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October 29, 2009
House of the Day: 902 Union Street

This new brownstone listing at 902 Union Street has some nice old details but we suspect that the busy location and the condition of the house may make the $3,000,000 asking price a bit of a stretch. Don't get us wrong: We really like the original details and overall vibe of the house but the place doesn't sparkle the way a house at this price should. (Of course, much of that could be the way it was photographed, but that's part of the game here.) What do you think it'll sell for?
902 Union Street [AltaNYC] GMAP P*Shark
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Comments
I'd rather take this one around the corner for 200K more...
http://www.corcoran.com/property/listing.aspx?Region=NYC&ListingID=1869202&ohDat=11/1/2009%2012:00:00%20AM;
Posted by: 11217 at October 29, 2009 1:17 PM
Why 3 mill?
Posted by: A CrownHeightsLady at October 29, 2009 1:20 PM
Am I really supposed to garner some info out of a piss-poor listing with thumb sized blurry photos and no floor plan?
NEXT
Posted by: InsertSnappyNameHere at October 29, 2009 1:28 PM
GOD WHAT A SHITTY LISTING. Is the seller out there reading?????
Posted by: daveinbedstuy at October 29, 2009 1:29 PM
That block is a traffic nightmare. There's always tons of eastbound through traffic backed up because of the lights at GAP.
Posted by: NorthHeights at October 29, 2009 1:32 PM
That block is a traffic nightmare. There's always tons of eastbound through traffic backed up because of the lights at GAP.
Posted by: NorthHeights at October 29, 2009 1:32 PM
...and for this the agent will get $180,000. I'm in the wrong business.
Posted by: moreteasir at October 29, 2009 1:34 PM
This might be one of the more heavily traveled streets around, but calling Union Street in Park Slope a "traffic nightmare" seems a bit excessive to me.
What exactly would you call the intersection of Flatbush and Atlantic then?
Let's try to be a little more realistic about traffic when we live in the largest city in the country.
Posted by: 11217 at October 29, 2009 1:36 PM
As I said in the Pie Chart post at 11:24am... "this ain't sustainable and all of these houses for $2-3 million are gonna hit a HARD ceiling in the near future... 10-ish years. There just won't be any more people "trading up" or tapping into a big hunk of inheritance or making $500,000 a year."
Because of this inevitability, I like to look at properties as if they are "regular" purchases. Not places you are buying because you have an extra $1.2 million in cash from your UWS condo sale.
If you look at this in regular terms of 20% down and a regular ol' mortgage... we're talking $600,000 down in cash, then another $15,000 a month (or $180,000 per year). And that's just to pay the mortgage.
How many more cash-rich folks are there? Trading up and windfalls are gonna dry up. These price tags are just freakin' absurd.
Posted by: tybur6 at October 29, 2009 1:37 PM
"How many more cash-rich folks are there?"
I'm guessing a lot.
I don't understand why you think they've all disappeared.
Posted by: 11217 at October 29, 2009 1:40 PM
I don't think they've disappeared... but there will be a HARD ceiling to all of this trading up and shifting crap around. It will have to sputter out. It's a bubble in a lot of ways. The last 15 years or so has produced lots of "excess" cash that isn't being replenished.
Posted by: tybur6 at October 29, 2009 1:46 PM
The next 15 years are going to produce a lot of "excess cash" too, but perhaps in different ways.
You did hear they are handing out about 25 Billion in "extra cash" this year in bonuses, correct?
Listen I'm not saying that (or anything else) is going to save the real estate market, but the sheer fact that 75% of brownstone readers make over 100K (and who knows how many of that above 200K, 300K) shows me that there's more wealth around than people realize.
Lots of old money in NYC too...people who think 3 million is chump change.
Posted by: 11217 at October 29, 2009 1:52 PM
Maybe some rich buyer would like to live in it for 10-15 years.
Posted by: daveinbedstuy at October 29, 2009 1:54 PM
quote:
Lots of old money in NYC too...people who think 3 million is chump change.
hi, if any of you who fit that description, well HELLO!
*rob*
Posted by: Butterfly at October 29, 2009 1:57 PM
When did every house automatically become a $3 million house? Yes, yes, I know, it's "just" the asking price, but c'mon already.
Posted by: CarrollGardened at October 29, 2009 1:58 PM
Rob...take a walk around Brooklyn Heights some time if you haven't already. There are many people there who are wealthy going back generations and their 5 million dollar home on Pierrepont Street is one of 5 they own around the world.
Seriously. It's nuts.
Same goes for the Upper East Side and scattered all around the city.
Posted by: 11217 at October 29, 2009 2:00 PM
p.s. I don't think they are reading Brownstoner, however.
Posted by: 11217 at October 29, 2009 2:03 PM
DIBS -- my comments are about any one particular place, like this one. Just the overinflated prices, in general. Most of the "fancy" real estate in this town REQUIRES 'trading up' or somehow mediating the purchase price with a huge cash injection. And by trading up, I don't mean what would be considered a normal, healthy progression.... but rather, cashing out the 5-year, 800% increase on your UWS condo.
If you simple earn "upper middle class" money (say, $400,000+ per annum), it's not enough to buy one of these places. You need stowed away riches.
It's just an odd thing and I see it drying up -- and I see these prices stagnated hard. i.e., You buy a place for $2 million and it does appreciate at all -- actually loses value against inflation. Something like that.
Posted by: tybur6 at October 29, 2009 2:05 PM
(my comments ARE NOT about any one particular...)
Posted by: tybur6 at October 29, 2009 2:07 PM
Brownstoner 2009 Survey Results
- Park Slope most favored nabe for investment over next 3-5 years
however, I'm not sure at this price this house is a good investment or not.
Posted by: Tara in the Slope at October 29, 2009 2:12 PM
I used the high price for the apartment I sold to buy a house that, let's face it, might've also been overpriced based on historical norms. And have a (relatively) low mortgage as a result. I fail to see the ponzi scheme.
Posted by: Johnny at October 29, 2009 2:12 PM
There's no ponzi scheme...it's simple a rip off!!
Posted by: A CrownHeightsLady at October 29, 2009 2:26 PM
be lucky to get 2 mil.
11217, I agree, not so much a 'traffic nightmare' but a nightmare nevertheless. There's no place to double-park even for a second on Union. Can't even imagine getting back from the second home and trying to unload the Volvo Wagon.
Posted by: denton at October 29, 2009 2:35 PM
Why do you assume everyone drives? This is a city, not a suburb.
Agreed this block is kind of a clusterf**k, though, and will be until the city makes PPW two ways.
Posted by: zinka at October 29, 2009 2:43 PM
what a joke of a listing.
Posted by: gkw at October 29, 2009 2:45 PM
"...OR Lease the entire building for $10,000/ Month Live and work from Home." - AltaNYC
Market fundamental = 10 x (annual rent) = $1.2M
Income (including that from rental) required for ask = $3M/3 = $1M/yr.
Caveat Emptor!
***Bill Thompson for Mayor (TUESDAY!!!)***
Posted by: Brownstones Half Off at October 29, 2009 2:48 PM
Do you know how many more tens of thousands of people there are with big profits in condos/coops in Manhattan as compared to the number of brownstones on the market??? No, they are not for everyone but there's a huge pool of people out there as potential buyers of this sort of property. Yes, still. Even after manhattan prices have come down.
And people who make $300-400,000 and have been doing so for a few years have usually saved up a nice downpayment.
I'm not saying this one is priced right either.
Posted by: daveinbedstuy at October 29, 2009 2:51 PM
...but damn, I love that facade! Italianate? Greek Revival? And that location is great if you don't drive or can't get a spot in one of the nearby garages.
20.5 x 55 - More spacious than average.
But it was worth $500K in the late 90's (better economic times) so it'll have to crash back down to $1.2M at market bottom.
***Bill Thompson for Mayor (TUESDAY!!!)***
Posted by: Brownstones Half Off at October 29, 2009 2:54 PM
"I used the high price for the apartment I sold to buy a house that, let's face it, might've also been overpriced based on historical norms. And have a (relatively) low mortgage as a result. I fail to see the ponzi scheme."
Remove rose-tinted glasses.
$ ("Old Investor")
$$
$$$
$$$$
$$$$$
$$$$$$
$$$$$$$
$$$$$$$$
$$$$$$$$$
$$$$$$$$$$
$$$$$$$$$$$ ("New Investor")
$$$$$$$$$$$$ (Oh shit! No more liar loans! CRASH! BURN!)
You cannot beat mathematics.
***Bill Thompson for Mayor (TUESDAY!!!)***
Posted by: Brownstones Half Off at October 29, 2009 3:08 PM
This is a quality house in a quality location. I say 2.8 million.
Posted by: Minard Lafever at October 29, 2009 3:10 PM
Not sure if it's my rose colored glasses or your logic BHO.
My house goes down 50%, I'm still living in a nice house and paying very little for it, no? Look forward to next pretty, but ultimately pointless graphic.
Posted by: Johnny at October 29, 2009 3:16 PM
***
Home prices in many U.S. metropolitan areas are nearing so-called "bubble territory," according to Robert Shiller, co-founder of the Case-Shiller home price index. Home prices in the U.S. are "zipping up," according to Shiller, as the S&P/Case-Shiller composite index of prices in 20 metro areas showed a 1.2 percent rise in average home prices from July to August. Certain U.S. cities, like San Francisco, have seen double-digit upticks in average price, a trend that could end badly, the economist said. Still, Shiller said that it's difficult to determine how the rising prices could ultimately affect the market. "It is entirely possible that even with the bad news we are getting, home prices could start a major increase," Shiller said. "What happens from here will depend on people's animal spirits and speculative impulses." Shiller sat down with CNBC today to analyze the sharp turnaround in prices. [Reuters]
Posted by: 11217 at October 29, 2009 3:21 PM
Obviously, 11217 has never driven down Union St. Yes, its a nightmare. Idiot likes to talk and talk and talk about aspects of BK in which he knows 10% or less...
Posted by: cornerbodega at October 29, 2009 3:21 PM
I live one block from Union Street.
It's funny that the brownstoner resident idiot is throwing out insults here.
Posted by: 11217 at October 29, 2009 3:29 PM
Nice house, sloppy listing, premium price. If they want 3 mill, you would think they could:
> move the trash cans in front of the house
> move the plastic trash bag leaning in the kitchen
> cleaned clutter up everywhere.
It basically shows no respect for the buyer. Good luck, I say.
Posted by: Schultz at October 29, 2009 3:30 PM
DIBS -- I'm including all of the ridiculous price tags in this city, not just the Brownstone.
OK, there are tens of thousands of people in condos/coops in Manhattan... but they need BUYERS for their 200-300% mark-up on their original purchase prices. If they only get a 20% profit, will they be able to "trade up" ?
All I'm saying is that you need the feeder population at the bottom. If the UWS condos are being priced to provide the necessary nut to buy the $1.5-$3.0 million property, then wouldn't you agree it will become increasingly harder to find a buyer for the Condo/Co-op?! And if the UWS condos stop getting their 150% return in 5 years... how are folks gonna "trade-up" to the $2 million house when they don't have a big chunk of cash from their sale?
It's all about the beginning of the chain... be it ridiculous profits on the "starter" home or a big hung of cash from Grampa. Both seems like their gonna dry up to a trickle -- of course their not going to disappear, there will always be rich folks -- but reduced to a trickle.
This will make these absurd price tags unattainable -- financially unattainable, not just soft and squishy "value" judgements. That's why I say that a $2 million house today will STILL BE a $2 million house in 10 or 15 years. The seller will "get their money back" but there won't be a return/profit.
Posted by: tybur6 at October 29, 2009 3:48 PM
Tyburg:
Please see my post above from Shiller showing that certain areas like San Francisco are already showing double digit upticks in average prices.
From talking with some neighbors (and my parents and other generally older people), this mindset (yours) happens EVERY time we go into a recession. People like you think it's impossible that prices will ever go up, and EVERY SINGLE TIME they do once the economy recovers. Every time. To think that home prices are just going to stay steady for the next 20 years is simply naive.
World don't work like that.
Posted by: 11217 at October 29, 2009 3:57 PM
> To think that home prices are just going to stay steady for
> the next 20 years is simply naive.
>
> World don't work like that.
That's funny. Because that's exactly what happened after the last housing crash, no? Prices were flat for, well not 20 years, but a decade.
Maybe the world does work that way after all.
Posted by: DitmasSnark at October 29, 2009 4:09 PM
So, 11217 -- as an example, if I were to buy this house for $3.0 million, I should have absolutely no problem seeing, say, 4.5% return annually? This is a very sound investment no matter what the price I pay?
That would mean a price tag of $3.7 million in 5 years.... $4.7 million in 10 year... a full doubling in 15 years... and a tripling in value by year 20?
I should buy this house because it will be worth $9 million, no questions asked in 20 years. Right? There's no ceiling. Because there is no possibility of a restriction on the cash stream?
That's great! I'm going to go to the bank tomorrow. "Hello Mister Banker... I'm going to only pay you $1500 a month for this $3 million Brownstone. But don't worry Mister banker, you can have ALL of the profits in 15 years! Deal?"
Posted by: tybur6 at October 29, 2009 4:16 PM
21.5 X 55= 4,750 square feet. At $3M this is $631/sf. This would be a reasonable price for a condo in the neighborhood. The condo won't have nice details, high ceilings, big closets, wood-burning fireplace, a backyard, but it will have a gym (maybe), new appliances, bigger windows (probably) and alot less wasted circulation space. It's alot of money, but on a per square foot basis, it's not really that much (and most brownstones have basements which aren't even included when calculating their size). I agree that it's a troubling location, but at least you have a parking garage on the block, so you don't have to worry about double parking.
However, brownstones have traded at lower $/psf than condos. At $500 psf it's around $2.4M, and at $450 psf it's $2,137,000. It should trade somewhere between those two numbers.
Posted by: probopop at October 29, 2009 4:23 PM
Hey 11217, maybe you should go back to being the resident "Liason to the stars" because you sure don't know much else. Try to read a graph one day - hint hint, this one says home values hold their value relative to inflation: http://www.lesjones.com/www/images/posts/united_states_1890-2007-600x450.png
Posted by: cornerbodega at October 29, 2009 4:23 PM
This is a beautiful and grand brownstone.
But it's on a very busy street. Expect to hear car stereos every day. And car engines. Horns beeping perhaps? This is not what I would want if I were to spend millions to live in PP.
Also, am I the only to whom the buildings across the street matter? This brownstone faces apartment buildings, not other brownstones. This is what the new owner will look at everyday: apartment buildings. The apartment dwellers across the street get to stare at your beautiful building, while you -- when looking out your window, and upon exiting your new home -- see mostly just the apartment buildings across the street.
Not a 3M location.
Posted by: Pigeon at October 29, 2009 4:26 PM
This house would look a lot better if it got the Pilar Guzman treatment in Jennifer Ambomovitch's new book. That woodwork in the kitchen should be backed with subway tile and very clean shelves and fridge that fits in space. Bathrooms less rinky dink. The place could use a good $100,000 of cosmetic work.
Everyone else, real estate goes up and it goes down, but long term, NYC is a desirable place to live and will remain expensive. Prices will come back up again in eight years. Areas such as Brooklyn Heights and Park Slope will hold their value better than others but also show less gain since they are coming off a higher base.
Posted by: mopar at October 29, 2009 4:34 PM
Ty:
For the record, I feel that this is a 2 million dollar home, not 3.
As for the rest...I guess we'll have to wait and see...
Posted by: 11217 at October 29, 2009 4:39 PM
Yes, we'll wait and see. I'm gonna buy my $150,000 studio in PLG and then in 4 years sell it for $500,000. Then I'm going to buy a 2-bedroom apartment for $800,000, then sell that one for $1.6 million after 5 years. Then I'm gonna buy a $3 million brownstone.
How's that for a plan? Sadly, that's how it's been working in this town it seems... just different neighborhoods and boroughs. So absurd.
If the market somehow makes this a sustainable method... I guess the market is always right. But somehow, that doesn't sound right.
Posted by: tybur6 at October 29, 2009 4:53 PM
Ty:
It doesn't have to be so nuts as you're making it seem and you are overstating things by a lot.
Say you buy that 150K studio today and in 5 years you're able to sell it for 200K, lets say.
You can use that 50K and anything else you are able to save to put a 60K 20% downpayment on a 300K 1 bedroom. Then in 10 years sell that place for 400K and now you've got the 100K to put down on a 2 bedroom.
This is how it works. You might have to wait an extra year or 3 depending on the economy in my fake numbers above, but if you start somewhere you can pretty easily see how you can get in on the market and make something with it. Some years will be bad, and the market will go down, but I think my numbers above take that into consideration and put in on more of a scale that MOST of us can comprehend.
To suggest that everyone wants or need a 3 million dollar house is dumb. There are few on the market and there are few buyers. This is the top of the market.
Think smaller and stop speaking so much hyperbole.
Posted by: 11217 at October 29, 2009 5:03 PM
Overlooked this thread until now but the discussion was really good.
Posted by: infinitejester at October 29, 2009 5:08 PM
11217, you have just defined a ponzi scheme
Posted by: the chicken at October 29, 2009 6:04 PM
tybur--11217 is right that you are taking a hyperbolic look at this issue. Your basic premise is what I did to eventually end up in the house I am in. Now, of course this all went down during the most recent run up but I didn't see insane returns on the two previous places I had (a one bedroom to a two bedroom to the house) but enough to get the down payment together for the next place. In a crash this doesn't work and that is the risk in buying real estate. As easily as it worked for me it could have gone very wrong too. life is full of such choices and chances.
Posted by: wasder at October 29, 2009 6:07 PM
Perhaps, chicken. But most people during those years of ownership are also paying down their mortgage, and hopefully saving a little bit of money too, so it's not quite as cut and dry as I made it seem. At least it shouldn't be anyway.
For example, I am now saving money in the goal of coming up with a downpayment on my next apartment (no plan in sight to move, but one day I may want a larger place...who knows) and in my mind fully appreciate that 5 years from now I might sell my place for the exact same amount I paid for it. It's possible.
But that will mean my next place will be cheaper than it was during the bubble years, and if I come up with the down payment on the next place, I'm just that much closer to paying that next place off.
Eventually the goal (for me anyway) is to own the final place I live in outright so that I can retire with no house payment. Everyone has different long-term goals, but that's my personal plan and it doesn't feel like a ponzi scheme.
Right now I'm paying my mortgage every month and adding extra every month towards the principal. With the downpayment and money I've paid back, I already own about 30% of my place in just a few years of owning it. You also hope that as the years go by, your salary increases thus making the payments less and less a % of your income as time passes.
Posted by: 11217 at October 29, 2009 8:07 PM
My husband and I are a DINK family earning over $300k per year. We have been saving steadily for several years, have no debt, and great credit scores. Let me tell you - we still cannot afford to buy these $2-3 million brownstones. Our friends are in similar situations with similar salaries (doctor/lawyer couples, lawyer/lawyer combos, banker/lawyer, etc.) and they are also not able to afford houses at these prices. We are also all unsure about our jobs and hesitant about laying our net worth on the line when these prices have a large chance of imploding.
So it makes us all wonder - who are buying these properties?
Posted by: ichimunki at October 30, 2009 10:23 AM
> So it makes us all wonder - who are buying these properties?
People making (at least) twice what you do.
There are a lot of them in this own.
Posted by: DitmasSnark at October 30, 2009 11:09 AM
possibly people 5-10 year older than you but otherwise exactly the same. how olde are you? early 30s?
Posted by: antidope at October 30, 2009 11:14 AM
possibly people 5-10 year older than you but otherwise exactly the same. how olde are you? early 30s?
Posted by: antidope at October 30, 2009 11:15 AM
Who are buying these properties, you ask?
-People who made a few million in a business deal.
-People who are in high income professions (some partners in corporate law firms, some specialty doctors who have saved and/or invested, some wall streeters, etc).
-People with large inheritances.
Certainly, your typical lawyer or doctor or wall streeter cannot afford these homes. NYC, however, has a small but strong pool of super-high earners.
I doubt any of these super-high earners would drop 3M to live on that block of Union Steet. But... who knows? Someone might like the location.
Posted by: Pigeon at October 30, 2009 11:22 AM
True, we know families earning twice what we do are snapping up the properties but it seems weird that it's happening in Brooklyn. I also didn't realize that there would be so many families making over $600k now. Yes, we are in our early 30s.
I was born in Park Slope in the 70s so the price run-up has been something of a shock. My parents were offered a brownstone on 7th for $200,000 in the 1980s. My dad decided to move to Staten Island instead. He also sold his fruit and vegetable store on the corner of 7th Avenue to move to another store on Church and Flatbush. We must be the unluckiest family ever.
Posted by: ichimunki at October 30, 2009 11:28 AM
11217- Your long-term strategy worked for me. Bought my Park Slope brownstone in '86 for what was then alot of money. Paid the 30 year mortgage every month. Even in today's depressed market it's worth 4 times what I paid for it (it was worth 5.5X), and my current mortgage balance (which is shrinking fast)is less than 10% of current value. I kept the place up, making improvements when the money was available. In 7 years my mortgage will be paid off, I'll be in my mid '60's, I'll own the place debt free. And I raised 3 kids with room for a nanny and plenty of elbow room in a great neighborhood.
My parents did the same thing- bought a house in the suburbs for $23k in the mid 50's- lived there until the mid 80's and paid off their mortgage after raising 5 kids. Sold the house for about 15 times purchase price.
Maybe this phenonemon is over and won't work for the next generation, but I wouldn't bet on it. If you believe that New York City will remain an important place in the 21st century world, and you recognize that they're not building any more single family houses in convenient locations in the city, buying a house in a place like Park Slope is a solid bet.
Posted by: probopop at October 30, 2009 11:40 AM

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