or no benefit to local communities.
And on the topic of looking at building on existing hubs, a look at http://www.livablecity.org/campaigns/transit.html is interesting. Their observation that building on a site can work IF it is accompanied by other remediation actions (like through streets, which AY kills), and reduced parking, and pedestrian safety - I haven't seen anything that supports just adding new passengers to trains - or increasing new trains. The article that benson cited did not speak to hubs where many different lines converge, like the Atlantic/Pacific street station

By bxgrl on December 2, 2009 5:19 PM

Thanks, Brooklyn Red!

By fsrg on December 2, 2009 6:01 PM

Yeah Brooklyn Red wanting a citation when some cites "experts" is a real "gotcha" question - Do you work for Sarah Palin or something?

By bxgrl on December 2, 2009 6:31 PM

He's got a point- we're all guilty of anecdotal evidence. A lot of the comments about DDDB are just that, and DDDB does back up what they say by solid documentation.

By Big Jugs on December 2, 2009 6:49 PM

I must admit, now that this whole AY drama is about to end, I'll actually miss the amusement provided by the shrieking and frothing anti-AY clan. I have never seen such a poorly-conceived and ineptly-run community organizing campaign as this one. Really, watching them relentlessly predict imminent victory, only to lose time and time again has kept me laughing hard for over five years. If there is a more incompetent bunch of folks out there, I'd be shocked. The final act, eagerly anticipated by many on this board, will be seeing Daniel Goldstein dragged off by the man after he makes a faux dramatic gesture of refusing to be extracted from his home. I've already picked out my snacks and can't wait to see the show!

By Brooklyn Red on December 2, 2009 6:51 PM

Point taken bxgrl, but ouch, fsqr - it's the selectivity about asking for documentation that I was trying to highlight. There is lots of documentation about the non-impact, or negative impact, of stadiums on the local economy (see google suggestion above) yet stadium = local economic stimulation keeps being accepted as some sort of given. And the approach by livable cities (cited) related to strategies for building on existing transportation hubs does make a lot of sence - and runs counter to what we have seen of the AY designs. As appropriate, I promise to try to keep giving references beyond my own thinking or personal experience when attempting to make a point.

By bxgrl on December 2, 2009 7:13 PM

If they are so incompetent, big jugs, how is it they have managed to stop AY from proceeding these past few years? Cost Ratner all this money? But don't let facts get in the way of your commentary. No one takes someone with the log in name "big jugs" seriously anyway.

By BrooklynLove on December 2, 2009 10:30 PM

bxgrl - you're not really the one to be belittling people. i know that you're very impressed with yourself but that doesn't really mean much in the world of 3-dimensional adults with a pulse and the ability to think and read. if you don't have anything of substance to contribute then don't waste everyone's time trying to convince them that you do.

By bxgrl on December 3, 2009 11:33 AM

Brooklynlove- what would you know about having anything of substance to say. Are you big jug's bitch? Because you may have not noticed but big jugs makes a habit of posting insults and general nastiness. Pretty much like you do- perhaps you and he are the same?

By Big Jugs on December 19, 2009 9:28 PM

Ah, bxgrl, just as you and the long-winded Montrose Morris are one and the same!

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