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February 13, 2009

Housing Rescue Plan: For Some or For All?

rundown-house-0209.jpgVague reports about the Obama administration's plan in the works to help people in danger of losing their houses are starting to surface. Whether it ends up with the government subsidizing monthly payments or modifying the loans themselves, the big question, it seems to us, is whether the ultimate solution should address only those in immediate trouble or be an across-the-board relief measure. On the one hand, even if you've been playing by the rules and aren't directly benefiting from a homeowner bailout, it's still in the interest of your own property value to see fewer foreclosures and empty houses in your neighborhood; on the other hand, why should only the irresponsible and the unlucky get hand-outs? Tough stuff.




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Comments

absolutely disgusting that my taxes are going to subsidize people to pay their mortgages while i can barely afford to make my own rent which i make sure is ALWAYS paid and if i couldnt pay it i'd move somewhere that i could.

*r*

Posted by: PitbullNYC at February 13, 2009 9:49 AM

you should have voted for someone who would make rent tax deductible.

Posted by: dittoburg at February 13, 2009 9:57 AM

I'm sure glad we're seeing so much change now!!!!

Posted by: daveinbedstuy at February 13, 2009 9:59 AM

Couldn't agree more - they need to let the foreclosures occur and for the system to cleansed. Painful as it may be, it makes no sense to spend good money for a temporary temporarily fix - modifying loans will only delay the defaults.

Posted by: jnjnjn2 at February 13, 2009 10:02 AM

I agree. It's disgraceful.

I hate it when my hard earned tax dollars go to support people who either a) don't work for a living or b) are to ignorant selfish and/or greedy to know how much they make, what they can afford, and what it means when agreeing to a loan.

Argh, I hate politicians. I think I'm starting to hate people in general.

What ever happened to personal responsibility, taking your medicine, and learning from your mistakes?

Posted by: christopher at February 13, 2009 10:02 AM

rob.

pot. kettle. black.

re: your student loans & my tax dollars

yesterday.

Posted by: bkn4life at February 13, 2009 10:04 AM

"solutely disgusting that my taxes are going to subsidize people to pay their mortgages while i can barely afford to make my own rent which i make sure is ALWAYS paid and if i couldnt pay it i'd move somewhere that i could."

You don't have a job Assheasd! How can you pay taxes???!! You are always whining about saving money, looking for a job, etc.

To the clueless the is a subsidy for Bankers! The keep the revenue streams going on their toxic crap. The Asshead Home debtor gets to stay in their overpriced POS and the politicians get re-elected. And guess what??

Interest rates start to go up and Government starts to cut back on services. Please go give me that crap about the Fed buying long dated treasuries, they pockets are not that deep!!!

Last but not lease! What about all that Shadow Inventory??? If they start this insane program, the Asshats are going to dump that stuff on the market! That will crash housing prices and that will be Game Over. Taste the rainbow!!!!!!!!


The What (Obama will save us, right?)

Someday this war is gonna end...

Posted by: Return of The What at February 13, 2009 10:04 AM

This plan to subsidize homes for only the people who will default is just the opposite thinking these butheads would come up with. I like Obama but if this is the best he has to offer than he is not any different than Bush. This will start a huge downtrend in our economy. Aiding only the people who have defaulted or will default will bring about more defaults. These guys are all idiots.. Republicans and democrats. Time to get Marc Faber in the white house...

Posted by: HOBOKENROCKS at February 13, 2009 10:05 AM

While I agree Pitbull, aren't you the same guy who is using my tax dollars to subsidize your education, and instead of paying back the government you go out and buy video games

Posted by: dcorreale at February 13, 2009 10:05 AM

put down the crackpipe what, i think youre confusing me with someone else.

*r*

Posted by: PitbullNYC at February 13, 2009 10:06 AM

ugh okay fine so im a hypocrite. :-/ the one im defaulting on was a private loan btw. and the big government one i have to start paying back in april or something when my forebearance (might be the last one im allowed they told me) is up. also tax dollars to subsidize education for the economically disadvantaged is totally different than tax dollars used to subsidize's gigantic soaking tub and gigantic great room.

*r*

Posted by: PitbullNYC at February 13, 2009 10:10 AM

Really, you didn't post this yesterday?

"i made a super stupid decision last weekend and went to gamestop and bought a bunch of video games instead of paying back a student loan that is 7 months behind. what does that say about me? about consumers in general? i didnt even play any of those video games. there is something wrong with a lot of people, me included. but i have this general feeling that i dont have to pay back my student loans. why is that? i graduated in 2000. it's now 2009. i think i've paid a total of like 300 dollars towards the 27,000 dollars i have out in loans. the private perkins loan people are MAD annoying and keep messing with my credit report, but the government loan people are fine everytime i call and ask to forbear and just tell them i cant afford it. meh, lots of interest i guess (tho the government one is low). i dont know how to get the private perkins loans people off my butt. (they call my job and harrass me!) the worst part is that i didnt pay that private one for over 7 years and it was written off i believe!!!! but i STUPIDLY contacted my college and said oh hey id like to start paying back this loan. grrrrr. i came to find out that after 7 years i didnt have to anymore. that's not the case with the government loans tho, apparently that never goes away. but the psychic part of my brain tells me that it might be stupid to pay back if i cant afford it."

*r*


Posted by: dcorreale at February 13, 2009 10:10 AM

as long as there is no principal reduction, I am ok with govt subsidizing monthly payments for a limited time period for primary homes, for purely selfish reasons - my own property values.

Posted by: blackstoner at February 13, 2009 10:11 AM

sorry pitbull, thought you were referring to me with the crackpipe comment. I do agree that subsidizing education and irresponsible home buying are two different things, but I think we can all agree buying frivolous video games versus paying student loans is a bit hypocritical

Posted by: dcorreale at February 13, 2009 10:13 AM

not me i want these homes to come to market, I am ready to pounce and buy ..

Posted by: HOBOKENROCKS at February 13, 2009 10:13 AM

Putting the relative merits of subsidizing mortgages to the side for the moment, this is an amazing indicator of how bad the economy really is.

No one has a good solution how to fix the housing mess. If you let it die a "natural" death as some would like, then you put the possibility of a total market collapse back on the table.

If you artificially prop up the market, then you end up spending unheard of amounts of money with no clear end to the hemorrhage in sight.

That something like having the government step in to help pay mortgages is even on the table, even if it never happens, shows just what a god-awful mess this thing is. And that might be giving god-awful messes a bad name.

Posted by: 2br_or_bust at February 13, 2009 10:15 AM

"Put down the crackpipe what, i think youre confusing me with someone else."

Oh no Retard I have the right one baby! Ya see I wanted to tear you a new one for a long time. You are a Man-Child and you post your personal life on a God Damn blog instead of looking for work! You BRG, Bxgrl and Rob aka Putbull are all losers!!!!!!

Now back to the topic! This has Fail written all over it and it's only a matter of time before this whole thing crashes!!!!

The What (Hey Rob have a skittle..)

Someday this war is gonna end...

Posted by: Return of The What at February 13, 2009 10:15 AM

I see people everyday at my job who are seeking help paying rent and help with their mortgages. Right now there isn't much we can do for either. It sounds good to say that these people were irresponsible but the fact of the matter is that this is not the case with most of our clients. These are not people who were living above their means with high credit card debt. They are people who had good credit at one point but lost their jobs due to lay-offs or illness. Many have secured employment elsewhere but not at the same salary level so they are finding it hard to make ends meet. I wouldn't complain if my tax dollars went to helping the "unlucky" as Mr B. called them. It would help all of us in the long run.

Posted by: Just Wondering at February 13, 2009 10:17 AM

"You BRG, Bxgrl and Rob aka Putbull are all losers!!!!!!"

Pot=Kettle

Hey What have a Crow....

Posted by: daveinbedstuy at February 13, 2009 10:18 AM

ringo's plan

3.5% 30-year mortgage rates offered in 2009 for primary/second/investment residences. Can get more than one but in total amount can't exceed borrowers 4x annual hhi per last two year's returns. Must have credit scores north of 700 (58% of americans have FICO scores at 700 or higher).

4% in 2010
4.5 in 2011

Let the people who are at least somewhat financially aware come to the rescue and reward them for it with favorable terms.

That's the beginning and end of my stimulus package.

Posted by: Ringo at February 13, 2009 10:20 AM

What about the good people who pay there bills on time have had good credit all of sudden you lose your job have not been able to find a new one and have kids at home, now what?

It's ok that they lose there home... I think there has been a fine line.

No one said it was going to be easy. We have dug ourselves on big hole and it is not going to be easy to get out of it. We are a nation that spends spends and spends and reality has hit and we just can not spend anymore. It sucks!!

Posted by: Absolute Beginner at February 13, 2009 10:20 AM

This discussion is not particularly relevant to the high-end Brooklyn market. Foreclosures are not the story here, nor do I think they will be. Loss of purchasing power and loss of inertia will be the primary drivers of the reduction in Brooklyn prices. Don't expect foreclosures to happen here like they have in Florida, California, etc.

Posted by: lechacal at February 13, 2009 10:22 AM

There is a BIG difference between foreclosure due to greed in RE speculation, or living way above one's means, and foreclosure due to losing your job, or medical disaster, or predatory lending. I'm far less charitable to the first two, far more inclined to see programs that would help those who are impacted by forces much greater than themselves, or who were tricked into unaffordable loans. If means are taken to separate the two, and money or foregiveness is not just blanketly handed out, it could work. I'm afraid there are far more people who fall into the latter categories than we think. It's a big country, and some areas are hit far worse than here.

Posted by: Montrose Morris at February 13, 2009 10:24 AM

Owner of 10 Oak Street: Put 20% down, drives an old clunker, rarely eats out, "vacations" at Coney Island, puts money in a 529 Plan, makes every mortgage payment. This guy gets nothing.

Owner of 12 Oak Street: Put 0% down, leases a BMW, blows money in Vegas, cannot make mortgage payments. This guy gets a bailout.

Think about it.

Posted by: Suburbandude at February 13, 2009 10:25 AM

I'm with you MM...
I have to say -- it's heartwarming to see that the complex concept of "society" is so well and widely understood. Yeah, let's just let people who aren't us be kicked to the curb -- it surely will not end up affecting me, right?

Posted by: MrsCWB at February 13, 2009 10:27 AM

If Putnamdenizen were here today, none of us would have any money left after taxes to buy anything, no matter how hard we worked.

Posted by: daveinbedstuy at February 13, 2009 10:28 AM

"also tax dollars to subsidize education for the economically disadvantaged is totally different than tax dollars used to subsidize's gigantic soaking tub and gigantic great room."

It's all the same when the recipients don't uphold their end of the deal and taxpayers are left holding the bag.

Posted by: East New York at February 13, 2009 10:29 AM

Ringo that sounds like a plan but it does not include people whose FICO's took a nose dive after a job loss. I would prefer to see a plan where everyones interest rate is lowered to 5% with those who have FICO scores above 700 getting even lower rates. This would help most of my clients who once again were laid-off and have since found employment but aren't making as much as before. Many of them have high interest rate mortgages and an interest rate reduction would make their mortgages affordable. The banks would still make their money on these loans.

Posted by: Just Wondering at February 13, 2009 10:31 AM

It is logistically impossible, or at least prohibitively expensive, to separate the "worthy" and "unworthy" defaulters.

Posted by: dcorreale at February 13, 2009 10:33 AM

economically disadvantaged?

what on earth is that?

a college education and "aint got no job?"

Posted by: bkn4life at February 13, 2009 10:34 AM

The only way this would be fair is to do it for people who either purchased a home they could actually afford with a reasonable loan and are now in trouble because of unemployment and the economic situation, or people who were victims of predatory lending. Since there is no way to really figure that out I don't think they can do it. As suburbandude pointed out, it is not justifiable to subsidize someone who was reckless with their money.

Also, if they actually introduce that new home buyer credit I am going to be pissed. What about someone like me who already took a chance and purchased a place just a few months ago???

Posted by: AndYouWillKnowUsbyTheTrailofRenters at February 13, 2009 10:35 AM

Why,dcorreale? I would assume any program would have to have applicants filling out forms. This is the gov't, after all. If you list your assets, expenses, tax forms, credit reports, pay stubs, etc, etc - all the things you submit to get an above board mortgage in the first place, any trained agent can tell true economic hardship from someone buying a mansion with a trailor income.

What will be prohibitivly expensive will be to do nothing.

Posted by: Montrose Morris at February 13, 2009 10:39 AM

What- all I have to say is that being called a loser by the likes of you is an honor. Had you comlimented me I would have been embarrassed.

I realize your life is so miserable that you can only sit and spew so I won't beat up on you too much this time. Unless you'd like me to.... but then that would mean you like it too much and I'm not into the dominatrix stuff. Unless you're in handcuffs and underwear. (I bet there are some cops who would pay good money to see that!)

Posted by: bxgrl at February 13, 2009 10:44 AM

Fairness is usually the first casualty in crisis. No it's not fair that folks who lived within their means won't get help in this situation. But the goal here is not fairness--it's avoiding disaster.

I don't really know if this plan is the best choices, but from what I can tell, any and all proposals will have to be unfair to be sufficiently potent and widespread to have an impact on the overall economy.

Posted by: 2br_or_bust at February 13, 2009 10:46 AM

"There is a BIG difference between foreclosure due to greed in RE speculation, or living way above one's means, and foreclosure due to losing your job"

Really, Montrose?

Doesn't "living within one's means" mean to save for a rainy day?

In other threads, you state that we ought to return to the concept of thrift (with which I agree). How does this plan reward thrift? Suburbandude's post at 10.25 AM framed the issue exactly right.

I am totally opposed to any plan that dis-incentivizes thrift, which is what this country needs to get back to. I am tired of seeing the concept of personal responsibility trashed by our governments.

Finally, regarding a sudden job loss, MM: don't we already have unemployment insurance? Where does nanny state stop? When does personal responsibility take over?

Posted by: benson at February 13, 2009 10:47 AM

Montrose, you don't think this would be riddled with grey areas. So someone who put 10% down and was dependent on a wall street bonus and has been living a life of luxury but now lost his job. Do you subsidize him? Or how about the guy in small town america who just lost his job, but realizes he will get subsidized if he doesn't take the $8 / hour McDonalds job, while his neighbor from the same factory that shut down does take the McD's job and is able to, through extreme hardship, keep good on his payments. Too much grey area IMO

Posted by: dcorreale at February 13, 2009 10:48 AM

Start buying hard assets, our dollar is going to crapppppp...

Posted by: HOBOKENROCKS at February 13, 2009 10:49 AM

People taking potshots at Obama are fools ... we just let the worst president in US history bend our country over a stool for eight years. If you think the damage can be fixed in a month, you're crazy.

I don't think Obama's a savior from the heavens -- in fact, I am highly skeptical that he'll be able to enact any real change in a country that's been essentially stalled for the last 40 years, but to be like "welp, the economy still sucks. Fail!" after a month is insane.

Additionally, I just watched my own parents lose their primary source of income, have to settle for a new income that's 40% lower, and have to sell the house that my entire family grew up in so as to avoid foreclosure. So forgive me (and my language) if I extend a big "fuck you" to everyone who's advocating sitting back and allowing blanket failure as some kind of solution.

That's not the right way to treat other human beings. Even if in the process of trying to help those who deserve it, you end up helping some who don't, it's still better to do something.

Posted by: cwbuecheler at February 13, 2009 10:50 AM

The person with high credit card debt, leasing a BMW, going to Vegas but not paying his mortgage is easily found out. So are the real estate speculators who purchased four or five homes with no money down by working with shady mortgage brokers who helped them doctor their paper work to qualify for the mortgages. This all shows up on their credit reports and on their bank statements. I can say it's been my experience that the speculators out number the BMW driving, Vegas going, 25K in credit card debt having, non-mortgage paying folks. But the people who lost jobs are the vast majority of the people who are in trouble.

Posted by: Just Wondering at February 13, 2009 10:52 AM

"Since there is no way to really figure that out I don't think they can do it."

Of course there is. As Montrose explains, there's normally a paper trail.

Posted by: East New York at February 13, 2009 10:52 AM

Until we see the economy as a holistic entiry I wonder how we will eer fix the problem. I don't beleive in subsidizing irresponsibility but how would we ever be able to know who was a financial idiot and who just fell on bad times due to the economy? That's asking us to bemindreaders.

I'm sure there are indicators that could be looked at but I don't think we have a chance at all if we get bogged down in trying to microcontrol everything at this point. Right now all we have is a bunch of rotten choices and in all honesty if some undeserving sod gets money to stay in the house he can't afford, I'm all for it if it means 20 deserving families get to keep their homes too.

Posted by: bxgrl at February 13, 2009 10:55 AM

Lets make rent and credit card interest deductible if we're going to throw money at homeowners...

Is that enough gasoline

Posted by: dittoburg at February 13, 2009 10:59 AM

"To the clueless the is a subsidy for Bankers!"

Point blank.

***Bid half off peak comps***

Posted by: Brownstones Half Off at February 13, 2009 10:59 AM

CWB;

I take exception to your post. I am sorry for what happened to your folks, but that does not give you the right to imply that anyone who disagrees with this plan as some type of heartless fool, and drop the F-bomb on us. We live in a democracy, you know, and you need to respect that people of good will can have a different opinion.

MM and Just Wondering;

You are completely incorrect in implying that the foreclosure crisis is related to unemployment. The sub-prime mortgage crisis started in the summer of 2007,WELL BEFORE the current economic slump. In the summer of 2007, the unemployment rate was hovering around 5%.

The simple fact of the matter is that many folks bit off more than they could chew. I would submit to you that for many of these folks, foreclosure is actually the best option. What mercy is there in trying to keep folks in a home which will continue to be a burden on their shoulders? Studies have shown that many folks who are given relief on mortgages eventually do foreclose anyway, due to poor habits of thrift, unsteady incomes, etc.

Posted by: benson at February 13, 2009 11:03 AM

The foreclosure crisis started with the rollover of adjustable rate mortgages of which many people did not understand what the hell they were getting into.

Posted by: daveinbedstuy at February 13, 2009 11:09 AM

Anything that requires investigating a paper trail is nuts. The government doesn't know how to do that.

We have to stop fetishing home ownership. If you can't afford your home/your mortgage -- a liability - you need to sell. I don't care why. Job loss, medical, dumb moves. It doesn't matter. If you can't afford it today, you won't be able to afford it next year either. This economy isn't going to turn around that quickly. Sell. Pay off your credit cards. Move on. The question, "How can we help them keep their home?" is not the right question. How can we get them back on their feet? That's the real question and the answer is to sell their home.

Sellers need buyers and that's why we need a mortgage plan for credit-worthy people. The best possible solution would be to get back to the olden days when people might own a home and own one rental property as a nest egg. And other people rent until they can afford a home. Really afford a home.

Posted by: Ringo at February 13, 2009 11:13 AM

benson -

If you have a differing opinion that doesn't include plunging tens of thousands of good, honest, hard-working people into poverty, then I'm perfectly happy to entertain it in a pleasant and open manner.

If your opinion is "just let everyone be foreclosed on because whatever, it's not me, and the system needs to be cleaned out" -- which was essentially what a couple of early posts in this topic said -- then I stand by my statement.

Posted by: cwbuecheler at February 13, 2009 11:16 AM

"We have to stop fetishing home ownership. If you can't afford your home/your mortgage -- a liability - you need to sell. I don't care why. Job loss, medical, dumb moves. It doesn't matter. If you can't afford it today, you won't be able to afford it next year either. This economy isn't going to turn around that quickly. Sell. Pay off your credit cards. Move on. The question, "How can we help them keep their home?" is not the right question. How can we get them back on their feet? That's the real question and the answer is to sell their home."

Ringo;

Excellent!!! This deserves "Quote of the Month", IMHO.

Posted by: benson at February 13, 2009 11:17 AM

Rob - if you can't pay your student loans it looks like you need to move somewhere cheaper so you can.
Why should I subsidize you so you can enjoy life in Park Slope.

Move to Bushwick moron with the rest of the young educated losers in this city.

Posted by: Flatbushrising at February 13, 2009 11:19 AM

CWB;

It seems to me that you are more interested in establishing your superior moral credentials, rather than debate the issue.

As such, I have nothing further to say to you on this matter except this: don't put words in my mouth.

Posted by: benson at February 13, 2009 11:19 AM

"absolutely disgusting that my taxes are going to subsidize people to pay their mortgages while i can barely afford to make my own rent which i make sure is ALWAYS paid and if i couldnt pay it i'd move somewhere that i could.
*r*"

But you are perfectly fine with not paying your student loans???!!! By not paying you are likely to be making it more costly for students to get loans now, if not less likely for them to get any loans at all. Someone is paying for your loan if you aren't. You have no reason to be outraged. You have admitted to spending money on games rather than paying your loan -- why are you so special?

Posted by: BH76 at February 13, 2009 11:23 AM

Fetishing home ownership was one of Bush's programs. It worked too well- how many times have renters been denigrated even here on Brownstoner? Now, when millions of people climbed onto the Bush bandwagon of homeownership (and look how much money the RE markiet and banks made off of them) when the economy collapses, we want to punish those lowest on the totem pole? Sorry- I'm with CWB.

The powers-that-be acted far more irresponsibly than some lower income schnook who was led to believe that he was doing the right thing for his family.

Posted by: bxgrl at February 13, 2009 11:24 AM

benson -

I don't believe that I put words in your mouth. I was responding to quotes like the following:

"Couldn't agree more - they need to let the foreclosures occur and for the system to cleansed."

... which was not something you said. I don't think you're sitting back and advocating blanket failure, so my "FU" didn't apply to you.

In fact, I haven't even expressed what my actual opinion is on the bailout, so you don't even know whether I disagree with you or not. I only expressed an opinion regarding people making blanket statements that we should just let all of the foreclosures happen.

Posted by: cwbuecheler at February 13, 2009 11:28 AM

The Reatards still miss the point. We are in a DEPRESSION Dumbasses and they are trying to pass out the skittles hoping everything magically returns back to normal! The Assheads on Brownstoner is worried about the home prices when there is a worldwide global meltdown!!

This thing is bigger than Obama and quite frankly I don't see how he's going to fix this mess. Real Estate is OVER OVER OVER! It's just a matter of time before the contagion engulfs New York City! Keep dreaming retards and continue to suck down the skittles...

U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Fell to 56.2 (Update1)

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ahM2dbtAi_Ps&refer=home

The longest recession since 1982, including the loss of 3.57 million jobs, is damping Americans’ spirits, prompting them to curtail spending. Congress yesterday moved toward passage by the end of this week of a $789 billion economic stimulus plan that would cut taxes, extend unemployment benefits and expand federal spending on roads and other infrastructure.

Team Bear Have a great Weekend and to the rest of the retards suck it well..

The What (Obama is looking to buy at the Toren)

Someday this war is gonna end...

Posted by: Return of The What at February 13, 2009 11:30 AM

Benson tell the people that I see everyday that their impending foreclosures are not related to their unemployment. If they had their jobs, their mortgages would be current.


Posted by: Just Wondering at February 13, 2009 11:31 AM

We are not in a Depression, Asshat. Maybe it feels like one to you but 93% of the population is still employed.

Posted by: daveinbedstuy at February 13, 2009 11:31 AM

AndYouWillKnowUsbyTheTrailofRenters -

If you bought a few months ago - you qualify for the New Home Tax Buyers credit - if you fall within the criteria. Look it up.
I'm not closing until March, but I'll be able to take the credit on my 2008 taxes. Right now it has to be paid back over 15 years, but they are talking about not having to pay it back.

I won't mind paying it back, but I'm glad it's there right now. I waited until prices looked semi-normal, have a credit score of over 800, and bought something I can afford, even if I were to lose my job.
What the credit is doing for me is giving me some savings to work with after putting everything into a downpayment. If I can find a way to pay it back to the IRS early I will once my savings bulks up again.

Posted by: Flatbushrising at February 13, 2009 11:35 AM

CWB;

OK, thanks. All cool.

Bxgrl;

I'll readily grant that Bush over-emphasized homeownership, though I would argue that he was not alone on that. Talking about the cause of the problem, however, does not point to the solution. I still think that Ringo hit the nail right on the head. The issue should not be framed as keeping folks in their home - a liability- but on getting them back on their feet. For many of these folks, selling a house they could never really afford IS the solution. It is exactly akin to paying off their credit card bills - another liability.

I'll take Ringo's statement a step further. This country would be alot better off if owning a home is seen for what it is: a form of consumption, rather than an "investment". The decision to won or rent a home is exactly analogous to that of buying or leasing a car.

Posted by: benson at February 13, 2009 11:37 AM

If you don't allow failure to occur, the US is going to end up just like Japan in the 90's - real estate prices fell for 15 straight years until they finally took the proper steps to wipe out bad debt in 2003/4. People most definitely should not be tossed to the curb and maybe the banks could end up owning the homes but letting the prior owners rent them out until they could repurchase them at a later date.

Posted by: jnjnjn2 at February 13, 2009 11:38 AM

> "For many of these folks, selling a house they could never really afford IS the solution."

Wow, largely lefty SnarkSlope agrees with you on this one.

Posted by: SnarkSlope at February 13, 2009 11:42 AM

Just Wondering;

So by that logic, the early 1980's, when unemployment was over 10%, should have been a period of massive foreclosures. In fact, however, there was no foreclosure crisis back then.

Back then, of course, the national savings rate was much higher. Perhaps back then, folks did save for a rainy day, and lived within their means.

Posted by: benson at February 13, 2009 11:44 AM

I can agree with the idea behind what you're saying re owning a house a consumption- although i think you still have to say that it is also an investment, like buying machinery for a shop. It's both.

Still, what is the reality for these people? What happens to them? I'm just not comfortable with the idea they need to be punished for trying to own a piece of the American dream- one which they were told by those who knew better, that they could afford. And I don't see how throwing them out of their homes will help them get back on their feet. More likely that will be the final nail in their coffins.

I am intrigued by jnjnjn2's idea of keeping them in their homes as renters with the idea they may later repurchase.

What would you think about that?

Posted by: bxgrl at February 13, 2009 11:46 AM

Bxgrl;

I could agree with the idea of allowing these folks a rent-to-own option. I do agree that many of these folks were snookered, and some way should be found to get them back on their feet. My main point is that it should it not be done at the expense of -once again- destroying the concept of thrift.

Well, now that we've reached agreement on that, and Snark agrees with me above, I think some "Kumbaya" sing-long is called for.

Posted by: benson at February 13, 2009 11:52 AM

fwiw I completely agree that selling a house is always a superior answer to foreclosure (that's why my parents sold theirs and rented something cheaper). I also agree that people who bought way above their means need to bite the bullet and downsize -- if they can. The market is so weak right now that there are blocks and blocks of houses in places like Florida and Arizona just sitting empty. You can't sell a house, even if you're willing to take a loss, if no one will buy it.

This is a horrible situation that the country's dealing with, and no single solution is going to be perfect.

Posted by: cwbuecheler at February 13, 2009 11:52 AM

We can't keep people in their homes as renters because it's TOO HARD FOR THIS GOVERNMENT! This is how TARP monies get lost. Too confusing.

Hey, I feel for people in this situation. People were hoodwinked. But there is some point where you have to take control of your life.

You buy a BMW because those ads were so misleading! They made it seem like that was the answer to a happy life! The American dream! And terms of the lease were confusing and I didn't understand it and just signed it anyway because the guy said I could have it in any color. Wah!

Now, is the question, How do I keep this BMW? It is not. Sell it. Get out from under it. And then -- don't go out and lease another at better terms! Take the bus. Save. A little money in your retirement account every month. A little into the 529s Then, in time, buy yourself a nice used car that you can afford. Really afford.

The one thing we can do is help find buyers for the people who need to sell. Really low mortgage rates will bring people in. People are ready to come in, they just don't think the bottom is here yet (and they're probably right). Government could easily help get things moving with super low rates. But instead we want to help people keep these damn BMWs. Argh!

Posted by: Ringo at February 13, 2009 12:07 PM


Blame these guys

http://www.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,1877351_1877350,00.html

Posted by: East New York at February 13, 2009 12:08 PM

I am willing to bet that 98% of the people who've been foreclosed on have never been behind the wheel of a BMW in their life. These are not Wall-Streeters who lost their job -- most of those folks haven't been foreclosed on yet, even if it's going to happen at all. You're mostly talking about, like, Florida secretaries who bought a home for $200k when they could only truly afford one for $150k, and similar.

This is why the foreclosure rate in Bed Stuy is more than 10x what it is in Brooklyn Heights.

Posted by: cwbuecheler at February 13, 2009 12:13 PM

"Oh no Retard I have the right one baby!"

LOL.

***Bid half off peak comps***

Posted by: Brownstones Half Off at February 13, 2009 12:13 PM

ringo- that's not a real comparison. You don't buy a BMW as an investment for the future or for financial stability. You buy a BMW for conceit. You're also going on the assumption that all of these people were buying McMansions or top of the line designer homes in gated enclaves. How about we not make assumptions- I'm willing to bet the majority of people who bought homes were going for the Fords and Chevies, not the BMWs.

Posted by: bxgrl at February 13, 2009 12:13 PM

Shocking new photo of The What wearing his favorite hat: http://soccerlens.com/wp-content/uploads/2007/09/asshat.jpg

Posted by: lechacal at February 13, 2009 12:18 PM

How is helping someone buy a home with low mortgage rates different than helping someone get out of bad loan by allowing the loan to be modified? Rates are incredibly low as it is - and if an extra point off a mortgage is the difference maker for a person deciding to buy a home or not, that person shouldn't be buying a home. People are losing their jobs left and right, and its getting worse - the buyers out there are vanishing.

Posted by: jnjnjn2 at February 13, 2009 12:21 PM

All PR. Lemme see, so the goal is to make financially strapped people serve longer prison terms of debt? Lol

Posted by: cornerbodega at February 13, 2009 12:21 PM

Wow Benson, I'm in total agreement with you!

However, If they were upside down in their homes even if they sell they may not have anything left to relocate their family.

Maybe the government should use that money to help families that are being foreclosed on downsize to smaller, less expensive foreclosed homes within that persons means or if that isn't an option, a rental property.

Something like a foreclosure property repository where they assist you in downgrading?

Posted by: TownhouseLady at February 13, 2009 12:22 PM

"So by that logic, the early 1980's, when unemployment was over 10%, should have been a period of massive foreclosures. In fact, however, there was no foreclosure crisis back then."

There is no logic to it Benson. It is what it is. Once again, the lady that just left my desk can't pay her mortgage because she lost her job. Tell her that the current crisis has nothing to do with unemployment.

"Back then, of course, the national savings rate was much higher. Perhaps back then, folks did save for a rainy day, and lived within their means."

I was in high school in the 1980's so I didn't pay much attention to who was saving what. I know that it was easier to save and families were able to get by on one income. Even further back my grandparents didn't need a mortgage to buy their house in 1940's. They paid cash and they were far from wealthy. It was a different world back then.

Posted by: Just Wondering at February 13, 2009 12:24 PM

To add to my original thought...

This would create less foreclosed homes on the market which would also help homeowners who "did the right thing" not lose as much equity on their homes. It also wouldn't serve as a direct handout, allowing people to stay in homes that they clearly can't afford. They would have to move to something they could reasonable afford.

Posted by: TownhouseLady at February 13, 2009 12:27 PM

Question to you all ..

Who is going to buy that house that you suggest they sell and at what price will it go for?

If the mortgage on the home is higher than the sale price, which in many parts of the country it most likely is, those losses must be "eaten" by the banks that have the mortgage on their books or by the investors in the collateralized crappolla that the banks passed off as AAA rated by S&P.

Though I agree that market forces should be allowed to play themselves out here, if we really let that happen, the result will be a huge black hole of deflation, market collapse (real estate and securities) and long-term negative/no/very slow growth. Not something I want to deal with. I am as thrifty as they come, but I don't want to shoulder the consequences of that burden.

Nationalize the banks, write off their bad debts, fire their executives, fold the insolvent banks into the relatively healthy ones and sell them off. A painful move but one that Japan and Sweden - and the US during the S&L crisis of the 80's - know to be the best option.

As for the mortgages, reset all underperforming mortgages to a low fixed rate. If the homeowner still can't make the payments, let the market play itself out from there as those people are ion over their heads and must get out.

Posted by: Miss Chiff at February 13, 2009 12:28 PM

George Packer's New Yorker article about the FL situation is eye-opening. Fascinating really. The Florida secretaries were flipping houses, not buying houses just outside their comfort zone. Buying houses just outside your range does not cause a financial collapse.

I hate to say this, but people were speculating. This is about small-time speculators and big-time speculators alike. They were buying newly built homes in developments. They weren't investing. They were not buying homes that they were going to live in for the remainder of their days. Cause if they were? Prices dropping would not be an issue.

(and the guy in the article who lost everything? he went out and bought a hummer)

I'm not sure if the article is online, but video is: (but the article is really worth reading)

http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/tny/2009/02/packer-florida.html?xrail

Posted by: Ringo at February 13, 2009 12:41 PM

house prices and unemployment are interlinked - in fact the whole global economy is interlinked.

people don't buy houses => construction workers laid off => not buying new cars => autoworkers laid off => don't eat out at restaurants => waiters get laid off => etc, etc.

The whole edifice is crumbling and there's no way that any of you can armchair quarterback the solution to this one.

Posted by: the chicken at February 13, 2009 12:42 PM

BHO: since I was out of town yesterday and couldn't respond to your comically inadequate indictments of your character (or lack thereof) here are my responses...

"Man up. This is life on earth. You bought into the hype of the MARB. Deal with it. Then learn from it."

I bought a house and home office and I am glad I did. I am a good neighbor and member of my community. I have put my money where my mouth is, unlike you. It is so easy to sit here and shit on everybody. I am surprised you still find it amusing. Try doing something with your life.

Posted by: wasder at February 13, 2009 12:26 PM

"You are a two-faced poseur."

We all are. It's a blog.

I'm not. I have put myself out here honestly and told people about the process of buying my house. It is hard to be honest sometimes, and I expressed my concerns and my hopes etc honestly and featured pictures on this blog. That is being oneself, something you could learn a bit about. Sitting on a blog and pretending to be something you are not does not make you tough. It makes you pathetic.

Posted by: wasder at February 13, 2009 12:29 PM

Posted by: wasder at February 13, 2009 12:42 PM

Wasder,

Don't worry there are many of us that recognize and appreciate you for it!

Posted by: TownhouseLady at February 13, 2009 12:51 PM

I think there's a pretty clear division between "people who represent themselves honestly" and "people who are hiding behind internet anonymity"

I'd hope I fall into the former group, considering I use my own name as a login. :P

Posted by: cwbuecheler at February 13, 2009 1:00 PM

Wasder pay no heed to cornerbooger. He used "white" as an epithet on DIBS yesterday. He's in the same class as winelover, he's been excommunicated.

Posted by: dittoburg at February 13, 2009 1:00 PM

THL--thanks.

Ditto--I definitely never pay cornerbodega any mind but in this case I have a beef with BHO, or more specifically with his What-wannabe act on here. I called him out for being two faced and he said that all of us are.

cwb--you definitely fall on my side of that line. I love reading what you and your wife write and I really appreciate the fact that I feel like I know who you are. I also would be very easy to identify if one was so inclined and I don't really care. I know who I am and why I am living where I am living and I am proud of that.

Posted by: wasder at February 13, 2009 1:08 PM

My mis-reading, I apologize.

Posted by: dittoburg at February 13, 2009 1:10 PM

BHO: since I was out of town yesterday and couldn't respond to your comically inadequate indictments of your character (or lack thereof) here are my responses...

should read "comically inadequate responses to my indictments of your character (or lack thereof)"

Posted by: wasder at February 13, 2009 1:19 PM

Ringo & Surburbandude - right on!
It's just interesting how both bailouts of homeowners and corporations are soldifying bad behavior
yes - there are plenty of people who need the help because they were laid-off and were living within or slightly above their means just trying to get by. But then there are the people who are taking on 2-3 jobs, not eating out etc just trying to make their monthly mortgage and are at least doing so but the bailout is not for them. So what do those people do? Just keep living a crap life?

Posted by: gemini10 at February 13, 2009 1:50 PM

Get the rates down to 4.5% and keep them there. It will allow those who are paying their bills to refinance and save them hundreds per month. The FED is trying to do this buy purchasing MBS but damn bond traders see the cycle and are profit taking by selling off MBS after the Fed purchases.

Fannie/Freddie should offer a streamline refinance (like FHA does) Streamline refinances allow you to Rate and Term refi without income/appraisal/credit etc.. All you need to do is prove that you are paying the mortgage on time and that both your rate and payment are going down. This helps those that are upside down but still paying their bills as well as those that are out of work by reducing their monthly payments.

Offer tax breaks to those who purchase loans in areas that have been decimated by foreclosures to protect the other homeowners in the area.

BMW just makes a great car in my opinion.

Posted by: Adam Dahill at February 13, 2009 2:24 PM

I love that Dave thinks that "93 % of the population is still employed." Dave, is that according to U3 or U6?

Posted by: Whuh at February 13, 2009 2:49 PM

"I love that Dave thinks that "93 % of the population is still employed." Dave, is that according to U3 or U6?"

Not sure about U3 or U6, but, according to U2, 67% of the population still hasn't found what they're looking for.

Posted by: Biff Champion at February 13, 2009 2:56 PM

Now that sounds like a plan Adam. Currently the Streamline program is only offered to people who are currently in FHA mortgages. To expand it would help people who may have previously gotten forebearance or modification agreements that ended with them having even higher payments than the intial payment.

On another note, I remember one of my college professors saying that the FHA was started to fight communism because people who owned homes were less likely to be communist sympathizers since they owned something. I know that I regurgitated this argument on a final exam to pass his class but is there really any truth to it?

Posted by: Just Wondering at February 13, 2009 3:00 PM

Whuh...I subtracted the unemployment rate from 100. It may not be precise but its a close enough approximation.

U Dumbass

Posted by: daveinbedstuy at February 13, 2009 3:02 PM

actually real unemployment is higher. More like 12 percent. But the real problems lay at what the government is trying to do. They should have just purchased 1 million homes at 65 percent of their peak value. Most banks take this offer and the derivatives that are associated with these homes move up in price. The stock market moves up and stabalizes as well. The banks that are still insolvent should fail and the rest will take over. The artificial floor is what they should have done. Instead they throw money everywhere but where it is needed. Dumb leading the dumber.... DUMBMOFOS

Posted by: HOBOKENROCKS at February 13, 2009 3:10 PM

If rates get down to 4.5%, I will be the happiest boy in all of whoville.

Posted by: cwbuecheler at February 13, 2009 3:16 PM

SO WILL I , BUT I WOULD RATHER HAVE MY MORTGAGE PAID FOR ME. What was I thinking when I sent my mortgage payment in every month like a good little citizen.

Posted by: HOBOKENROCKS at February 13, 2009 3:19 PM

HOBOKENROCKS - I'm going to go ahead and guess that there are or will be incentive packages in there for people who haven't been foreclosed on.

There's not enough info out there yet to even make a judgement, and once the info IS out, I highly doubt it can be summarized as "let's pay some people's mortgages for them"

In the meantime, congratulations. You made all of your payments. That probably means you have a job. So why not have some sympathy for the vast swaths of people who lost their jobs and had to choose between making house payments and feeding their kids?

Posted by: cwbuecheler at February 13, 2009 3:23 PM

HOBOKEN's not really interested in anything that might stabilize the market.

Posted by: daveinbedstuy at February 13, 2009 3:26 PM

I have no problem with the stabalization, I have not really traded since january 4th. I will only trade if I see some major resistance levels broken. As for stabalization I don't see the idiots running our treasury ever getting anything right. They can't even do a basic tax return...

Posted by: HOBOKENROCKS at February 13, 2009 3:43 PM

hey whatever happened to all those great remodeling jobs we had on this site. I guess the economy is messed up.

Posted by: HOBOKENROCKS at February 13, 2009 3:49 PM

When are we going to get the public hangings of bankers and real estate agents. Their greed has ruined this country. We will all be fileing for wellfare pretty soon.

Posted by: hannible at February 13, 2009 5:47 PM

Personally I would love a 4.5 interest rate too. But isn't low interest rates what got us into this whole mess in the first place? I do believe anyone with an ARM should have them magically transformed into a reasonable 30 year rate. At what valuation I do not know.

Posted by: mopar at February 13, 2009 5:55 PM

"We are not in a Depression, Asshat. Maybe it feels like one to you but 93% of the population is still employed.

Posted by: daveinbedstuy at February 13, 2009 11:31 AM"

"Whuh...I subtracted the unemployment rate from 100. It may not be precise but its a close enough approximation.

U Dumbass

Posted by: daveinbedstuy at February 13, 2009 3:02 PM"


Sorry Dave but you're not even close.

http://www.mint.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/01/unemploymentratemint2.jpg


Posted by: the chicken at February 14, 2009 7:35 AM

"I love that Dave thinks that "93 % of the population is still employed." Dave, is that according to U3 or U6?"

I bring up quotes from dibs on a daily basis, each showing how much of a retard dibs is

Posted by: cornerbodega at February 14, 2009 12:23 PM

DIBS is not retarded - but I do think his analysis is biased through some vested interests somewhere.

It really brings down the tone of a discussion when name-calling, however instigated, enters it.

Posted by: the chicken at February 14, 2009 3:55 PM

Tweedle dumb and tweedle dumber and their armchair economic analysis. Hey chicken shit....that website looks really reputable.

Two dumbasses, both pretty clueless ones at that.

Posted by: daveinbedstuy at February 14, 2009 8:30 PM

Not sure what I've said here, or anywhere else, warrants that kind of response - unless it's in your nature to fling insults at anyone that disagrees with you. If that's the case, then "dew lay lo mo chow hiy lay been tiy see fat gwai".

Now we've got the name calling out of the way, let's have a rational debate.

Yes, the above blog was meant to be a tongue-in-cheek look at the reported v actual unemployment statistics - but it doesn't mean that it's wrong.

Let's go to a more "reputable" site then - the Bureau of Labor Statistics. I'm not going to go into the inherent weaknesses in the calculation of the number. I'll just use the numbers that they report and go from there:

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf
page 14. Jan 09
Civilian noninstitutional population 234,739k (1)
Civilian labour force 153,445k (2)
Participation rate (1 / 2) 65.4%
Employed 140,436k
Unemployed 13,009k (3)
Unemployment rate (3 / 2) 8.5%
Not in labour force (1 - 2) 81,293k

from page 12.
People are classified as unemployed if they meet all of
the following criteria: They had no employment during the
reference week; they were available for work at that time; and they made specific efforts to find employment sometime
during the 4-week period ending with the reference week.
Persons laid off from a job and expecting recall need not be looking for work to be counted as unemployed. The
unemployment data derived from the household survey in no
way depend upon the eligibility for or receipt of
unemployment insurance benefits.

Two things to point out here. An 8.5% unemployment rate does not mean that we have 91.5% employment rate. From these statistics, at best the employment rate of the adult population is 60% (140,436k / 234,739k). This is overly dramatic because it also includes all manner of people that it is reasonable to exclude; eg college students, wealthy retired, disabled persons, etc.

The second thing to highlight is that it's not that easy to get included in the unemployed statistics (which is the point my previous link made). If you did any work at all in the week then you are not counted as unemployed. If you got laid off because business is quiet but the boss says he'll call you back when it gets busier then you're not unemployed.


Posted by: the chicken at February 15, 2009 3:15 AM

Please do not forget to mention that once your unemployment benefits run out. ( 14 weeks=6 months) You are no longer considered unemployed but unelligible for more benefits. Considering we started losing jobs a year ago 8 percent unemployment is a pretty optimistic number.

Posted by: hannible at February 15, 2009 11:14 AM

anything beyond the bold headlines is beyond the likes of dibs, 11217 et al...

Posted by: cornerbodega at February 15, 2009 2:30 PM

The bail out money used toward housing shall be used to help 1st time owners or people owning 2 properties max. Whoever owns more than 2 properties shall be considered a speculator, and shall not be helped! Period!

Posted by: stringer at February 16, 2009 10:17 AM

The bail out money used toward housing shall be used to help 1st time owners or people owning 2 properties max. Whoever owns more than 2 properties shall be considered a speculator, and shall not be helped, Period!

Posted by: stringer at February 16, 2009 10:17 AM

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