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July 27, 2009
Checking In On 268 Wythe Avenue

When we posted about this new condo project at 268 Wythe Avenue back in February before its came on the market, the majority of readers were positively disposed to its design, as are we. It's now been almost four months since the development's 13 units were offered for sale, and, according to StreetEasy, only one unit is in contract so far despite one round of price cuts back in June. Problem is, they're all still priced around $700 a foot.
268 Wythe Revealed: You Likey? [Brownstoner] GMAP
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Comments
Quite nice looking, but people simply are not buying in Williamsburg right now unless it's a fire sale.
Buying anything up there for over $500 psf with 5000 apartments on the market (or coming to market by year end) would make one an idiot.
It's so funny to now talk to my once DIE HARD Williamsburg friends. Now that they've read that stupid NYMag article, they hate it there now. Silly.
Posted by: 11217 at July 27, 2009 11:16 AM
Euro Trash. Prefer the Fedders.
Posted by: ou812 at July 27, 2009 11:22 AM
Looks nice as a sculpture, but I would hate to have those slats obscuring my windows.
Posted by: DitmasSnark at July 27, 2009 11:24 AM
Without the beach, water ice, painted hermit crabs and t-shirts with fringe on them.
Posted by: Heather at July 27, 2009 12:05 PM
"Buying anything up there for over $500 psf with 5000 apartments on the market (or coming to market by year end) would make one an idiot."
Bingo.
Posted by: dirty_hipster at July 27, 2009 12:15 PM
yes, 11217 - you have the latest sales figures for williamsburg. no one is buying anything! can you give us your statistics? jeez.
here's my market sweeping personal anecdote, i have a friend who just bought a 2 bedrm in Wburg at $675 per sq foot, so therefore everyone is buying and that's the price per sq foot for every apartment.
really, if you can get closings from the last 3 months in williamsburg, please post them! i just had comps pulled for my re-fi a couple of months ago, and the avg psf was over $750psf (comps were all west of the BQE).
now, who the f knows where things are going, but we are not at $500 per sq foot yet, especially not on the northside, west of the BQE,
also, please check streeteasy for the amt of properties for sale in williamsburg. 5000? No, 2500? No, surely a 1000 then? No, um, 750? NO 604 properties currently. Park Slope? 478. As PS is a much smaller geographically neighborhood, this would be about the same.
wow, 2 seconds of research. try it some time!
Posted by: wine lover at July 27, 2009 1:43 PM
the slats are necessary imo
when you walk by you see the whole unit very clearly without them, no privacy
i've seen a place on berry street and N7 that before it opened was a wall of bare windows and now that people have moved in its a wall of solid curtains. Almost never seen a curtain open, in fact people have started hiding stuff between the window and the curtain because the curtains never open - bicycle, boxes etc.
Posted by: 11211 at July 27, 2009 1:48 PM
Wine lover,
I don't know why you continue to engage on this board. You are a racist, and everyone knows it.
Clearly you've never heard of a thing called "shadow inventory"
Here is something for your reading pleasure, since you clearly missed it...
http://nymag.com/realestate/features/57904/
And just a couple paragraphs for you:
According to a study Maundrell released last month, 2,818 new apartments will have hit the market by the end of this year, with another 2,766 projected by the end of 2010. On top of this, Fannie Mae, the country’s most dominant home-mortgage lender, recently implemented a policy requiring that buildings be 70 percent in contract before guaranteeing mortgages, thus delaying the moment when a developer can stop covering the taxes and common charges on a finished project. (While most other banks require 50 percent of a building to be in contract, Freddie Mac, the other chief lender, is expected to follow Fannie Mae’s lead later this month.)
“The thing is,” Maundrell told me as we drove past a sarcophagus of a building on Berry Street, “a year ago, those inventory numbers would have been great news. Buildings around here have been selling out so fast that there didn’t seem to be an end in sight.” He paused. “Now, with the new restrictions, the bottom line is that most of the new buildings will have to be turned into rentals. The problem is that, for a lot of these guys, that’s just not an option.”
Posted by: 11217 at July 27, 2009 1:53 PM
"now, who the f knows where things are going"
I know exactly where they are going...down. You seem to be the only person who doesn't realize that.
It is SO OBVIOUS from every one of your posts that you are one of those absolutely desperate buyers who are trying to cling to your housing equity. It's one thing to tout your neighborhood, but to be an outed racist and continually come here and tell us how amazing Williamsburg is, is SO TRANSPARENT.
And we never heard your response from the questions posed to you last week...is there ANYTHING about Williamsburg you DON'T like??
You are a fool for being so blind as to what's happening around you.
Oh and for hating an entire race of people.
Posted by: 11217 at July 27, 2009 1:59 PM
Williamsburg in a nutshell
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supply_and_demand
Posted by: dirty_hipster at July 27, 2009 2:06 PM
Williamsburg in a nutshell
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_mania
Posted by: DitmasSnark at July 27, 2009 2:14 PM
hahah snark
Posted by: dirty_hipster at July 27, 2009 2:21 PM
Oh come on guys, Brownstoner is supposed to be a step up from Curbed. I can't speak to the accusations of "racism" here, but that doesn't really have anything to do with this, does it?
A quick look at what's being said here:
* People aren't buying in Williamsburg: no doubt sales have slowed from peak big time, but this is an exaggeration. ~60 sales in the neighborhood in the past 60 days - that's actually fairly healthy, even given the supply issues here.
* 5,000 units on the market (soon): this is a pretty gross exaggeration, as it includes A LOT of stuff that is nowhere near being built as well as stuff that may not ever be built (including 2,200 units at Domino, and over 1,000 other units for a third NSP tower, and one or two more Edge towers). That's just not realistic. By my calcs, we're looking at probably a little over double what Streeteasy is saying now (1,200-1,500) - still a lot, but let's not go nuts here.
Posted by: bjw2103 at July 27, 2009 2:28 PM
bjw2103:
Unless you've done your own study, I'm more apt to take this guys word over yours on the inventory numbers.
"According to a study Maundrell released last month, 2,818 new apartments will have hit the market by the end of this year, with another 2,766 projected by the end of 2010."
I don't believe he'd be including Domino or the 3rd NSP in that tally to be completed by 2010....
Have you walked around the neighborhood lately? If you have, you'd see what rough shape it's in with regard to empty and abandoned looking buildings on nearly every single block.
The only thing keeping the place alive right now is the nightlife and restaurant scene. Once that dies down, Miami here we come.
Posted by: 11217 at July 27, 2009 2:39 PM
bjw2103:
I should also say that judging from your commenting history and unabashed defense of everything Williamsburg and knowledge of specifics of certain developments, you most definitely sound like a broker. Not that there's anything wrong with that, but clearly it's in your best interest to refute what I'm saying. Even if it might be more true than what you are saying.
Posted by: 11217 at July 27, 2009 2:43 PM
" Once that dies down, Miami here we come. "
You're not talking about fly cuban honeys are you?
I was trolling on streeteasy last week and I think I noticed The Edge RAISED several of the prices on their listings. WTF are they thinking?
Posted by: dirty_hipster at July 27, 2009 3:01 PM
Well in my case, it's fly cuban homies, but YES...I'll take any! ;)
Posted by: 11217 at July 27, 2009 3:08 PM
11217,
Do we really have to break out the "you're a broker" trope every time? I'm not, I can assure you. I live in the neighborhood and am fairly involved in the "changes" going on. Are there abandoned sites? Of course! Are there completed buildings with people living in them? Also! I'm all for getting the truth out there, but I see A LOT of unbalanced perspective and neighborhood flame wars (for instance, given your posting history, you seem to have an issue with the neighborhood). You say this is going to be Miami, but if you've actually seen the number of high-rise condo towers in Williamsburg, you'd realize you can count them on one hand. Miami? Not so much. As for the inventory, I have done my own tally. You tell me where he got 2,800 each time because it's completely dumbfounding math from what I'm seeing. Maybe he means there have been 2,800 units built so far (meaning a large chunk of that is already occupied), but otherwise I think it's off.
Posted by: bjw2103 at July 27, 2009 3:55 PM
I've actually come to enjoy Williamsburg quite a lot this summer, and have been partaking in the drinking and restaurant options more than ever.
But as a residential neighborhood, it's toast for at least 5-7 years and quite possibly longer. It's GREAT news for anyone wanting to get in and buy something cheap although, but the entire neighborhood was built on the speculation that it would be the coolest place on the earth forever.
The rest of Brooklyn was not.
Having paid the prices people paid in the last few years to sit next to empty and rotting buildings...well not my cup of tea and from what I gather...not the cup of tea from people I know who live there either. They bought there because they thought it was cool. What happens if that goes away even a little bit? I mean...the schools aren't great, there's very little green space, crime seems to be on the rise, the median income is still in the mid 20's...do you REALLY think all those people who moved there with families aren't going to consider bolting if Dressler, Dumont and Bird ended up going out of business (heaven forbid!).
Again...I trust someone's numbers who actually DID a study on it, not some anonymous person on a blog who says he's not a broker, but "already done his own tally"
Posted by: 11217 at July 27, 2009 4:37 PM
"if Dressler, Dumont and Bird ended up going out of business (heaven forbid!). "
i wish
Posted by: dirty_hipster at July 27, 2009 4:45 PM
Well yeah...those weren't the best examples, DH.
But there are a lot of yuppie 30 something parents in Williamsburg who would think those closings would represent the end of civilization as we know it.
The thing is...once all of this shakes out, Williamsburg will probably be a lot better place for it...more people will be able to afford it...the kinds of people who actually made it a place to live and play. That's a great thing...but you've just got to fight the wine lovers of the world who paid too much for their place and want to fight it tooth and nail all the way down.
Posted by: 11217 at July 27, 2009 4:49 PM
11217's commentary would be far more persuasive if he could explain the mechanism by which Williamsburg is going to turn into Miami, or even what that means. over the next couple of years, it seems likely that prices will have to be lowered in order for developers to sell their buildings. some buildings, like w11, will be foreclosed and/or sold short or at auction. others, like the edge, may well stay empty while their developers lose more and more money.
developments that lie fallow will be purchased by opportunistic cash investors, probably mostly from the hasidic community.
anyway you slice it, there will still be more people buying into the neighborhood. for a neighborhood that's been thriving amidst the ugliness and noise of an unprecedented construction boom for the last number of years, I don't see why having that process and all its attendant ugliness--partially finished buildings, etc.--means its death knell.
so please, explain.
Posted by: mt_molehill at July 27, 2009 5:03 PM
saw this condo a few weeks ago. there are basically 2 layouts. one of the layouts is REALLY hard to use--the other is perfectly fine but hardly a 2 bdrm. the second bdrm is VERY small with almost no closets. more of a home office space.
either way you look at it the place was VERY overpriced. i walked out of the condo and looked to my left and right and all i saw were other new developments that looked pretty empty. that was enough for me to start walking back to the L train...supply vs demand--and i still can't believe anyone would price a wburg condo at 700 persqft--try 500. very curious to see what wburg looks like around november december this year--much less this time NEXT year!
Posted by: looking at July 27, 2009 5:12 PM
I think BJW, WL and myself occasionally get so defensive since the Williamsburg we see everyday and the one portrayed on Brownstoner and other real estate blogs is so vastly different.
Any POS new construction building located in the middle of nowhere off the G train in Clinton Hill or Bed Stuy is "not bad" - yet an identical looking building in Greenpoint or Williamsburg is "oh the G sucks, the L sucks" blah blah blah.
Sure - Wine Lover is a big Burg booster, as am I, but so is everyone else with regards to their own neighborhood.
Obviously with the excess of condos coming on the market - price really has nothing to do with the desireability of the neighborhood, but basic economics. Prices are way to high in Williamsburg at the moment.
Anyone who buys low in Williamsburg will make a killing compared to some equally ugly gray box 7 blocks from the G train in CH/BS in 10+ years. Manhattan and the already established businesses in 11211/11222 aren't going anywhere
:)
Posted by: dirty_hipster at July 27, 2009 5:19 PM
"Prices are way to high in Williamsburg at the moment."
This is really the only important sentence of this entire thread.
Posted by: 11217 at July 27, 2009 5:24 PM
"But as a residential neighborhood, it's toast for at least 5-7 years and quite possibly longer."
11217, what does this even mean? Seriously. Do you think people are going to bolt en masse? Heavy industry will be moving back in and they'll undo the zoning changes? It's not the end of the world - people will be ok.
"Having paid the prices people paid in the last few years to sit next to empty and rotting buildings"
Look, I know it's a fashionable thing to say, but you make it sound like a warzone. Some spots are indeed bad, others are fine. Let's not get carried away.
"Again...I trust someone's numbers who actually DID a study on it, not some anonymous person on a blog who says he's not a broker, but "already done his own tally""
Hey, if you want the details, they're here (same screenname): http://www.streeteasy.com/nyc/talk/discussion/3022-80-metropolitan?page=2
But again, I'd like to know the details behind this broker's study (and NOW people believe brokers? Smacks of selective hearing to me). What exactly is being counted?
Posted by: bjw2103 at July 27, 2009 5:26 PM
dirty_hipster, totally agree. Too many people assume you like the neighborhood only because you bought there and never consider that maybe it was the other way around. I do agree that in the vast majority of cases, prices are too high. I'm not sure it'll get down to $500/sqft (though hard thing to generalize given that there is some difference in product across the board), but things should clear much faster as we get to $625-$650.
Posted by: bjw2103 at July 27, 2009 5:31 PM
"I'd like to know the details behind this broker's study (and NOW people believe brokers?"
In what interest would it be to a broker to announce that there's over 5000 units of inventory about to come online?
If anything that gives him MORE credibility because he's owning up to reality.
Unlike a certain someone else we are getting to know.
Posted by: 11217 at July 27, 2009 5:45 PM
The waterfront places will set the bar - whatever psf they set that starts to move units, the buildings further east will have to price accordingly (as Kent is considered 'prime' Williamsburg, to which I strongly disagree)
500psf sound a little low to me too, but who knows? In the meantime - just go to McCarren and enjoy a Zyweic.
Posted by: dirty_hipster at July 27, 2009 5:54 PM
"In what interest would it be to a broker to announce that there's over 5000 units of inventory about to come online?
If anything that gives him MORE credibility because he's owning up to reality.
Unlike a certain someone else we are getting to know."
You'll have to ask him - my point was it's silly to presume to completely understand a broker's motivations. If a broker corroborated the numbers I came up with, you'd be bashing that in no time, but suddenly one puts out a massive and "sexier" number (that we don't even really understand) and you're buying hook, line, and sinker? I don't get it. And where am I not "owning up to reality"? You seem to enjoy painting the picture you have in your mind as that, but others see things differently and don't need to blatantly exaggerate to make our points. If you doubt my numbers so much, please feel free to poke holes - that's what the forum is for after all, no? No need to get so snarky.
Posted by: bjw2103 at July 27, 2009 6:27 PM
DH has a lot more credibility than wine lover or these other characters, because he's willing to praise what's good in Williamsburg AND criticize what's bad. Wine lover has never criticized ANYTHING in North Brooklyn at all - if I'm mistaken, please show me the goods. Also, DH comes out to drink with other B'stoner posters.
Posted by: sixyearsandcounting at July 27, 2009 7:57 PM
Sorry man. It's all in good fun.
I really don't care which numbers are correct and hope it's not the higher number. I don't like seeing Brooklyn suffer (even Williamsburg) but I'm just facing reality head on and if it turns out better than some people are predicting, fantastic. Your numbers seem very low to me. Especially as I've been there lately and witnessed what I feel to be a rather strange feeling of walking by so many unfinished and neglected properties in a relatively small area. And knowing that quite a lot more are on the way...
As I said...the net effect in the end will be a positive one, no doubt. Just as I hope falling prices will have a positive affect on my own neighborhood, and allow a more diverse and vibrant group of people the opportunity to be able to afford it.
Posted by: 11217 at July 27, 2009 8:04 PM
I wish they would allow some of these empty spaces (hello, W11!) to be used as office space by all of the young start-up businesses in the area. Commercial real estate west of the BQE--fast access to Manhattan--is impossible to find right now at a fair price. The neighborhood is full of youngish people who want to start businesses.
Wburg has a lot to offer. How many of you haters actually spend time there? I loathe the collegiate hordes as much as the next person, but it has a pretty remarkable array of local color. I like Dressler and Bird, and I also love Kasia's Diner and desperately miss Matamoros.
Just because ZIP 11217 is mostly picturesque doesn't mean it doesn't have its share of pretentious twits.
It's not people who love wine who have "ruined" the neighborhood--it's corporate developers with bad taste who bought out so many perfectly good existing structures (and kicked out so many businesses from commercial/industrial space) in order to create these illogically scaled monsters, and Amanda Burden and Bloomberg, who let them do it.
Posted by: babygreene at July 27, 2009 9:33 PM
11217, I can definitely agree with that. Look, anyway you slice it, 1,300+ units is still an a$$load of inventory, and will take several years to clear. I don't think people realize just how massive 5,000 would be - the vast majority of these buildings are low-rise, despite all the attention the waterfront towers get. In the end though, let's just all hope this works out to the benefit of the neighborhood and we can all have a few Zywiecs in McCarren.
Posted by: bjw2103 at July 28, 2009 9:42 AM

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