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June 26, 2007

Corco Cutting Prices East of Classon

corccut2b.jpg
It can be hard to spot a trend in the real estate market until after the fact, but we couldn't help but notice when we were perusing Natefind yesterday that Corcoran had cut prices on six of its townhouse listings in Bed Stuy and Crown Heights within the past week. (The biggest cut, both in absolute and percentage terms, was at 36 Monroe Street.) Is this a coincidence, do you think, or could there have been some word from on high that drove these cuts? Taken as a whole, do the cuts signify anything about the market in those neighborhoods or is this bad news balanced out by bidding wars at places like 100 Decatur?
56 Monroe Street [Corcoran] GMAP
36 Monroe Street [Corcoran] GMAP
470 MacDonough Street [Corcoran] GMAP
1300 Carroll Street [Corcoran] GMAP
1416 Sterling Place [Corcoran] GMAP
610 Eastern Parkway [Corcoran] GMAP




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Comments

decatur or greene you mean.
not sure if it's a trend.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 10:22 AM

A lack of enthusiasm for the more risky areas must be obvious to the corcoran brokers.
At this rate the only sellers market remaining will be center slope, carroll gardens and cobble hill.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 10:24 AM

Why not discuss (or "notice") the price cuts in your own neighborhood, Clinton Hill? The constant shielding of your backyard is what gives this site ZERO credibility.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 10:31 AM

I am surprised about the crown heights property on Eastern Pkwy but not by the Sterling one, that is in the less nice part of Crown Heights... The pad on Carroll Street is a great house but it's a one-family that needs to be renovated... so even with the price cut, it's going to cost over a million when it's redone...Can't speak for Bed-Stuy

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 10:31 AM

Frequent gunshots, gangs, drug dealers and their beeping walkie talkie phones...shall I go on? Welcome to the 'hood, gentrifiers.

Posted by: enid at June 26, 2007 10:32 AM

summer doldrums?

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 10:34 AM

Risky is right! I know someone who bought in bed stuy and regretted it as he was mugged more than once. BTW he is not frail by any stretch of the imagination.

Posted by: george at June 26, 2007 10:34 AM

I am pretty certain that 1300 Carroll was originally listed at 899 and then reduced to 849.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 10:40 AM

10:31am I agree with whole heartedly. This site is so biased in some many ways (Neighborhood, Architecture, Politics). I think the site is a great resource, but it sure supports the notion that blogs are so far away from being anything journalistic or credible.

I hope Mr. B has a open door policy to return to his old day job, because sites like this will fall out of favor. What stops someone else from creating a blog that just spews subjective viewpoints and doesn't create real unbiased dialogues.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 10:43 AM

I heard that several other Brownstoner-like sites are being started. Anyone know of these sites?

Posted by: archy at June 26, 2007 10:45 AM

I also think these are markets that Corcoran is not as familiar with. They do a limited amount of business in these areas at this time and don't have local offices there so their pricing is going to be a little off. Of course if they are going to err it will be on the high side rather than the low side.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 10:49 AM

10:43 and 10:45 are the same poster. yawn.

Posted by: Brownstoner at June 26, 2007 10:52 AM

We just bought in Crown Heights and had a difficult time finding something realistic. The few properties available in the area were overpriced and still needed significant renovation. This neighborhood will change, but the truth is that not every brownstone in Brooklyn is worth 1 million. We bought from Corcoran and the realtor constantly reminded us of what a "bargain" we got. At the end of the day we paid what we thought the house was worth it and with the intention of remaining here for a long while.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:00 AM

Hmmm 10:31, was it not just yesterday that we posted about 156 St. James selling for almost half its original asking price? Or last Monday when we mocked the ridiculous pricing at 483 Washington? You need to pay a little more attention.

Posted by: Brownstoner at June 26, 2007 11:01 AM

What price cuts in Clinton Hill? Just curious

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:07 AM

Even with the cuts, I still think the prices are too high.

When I read CH/FG crime reports, most incidences occur on Classon Ave. I shudder to think what goes on east of Classon.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:08 AM

I don't think it's a lack of enthusiasm, for these areas, it's a reality check. They priced these houses way too high, and no one was foolish enough to bite.

Corcoran, and the other very large Manhattan firms barrelled into BS and CH only around 5 or 6 years ago because they saw money. As corporations, they know nothing about the neighborhoods, and up until that time, wouldn't have set foot in them, and probably steered potential customers away in droves. As more and more people were getting priced out of other nabes, they started to go into these neighborhoods with a vengeance, totally overwhelming local brokers with their superior marketing. I understand the draw of listing with them, they get a large market, and have the resources to get your listing to a lot of people.

However, I think that pricing should progress slowly and give communities time to catch up. Overpricing does no neighborhood any real good, besides the benefit to seller and broker.

Posted by: Brower Park at June 26, 2007 11:17 AM

Oh, and I'm sure we can tell tales of someone being mugged in every neighborhood in the city of New York, from the best to the worst. I hope this discussion doesn't disintigrate into the usual BS/CH is dangerous nonsense. The vast amounts of people who are quite happy with their homes and their neighbors quite outweigh those who who are dissatisfied.

Posted by: Brower Park at June 26, 2007 11:23 AM

Stoner, its you that should pay attention. I understand it’s in your best interest to "talk up" your 'hood. Especially after paying silly money for a gut building and then spending, what another $500K to renovate; leaving your Wall Street job; one failed web project; etc. You cannot afford a "hiccup." BEST.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:23 AM

Stoner, its you that should pay attention. I understand it’s in your best interest to "talk up" your 'hood. Especially after paying silly money for a gut building and then spending, what another $500K to renovate; leaving your Wall Street job; one failed web project; etc. You cannot afford another "hiccup." BEST.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:25 AM

If we did indeed have such a nefarious agenda, 11:23, wouldn't we also have a vested interest in prices in Bed Stuy staying high? Those Monroe properties are less than 4 blocks from our house.

Posted by: Brownstoner at June 26, 2007 11:29 AM

No price cuts on my block in CH and I'm a block of Classon on Gates. Hell, what does 'stoner have to worry about didn't two condos on his block just go for an absurd amount of money? All he has to do is file plans and paper work to turn his building into condos - sell it to a developer and walk away with plenty of cash.

Posted by: Anon at June 26, 2007 11:31 AM

i think this site needs a way to filter out realtors so they can't post on it!

Posted by: Jimmy Legs at June 26, 2007 11:32 AM

Brower Park:

It's not BS bashing, it's just a reality check. Maybe long time residents are not as shaken up by the crime in their neighborhoods but new buyers looking to drop $800K are probably not used to living in BS conditions. People think that just because real estate values have gone up, a place is safer. That's far from the truth.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:34 AM

11:23 - Why the anger at stoner? He makes an innocent observation and it's some nefarious plot. Don't like the site go elsewhere.

Posted by: Brooklynnative at June 26, 2007 11:36 AM

Stupid border question. What is the official not "real estate border" between Bed Sty and Clinton Hill. Monroe may be a "bargain" for CH but its certainly no bargain for BS. Decatur (sp?) was a beautiful brownstone with lots of original detail on a prestigious block (yes there prestigious blocks in BS)This house looks like communist housing and is priced 300K more than similiar properties in the sorrounding area.

Posted by: PH mom at June 26, 2007 11:37 AM

saw the BS Macdonough house..Good block needs at least 200k in renovation. Is that block worth it?

Posted by: Raoul at June 26, 2007 11:42 AM

I don't agree with 10:31, however I don't disagree either...

I doubt there is any sort of insidious plan to hype Clinton Hill while bringing down Bed Stuy, but there are huge holes in this post, Mr. B and you did conveniently miss Corcoran's price cuts in Clinton Hill.

First of all, it's not like price cuts are anything specific to Bed Stuy - Natefind currently shows price cuts on townhouses across the board both in Brooklyn and Manhattan: Bay Ridge, Boerum Hill, Brooklyn Heights, Carnegie Hill, CLINTON HILL (more price cuts here than Bed Stuy - considering Altantic & Williams isn't Bed Stuy by anyone's definition - and they're ALL Corcoran listings, also up to $100k reduced), and the neighborhood list goes on...

The only trend that you can extrapolate from this is that the market EVERYWHERE has gone a bit softer than Corcoran's expectations (I would hate to think of what they promised the sellers when they signed on).

While I don't think Mr. B is filtering things deliberately, I also don't think this is very responsible or thorough journalism.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:45 AM

brownstoner,
don't feed the trolls. i'm shocked that you let that guy get to you. you have a wonderful site.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:47 AM

11:36 - This is a blog; a discussion forum. Just because I might have a different perspective from the Stoner does not mean that I have “anger.” These type of discussions are healthy and necessary. You are SILLY.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:47 AM

well said 11/45

everybody got that? prices are down all ovr the place. it's summer!

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:51 AM

Brownstoner, if you're going to do this for a living, you need to get a thicker skin. I don't recall any examples of your diving into the IP addresses when several anonymous posts agree with you, only when they criticize you. (Go ahead and check: I didn't post earlier, and I'm otherwise a fan.)

As for the price cuts, it makes sense that the last nabes to jump sharply are going to be the first to fall if the market softens.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:51 AM

PH mom:

The border between Bed-Stuy and Clinton Hill is Classon Ave. RE agents would like us to believe that it's actually Bedford Ave. (What's next, push to border to Nostrand?)

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:52 AM

11:47 - I am not a troll. Just voicing my view. It seems if you’re not falling over the Stoner on this site, you're a troll. I like this site very much, but you have got to be able to question, contradict, debate, etc the issues. We should not have to agree on the issues to avoid being called a troll. Please show some maturity.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:53 AM

I'd also like to point out that when someone refers to "Bed Stuy" they're referring to an area much larger than any other neighborhood in Brooklyn.

For instance, Stuyvesant Heights is very different in character than North Stuy and very different from Ocean Hill.

Don't forget the name "Clinton Hill" was scoffed at until recently - it used to be considered the shabby part of Ft. Greene. "Williamsburg" was actually the "Northside", and so on.

These are all distinct neighborhoods with their own character (or lack thereof in some cases) and shouldn't be treated as a singular neighborhood just because it makes a nice clean triangle on a map.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:54 AM

*the" border, not "to border"

sorry

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:54 AM

The border is either Grand or Classon, depending on with whom you talk.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:56 AM

Almost all sellers set max. price hoping or believing they can sell for it. I don't think this is a beginning of crash or anything like that. Good thing is buyers would be able to negotiate still. Either CH or BS, the neighborhoods will be better place in long run anyway. But my concern is if sellers keep asking unreasonable price for properties with no substance, it might confuse prospective buyers and make gentrification slow. 100 Decatur? I think it was simply beautiful. The buyer's decided it was worth to pay 980K.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:57 AM

Pretty soon the border is going to be the East River. It keeps moving west. Ha ha...

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:58 AM

What's funny is both the Monroe properties are marketed by Corcoran as being in Clinton Hill presumably to justified the inflated prices; but when the price is cut it is counted against Bed-Stuy. It ain't right.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:59 AM

The city in their records considers Classon the border. If you look at the recent sales data anything south of Classon is labeled as Clinton Hill

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 12:03 PM

correction 12:03: meant west of

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 12:08 PM

only white people or people from outside of brooklyn thought of clinton hill as "the bad part of FG." that statement is nuts. Clinton Hill was beautiful in the 1970s. Beautiful w/ a little heroine thrown in.

and the FG / CH distinction was not some big deal to people until recently. we just were happy to have wonderful majority black (with cool others) community of brownstones that was affordable. our restaurant was two steps down on dekalb and we VALUED it all.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 12:12 PM

Actually I said "shabby" not "bad" and yes it was seen that way.

It's not a racial reference in any way. I'm referring to property values and local amenities. Just like how FG was seen as "shabby" in the 70s and 80s. BS was extremely "shabby" previously and still is in some areas, but that is changing quickly much as it did in CH with all the cafes, boutiques, etc. opening up in the past couple years.

Please don't inject racial overtones where there are none. It's a disservice to this forum and only reveals your own biases and assumptions.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 12:18 PM

Corcoran always overprices. It is a huge diservice to sellers. An F for failure is to get on this site as a stale property. Corcoran does it regularly.

Posted by: donatella at June 26, 2007 12:20 PM

Clinton Hill is an old neighborhood that was originally called the "Hill" and later Clinton Hill from the early to mid 19th century. It's not a new name or neighborhood. FG and Clinton Hill are very small neighborhoods. From an architectural point of view, Clinton Hill is more varied with many freestanding mansions still standing with their carriage houses, along with varied styles of rowhouses and a few later 19th, early 20th century apartment buildings. It was a tonier area than FG when built, initially for magnates in industry (e.g. the Pratts, Pfizer ...), later for well to do professionals working in lower Manhattan. It did indeed become "shabby" as much of brownstone Brooklyn did when the services left in droves in the 1960s. Clinton Hill, Fort Greene and other areas are experiencing a rejeuvenation and are great places to live. I've said it once, and will again, that the negativity you hear on this board is not experienced in the neighborhood. People, old and new residents, are friendly and collegial. Enough of the negativity on this site, it wears you out.

Posted by: lp at June 26, 2007 12:24 PM

this is largely racial. most of the displaced from FG and CH are black. this is a fact. wanting it not to be so doesn't change the fact that this is the truth. and the people who have displaced these black people talk about the old shabby CH. as i said, clinton hill was beautiful in the 1970s. the main drags like fulton and myrtle have continued to improve i will grant you that. but clinton ave, washington, st. james, adelphi, so. portland were all beautiful in the 70's.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 12:25 PM

No one disputes whether it was beautiful. It was and still is. As to who is pushed out in any area that gentrifies, it is always the renters who cannot afford the rents. Since it was a predominantly black area, FG and Clinton Hill's renters are mainly black, and hence they are the ones displaced. Also, many of the brownstone owners were black and have done very well for themselves by selling. Also, FG and Clinton Hill has plenty of well to do black and multi-racial couples and families who have bought in the past 10 to 15 years. It's great. I remember the first time I went to Underwood Park, I almost cried because it was nice to see such a diverse (and I don't mean all black as the term is sometimes used here) crowd of different people with their kids. Truly a great place. What will be lost over time is the economic diversity, but what makes FG and Clinton Hill (and Bed Stuy in many places for that matter) different from other gentrified/gentrifying areas, is the large proportion of non-white and mix-race couples and families that are doing the "gentrifying". That's one of the reasons why I like it so much.

Posted by: lp at June 26, 2007 12:33 PM

12:24 you are right. i live on the border of bed stuy/clinton hill and our neighbors are very positive about the improvements in services/cafes, etc. to the area. it is clearly on a major upswing as witnessed by the recent sales on our block (greene & bedford) i love the people who have negative opinions about a neighborhood that they have zero personal experience with. buying here was a hugely good decision. those of us who get it, know what i mean...hello!

Posted by: anonymous at June 26, 2007 12:39 PM

Hey - you said it yourself:

"Clinton Hill was beautiful in the 1970s. Beautiful w/ a little heroine thrown in."

I'd say "a little heroine" is enough to qualify a neighborhood as "shabby".

Stuyvesant Heights has transitioned from being "shabby" to being mostly middle class black with primarily black owned businesses, which is why I said it's changing... it's not due to any racial elements. All of the businesses I know of here are black-owned in fact (ie: Bread Stuy, Solomon's, Brook's Valley, Ebo Landing, Afro Art Designs, Petit Bassam, Bush Baby Coffee, and so on).

It's no coincidence that insurance rates are lower in Stuyvesant Heights than they are in "East Williamsburg", which is MUCH shabbier and largely Hasidic, Puerto Rican, Dominican and Chinese.

This sort of assumption and rhetoric is immensely damaging to everyone of all races and delays any sort of betterment for everyone. I'm not saying it shouldn't be a subject or a consideration in things, but that it's not always the ONLY factor in things.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 12:40 PM

Would like to put my two cents in for Crown Heights. We bought a 2-family there a year and a half ago and are very happy. We bought a two-family for $685,000 that needed 2 bathrooms redone and that was all. We have a duplex and top floor rental and we feel like we got a deal. And it is NOT the crime ridden fest so many fearful people are describing. There are so many beautiful homes here and families who have lived here for generations.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 12:43 PM

Back to the topic at hand...

Corco is cutting prices because the NYC housing market in softening.. Inventories are rising, sales volumes are failing, time on market in increasing. All the signs of a softening market.

In the hood, they call that "Keepin' it Real".

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 1:01 PM

when speaking of clinton hill and fg you are talking about black / white. i get that you want it to be more complex. and it is in that some of the people doing the displacing are black too.

fulton street and myrtle ave had a heroine problem. (not unique post Vietnam) that is why i made the distinction between those blocks and the always already beautiful residential blocks of CH and FG.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 1:02 PM

No one's addressed the likelihood of whether these cuts originated with some kind of top-down directive from the Corcoran brass or whether they are just anecdotal and coincidental. Brokers, are there ever across-the-board decisions like that?

Posted by: Brownstoner at June 26, 2007 1:03 PM

"prices are down all ovr the place. it's summer!"

EXACTLY--the sky is NOT falling!

Posted by: Bob Marvin at June 26, 2007 1:10 PM

when i went to underhill i too cried because it used to be black, not black nannies and their rich white charges. america is predominantly white and hostile to non whites. this has been documented in countless books and everybody knows this. look at the vitriolic immigration debate or listen to the vicious way (mostly white) people talk about undocumented latinos.

ch/fg was a black and proud neighbrhood. we knew what we had an we loved it. we didn't have the money to make it fancy but we loved it nonetheless. and i mean passionately loved it just as the newcomers do now. and if we were nannies we were nannies on the ues or park slope and then we came home to ch/ fg. this is a kind of nostalgia that people on this board do not want to hear because it is not about them. it is about longing and loss for those forced out. i know, get over it. i'm trying.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 1:17 PM

Not to put too fine a point on it, but: Joan of Arc was a "heroine." Drop the "e" for intoxication...

Meanwhile, a 5% price drop during the summer when nobody buys houses is completely commonplace and indicates, um, nothing.

Also, as a Clinton Hill resident myself, I can assure the conspiracy theorists here that we want nothing for Bed-Stuy (and every other nabe in Brooklyn) but success. Think about it--as Mr. B indicated, we're right next to it.

Posted by: chilllllll at June 26, 2007 1:20 PM

I do agree with Mr. B that it would be interesting if Corcoran had decided to cut townhouse prices across the board in particular hoods, or if they decided to cut their prices on everything. But generally, people are sooooo quick to look for trends--the sky is falling, the market is booming, the bubble is bursting. Whatever. Save your damned pennies, get a piece of dirt as soon as you can afford it, work your ass off to make it better, and live your life.

On the race business, I sympathize with Anon 1:17 about what some of the CH black community has lost here. Hadn't seen it put that way, and I respect that point. Fortunately, as others have observed, though, many African Americans have profited handsomely from selling (or continuing to own) houses here, and many black-owned businesses continue to thrive. The hood is still majority black, very community and family oriented, and I'm honored to be here. So far, I've seen nothing but friendliness here among all races and income levels. An amazing place to live.

Posted by: chilllllll at June 26, 2007 1:30 PM

why is this bad news. It is good news and further price drops will be great news. Do you not care about affordable housing or are you just interested in developer profits.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 1:48 PM

We would be paranoid to think that it's a sweeping command from up on high to cut prices in particular neighborhoods, but we would also be immensely naive to believe it's just a case of market forces exerting pressure on these neighborhoods.

Corcoran is notorious (among some of the other brokers) for inflating prices in "hot" neighborhoods.

Not long ago, there was an NY Times article about how Bushwick is the new boomtown with quote after quote from Rudy Lucchese, who mentioned later that he just happens to own in that neighborhood.

This could all just be an adjustment to their inflated prices, or it could also just be their way of A) hooking the sellers by telling them they can get a lot with a high asking price and then B) starting a bidding war with the price reductions.

Also, I thought the summer is usually when the market heats up? Why would prices be dropping if it weren't a cooling market (as much as I wish it weren't the case).

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 1:51 PM

Optimism. Excitement. Thrill. Euphoria. Anxiety. Denial. Fear. Depression. Panic. Capitulation. Desperation. Hope. Relief. Optimism.

http://bp3.blogger.com/_wFWqWIH-WFU/Rn46Vnf5w2I/AAAAAAAABZQ/W1_uALvLnVE/s1600-h/Bubble-lifecycle.jpg

This is the life cycle of a bubble.

The question is, where are we in this cycle right now? My guess is that we have moved from Anxiety to Denial.

Fear, Depression, Panic and Capitulation will be something to witness in the coming years..

Posted by: ItsAWrap at June 26, 2007 1:55 PM

You mean people with $800k+ don't want to live in Crown Heights or Bed Sty.

Shocking!

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 1:56 PM

Lots of folks living in Bed Stuy with $800k and houses in PS and FG. Wake up 1:56.

Posted by: guru at June 26, 2007 2:14 PM

"Is this a coincidence, do you think, or could there have been some word from on high that drove these cuts? Taken as a whole, do the cuts signify anything about the market in those neighborhoods or is this bad news balanced out by bidding wars at places like 100 Decatur?"

No coincidence. More and more townhouse prices are showing up reduced on Natefind. It signifies a crash in slow-motion (real estate declines take years to work themselves out) that is headed towards Clinton Hill. Reduced asking prices don't lie but Corcoran does (For Clinton Hill border, see http://www.nyc.gov/html/lpc/downloads/pdf/maps/clinton_hill.pdf). Bidders like those for 100 Decatur are born everyday. Anybody paying anywhere near (within 25%) prevailing asking prices for a brownstone right now is either very wealthy (wouldn't buy in Stuy Hts.) or very mis-informed. The mis-informed outnumber the wealthy by many to one. Read people.

www.nychousingbubble.blogspot.com
www.youdovoodoo.com/80sbubble.htm
www.stock-market-crash.net

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 2:15 PM

There's that "bubble" word again. Doomsayers have been talking about this "bubble" for years, now, and prices continue to climb (with occasional little dips). All normal. This isn't the 70s, friend: People WANT to live in NYC like never before, crime is wayyyyy down, and something like a million more peeps are forecast by the city to move here in the next 20 years. And you think this is going to push prices downward? Supply and demand, baby. Why do you think Harlem, Hell's Kitchen, the Bronx (the Bronx!) and so many formerly bombed-out parts of Brooklyn are so sought-after now? Buy while you can, or you'll never be able to.

Meanwhile, spring and early summer are busy times for real estate. I guess late June is a bit early to call the dog days, but still, summer is when a lot of people travel, spend weekends in the Hamptons or Catskills or wherever, and the market softens. And then, come fall, people are back in town and ready to buy. No?

Posted by: chilllllll at June 26, 2007 2:17 PM

Fixed link from 2:15.

http://www.nyc.gov/html/lpc/downloads/pdf/maps/clinton_hill.pdf

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 2:18 PM

Real estate prices are going down across the country... there was a ton of bad new lately on the bubble front (or good, I guess, depending on your perspective). NYC is not immune.

Posted by: anon at June 26, 2007 2:19 PM

"Doomsayers have been talking about this "bubble" for years, now, and prices continue to climb (with occasional little dips)."

GOTTA RISE TO FALL. THE BIGGER THE BOOM...

" All normal."

THE ONLY THING NORMAL IS THE CYCLE ITSELF. THE BOOM WAS ABNORMAL AND THE "KA-BOOOOOM" WILL BE ABNORMAL AS WELL IN THE WORST WAY.

"This isn't the 70s, friend: People WANT to live in NYC like never before, crime is wayyyyy down, and something like a million more peeps are forecast by the city to move here in the next 20 years. And you think this is going to push prices downward? Supply and demand, baby. Why do you think Harlem, Hell's Kitchen, the Bronx (the Bronx!) and so many formerly bombed-out parts of Brooklyn are so sought-after now? Buy while you can, or you'll never be able to."

TRANSLATION: "IT'S DIFFERENT THIS TIME." MOST DANGEROUS WORDS IN ECONOMIC HISTORY.

Posted by: stonerbrown at June 26, 2007 2:27 PM

"Supply and demand, baby."

EXACTLY. TAKE A LOOK AT THE SUPPLY AROUND YOU. "DEVELOPMENT WATCH" ON BROWNSTONER ALMOST EVERYDAY. MEANWHILE, SUBRIME MORTGAGES ARE BEING DAMN NEAR OUTLAWED AND LENDERS ARE TIGHTENING STANDARDS IF THEY'RE NOT FAILING http://ml-implode.com/ . JUST BECAUSE YOU YELL "I DEMAND A MORTGAGE" DOESN'T MEAN YOU GET COUNTED AS PART OF THE DEMAND POOL. UNLIKE 2001-2006, YOU HAVE TO QUALIFY AND VERIFY.

"Buy while you can, or you'll never be able to."

WHY CATCH A FALLING KNIFE?

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 2:39 PM

answer: so it doesn't land on your childs head.

Posted by: Guru at June 26, 2007 2:43 PM

why not just move your child out of the way.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 2:48 PM

Stonerbrown & co., you talk a lot about this supposed "crash," but you don't cite any evidence. What's the matter--you haven't saved enough pennies to buy something yet? Better get busy. NYC prices will ebb and flow as they will anywhere, but the bottom line is: Bazillions of people with lots of money want to live here, and they just keep coming. Again: Another million will move here in the next 20 years, representing a 12.5% increase in population. Where will they live? There's the demand.

On the supply side, sure, greedy developers are polluting the neighborhood with all manner of fugliness, and if some of them lose their shirts, fine--they deserve it. But sooner or later, every one of those apartments will get sold.

Meanwhile, sure, some people who got subprime mortgages are going to face foreclosure, but that's not going to have any impact on the value of property here.

Of course, it's a waste of time to argue with people on this issue. Believe whatever you want. I'm gonna go light my grill, stir up a G&T, and cook up some bratwurst. And then maybe a nap in the garden. ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

Posted by: chilllllll at June 26, 2007 2:55 PM

Re: "Meanwhile, sure, some people who got subprime mortgages are going to face foreclosure, but that's not going to have any impact on the value of property here."

How could subprime foreclosures have absolutely no impact on the value of properties in NYC? Even if not one property in NYC is foreclosed on (not true, see last weeks top 100 zip codes for foreclosures), the foreclosures combined with the trouble in the subprime market are already tightening liquidity. This makes it more difficult to get a mortgage, thus exerting downward pressure on home prices.

Posted by: anon at June 26, 2007 3:03 PM

But the knife is already falling, so instinct would have you reach for the knife; I know let's ask Dick. :-)

Posted by: guru at June 26, 2007 3:06 PM

It's always interesting (if a tad boring) to watch these threads disintegrate. I have to imagine that most people, like myself, believe there will be bumps along the way but are happy that they bought (for the long run) and don't fear the sky falling in. But the pride and joy and yes hard work of improving it make it worthwhile to me. Oh and having three floors and a backyard to call my own.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 3:13 PM

Please come to the Bed Stuy House Tour in October because many of you are in for a rude awakening on how many long time residents in Bed Stuy live. Many have made judgements on class and values that are not based on truth or experience. I am always amazed at how people who no absolutely nothing about me can determine my occupation, family status and other information, so I came to the conclusion that some are just bad psychics.

Posted by: Guru at June 26, 2007 3:41 PM

I take exception to the comment that 2:15 made, that wealthy people would not want to buy in Stuy Hts. Maybe many wouldn't, but there are those with beaucoup bucks who would be happy to have a fabulous period home they would have no problem fixing up to perfection, in a beautiful neighborhood. Not everyone cares about having 10 latte bars, a wine shop and a Banana Republic around the corner. They can afford to get that stuff from the best places, anyway. Some people are more than happy to keep a low profile, and enjoy the community's history, culture and beauty, along with their spacious and beautiful homes. Many of those people are living there right now.

This may have nothing to do with Corcoran's pricing, other than to describe their ideal customer, but let's not assume that the only reason people are buying in our neighborhoods is because they can't afford anything else. Most want to be here.

Posted by: Brower Park at June 26, 2007 3:42 PM

I disagree, Brower Park/Crown Heights Proud. 99% of Bed-Stuy residents would leave if they ever hit the lotto. Stop dreaming...

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 3:48 PM

3:48 Some of those people are sitting on lotto money -the house paid for, means no mortgage - so why don't they leave?

Posted by: Anon at June 26, 2007 4:06 PM

These buildings are hideous, at least those that actually show interior pics. (Except for 1300 Carrol Street).

What's all this discussion over nothing? Corcoran tried to scam people and they failed.

This has nothing to do with bed-stuy, except perhaps the fact that there's very little inventory of nice buildings left.

Whenever there is a decent Bed Stuy building on the market, there's a fever to by it, and the place is immediately No. 1 Most Viewed on the Corcoran site.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 4:15 PM

So now people (actually, one person) are dissing a neighborhood because they think if people won the lottery they would move. Getting pretty desperate!

Well said, 4:15.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 4:17 PM

I've been reading housing blogs like these since 2003 or so. All this time people have been predicting a housing crash and saying to sit on your savings and wait. And guess what, someday that crash will come, and prices will drop to what they were in, oh, 2005 or 2006. And all those people who didn't buy in 2003 when things were even cheaper? Oh, I'm sure they'll feel like geniuses!

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 4:19 PM

by = buy

sorry

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 4:21 PM

Exactly, anon 4:19. You can waste time whinging and moaning about how expensive everything is, and you can post all day long about how the "bubble" is going to burst. And two, three, five years later, you're still paying exorbitant rent, and the people who had the stones to commit (long-term) to buying a piece of the community are that much *further* ahead of you financially.

Per the earlier poster: I *definitely* want to see the Bed-Stuy house tour--I know there are extraordinary homes there. Anybody know the dates and sponsor organization/website? Thanks!

Posted by: chilllllll at June 26, 2007 4:29 PM

I believe they call themselves the "Brownstoners" and have done so for over twenty years. The event is early October and it includes a dining week with the area resturants.

Posted by: anon at June 26, 2007 4:38 PM

Crown Heights House Tour - Oct 6th

Bed Stuy House Tour - Oct 20th

See for yourself, and reach your own conclusions about the worthiness of both nabes. I don't think you'll be disappointed.

Posted by: Brower Park at June 26, 2007 4:44 PM

Mr. B, sorry for reposting but there's so much bullshit on this board that I need to respond but don't have all day to debate with these fools.

It's the same retards so I'll repeat it again:

"I don't get some of the posters on this blogsite. If people choose to spend their hard earned money and live in an area that is slightly more dangerous than other areas in brownstone Brooklyn simply because they like the homes or feel that they can get more bang for their buck there, what difference does it make to anyone else? I seriously do not get the condemnation and overblown hysteria on this board with respect to great communities like Bed-Stuy, Crown Heights North, PLG and Clinton Hill. Six years ago Fort Greene would've been on this list too. But if you spend any time on Dekalb Avenue at Chez Osker, you will see people who live in the neighboring public housing complex strolling throughout Fort Greene like anyone else. All of the neighborhoods east of Flatbush Avenue are predominantly black and have some serious social and economic issues. Nonetheless, these nabes are being integrated/gentrified. Some of the poorest of the poor live in these housing projects but for the most part we've been able to coexist. Why should Bed-Stuy be treated or looked at any differently. I don't get it.

I bought brownstones in both Fort Greene and Clinton Hill at a time when both nabes were considered undesirable and dangerous by many of my white friends. And quite frankly, I couldn't care less what they thought of me or where my home was located. At least I owned and wasn't renting, like 100% of them were doing at the time. Now I'm sitting on over $4M dollars of equity and both of my properties which are multi-families are being paid for by my tenants. Recently I've purchased homes in Bed-Stuy because that is where the value is (Crown Heights North being the other). Why do some people on this board seek to knock down nabes where other people choose to make their homes or their living? What difference does it make to you? Is there an opportunity cost that I'm not aware of?

All I can say to anyone looking to live in Bed-Stuy is that they should do their research. However, I would say the same thing to anyone looking to buy in Park Slope or anywhere else. Bed-Stuy is the largest neighborhood in New York City. It's the size of Brooklyn Heights, Park Slope, Carroll Gardens, Boerum Hill and Cobble Hill combined. The same way that there are differences and variations in these nabes there are differences in Bed-Stuy too. I would agree with the above poster that there are sections of Bed-Stuy (e.g., Stuy Heights and Bedford Heights) that are as safe as the best areas of Fort Greene and Clinton Hill.

In terms of proximity to housing projects, as someone already stated, there are a slew of housing projects in brownstone Brooklyn and none of them have had any significant adverse impact on the surrounding brownstone communities. In the case of Bed-Stuy the notorious and dangerous Marcy, Sumner and Tomkins projects are located on the other side of the Bed-Stuy on the Bushwick/Bed-Stuy border. IMHO, unless your townhouse is located smack dead in the middle of a public housing complex (very unlikely) most people, with the probably exception of those homes that sit directly across the street, have nothing to worry about. The Pfizer mansion on Washington Avenue just went into contract for $3.2M and it's located two blocks from the Lafayette Houses on Classon. There are homes surrounding Fort Greene Park that fetch north of $3M and are located one or two blocks away from Ingersol and Whitman. Despite continuous reports of drugs and shootings at the Gowanus and Wykoff houses, property values in neighboring Boerum Hill and Carroll Gardens continue to soar.

Yes, there is crime everywhere in NYC and yes, some neighborhoods are more dangerous then others -- the market obviously reflects this fact. Yes, Bed-Stuy is not for "everyone" but no neighborhood is. Don't like it? Don't live there. Period."

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 6:48 PM

Sorry. Another repost but there's no choice. Too much ignorance out there. MMMMMMuuuuussstt stop them! LOL!

Corcoran got a wake up call. I have friends at the firm and from what I know upper management finally pulled brokers aside and gave them a version of this:

"I agree that greedy brokers are killing the momentum in upcoming nabes such as Bed-Stuy and Crown Heights North. To quote a comment from one of yesterday’s thread on CHN, “Fort Greene is successful because prices stayed low enough for a long enough period of time to bring into the nabe a critical mass of gentrifiers to really make a difference. Newly minted fringe nabes are having a more difficult time keeping up with the gentrification momentum because prices have risen too high too quickly.

If a buyer is paying $1M to move into Bed-Stuy, Crown Heights North and PLG then that property should be in mint/move in condition. What's holding up and coming neighborhoods like BS, CHN and PLG is greedy brokers who are gasing up the heads of sellers by telling them that their homes should command Clinton Hill/Fort Greene prices; nabes which are also predominantly black with equally superior housing stock.

But the problem is BS, CHN and PLG is about 5 to 7 years behind the curve. No one paid 2003 prices in Fort Greene in 1998. But folks are being asked to pay 2012 prices in BS, CH and PLG in 2007."
I couldn't agree anymore. I love Bed-Stuy and I think that it's a beautiful community with major upside but what the fuck is going on with management at Corcoran? Why price out the very same people who have taken Bed-Stuy to the level where the nabe can command $1M for a single family home? Bed-Stuy has about 6,000 brownstones, more than any other community in the country. Wouldn't it make more sense to sell 1,000 homes at $600k-750k as opposed to 25 above $1M. At a certain point, you will shut out everyone looking to move into the neighborhood.

Let's be realistic here, there is a threshold breaking point where folks with money will not live in an area that is predominantly black and still riddled with issues of crime, drugs and poverty. For the right price, people will live anywhere, but let's be mindful of the fact that growth and development should occur slowly and organically. Yes, Bed-Stuy brownstone are equal to the best townhouses found in Park Slope and Brooklyn Heights. However, Bed-Stuy is still undeserving of even Fort Greene and Clinton Hill prices until the nabe further improves.
Is this fair? Yes. Not everyone is planning to take the money and run in Bed-Stuy (as was the case in Fort Greene). There will still be some longstanding homeowners who will not sell - just yet. For example, those who needed the money and sold $25k brownstones for $750k in Fort Greene still made out like bandits. On the flip side, those who didn't need the money held out and now have properties worth over $2M. That's life but still everyone wins.

The real estate boom in Brooklyn is the greatest form of income redistribution in favor of people of color in the history of our nation. It's allowed relatively low income black families to reap substantial windfalls in real estate. However, the natural progression of this phenomenon can only continue to occur and help thousands of black families if pricing occurs sensibly and intelligently. Again, current pricing models used by the big brokerage houses are killing this momentum by putting the wagon in front of the horse.

If 1,000 brownstone trade at $650k-$750k in Bed-Stuy thereby creating a critical mass of new entrants who will bring about new energy and a different level of commitment into the community, the next 1,000 homes easily sell between $750k and $1.25M, if not higher. However, Corcoran appears more interested in seeing 1 or 2 homes trade at the $850 - $1M mark and immediately pricing all subsequent homes above $1.25M. What's the justification for this practice? Shouldn't hundreds of homes trade within range before up ticking prices to the next level of demand?

However, selling two or three homes in an area for about $900k does not justify raising prices to $1.2M for an average BS home. we are not talking about a substantial number of sales to insist that demand is so high that it dictates that prices go up 20% every year. Only a small handful of brownstones are coming up for sale on Bed-Stuy's prime areas (e.g., Stuyvesant and Bedford Heights), yet with each passing sale (after languishing on the market for months at a time) home values are being raised by $100-$200k. That's insane. At this rate when the 100th brownstone trades hands in prime BS since 2000 (probably about 2010), by logical extension you can expect the seller to get north of $3M for the house which would leave the remaining 5,900 homes in BS worth north of $2.5M. Do you really think this makes any economic sense? Bed-Stuy has too many brownstones and the area is too far behind other more established hoods to command these prices. I live in the community and I want prices to go higher as much as the next guy but I understand that it must happen in an organic and pragmatic way - slowly overtime. At 800k+ this house would be priced accurately. $1.175M is retarded. If that is indeed the market then the grand homes on Stuyvesant Avenue should be worth about $2.5M.

If you bought you house for under $100k and are looking to sell a townhouse for $1M+ in less than perfect Bed-Stuy then I expect the house to be in triple mint condition with a well appointed kitchen and modern baths with state of the arts appliances and amenities. But typically you don't get this in the hood. What you get is a great house on a beautifully kept block but with a kitchen and bath that hasn't been upgraded in over 30 years (if lucky, you get 1990's Home Depot).

Fort Greene and Clinton Houses command the prices that they do because those coming to market now have traded hands two or three times since 1990 and many are being sold with awesome original details, professional kitchens, modern baths and beautifully done outdoor spaces. It's only now that new buyers in BS are spending $500k+ on top notch renovations. When those buyers sell I can indeed support those homes trading at a high premium but now is not the time. $1M+ for an average home in a relatively tough community, hell no (unless in Stuyvesant Heights).

For $1M+ and for all of the headaches associated in being a high paying pioneer in an upcoming nabe, I expect central air and all of the bells and whistles. If not, I expect a deep and substantial discount compared to homes in FG and CH which would put this house at around $800k. In FG and CH the trailblazers got a "first to market" discount advantage, in BS you're expected to pay above market.

In today's Bed-Stuy where newcomers comprise well under 3% of the current nabe, there is no critical mass of gentrifiers in the nabe to justify these prices. Yes, the nabe is getting there but it's a long way away. And for those who will complain that it's racist to demand that black homeowners NOT get prices close to FG and CH then I will offer you this fact: the people who are paying $800k for those townhouses in the hood are not other residents in BS - it's newcomers and yes, trailblazers. If left to those indigenous to the area, we wouldn't pay more for a brownstone then what the rent roll would cover - that's old school BS economics! Just keeping it real....."

THIS IS FOR ALL BROKERS: REAL ESTATE 101 - BROOKLYN STYLE!

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 7:16 PM

Yes, most of us love Bed-Stuy but let's give the nabe a fair chance and allow it to grow slowly and more organically. Yes, sellers name their price but brokers should also give them a shot of reality too.

A cooling market in the hood is only in the nabe's best interest.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 7:49 PM

I agree with a lot of what 7:49 says. Ultimately the market decides though - buildings will sell at what the market will bear. No broker has so much power that they can ram overpriced properties down a buyers throat. I made the point about Corcoran overpricing because I have watched this company closely in the area (FG, CH, BS)and their strategy is always to test the upper end of the price band and very often to price much too high, requiring these price cuts to move property, but this long sales time is ultimately damaging to the seller, who is now dealing with a distressed property which gets on Brownstoner as a white elephant. This hurts sellers. I have seen this time and time again with them (experienced this as a buyer and once upon a time as a seller before I knew better). I think it is better to test the waters with a lower pricing; if the property is attractive enough to the marketplace, it will sell quickly and over the asking. If you do a search of this site for House of the Days and subsequent reductions and assorted white elephants and laughing stock pricing, it will be Corcoran's.

Posted by: donatella at June 26, 2007 8:35 PM

Choose a culture "nabe" or "hood" you are confusing me 7:49; and 7:16, lots of words but pure bs, gentrification is not what makes a neighborhood good - you should travel more.

Posted by: anon at June 26, 2007 8:37 PM

8:37PM, for your edification:

Nabe = Neighborhood
Hood = Neighborhood
Therefore, Nabe = Hood

Dumbass!

Posted by: Anonymous at June 26, 2007 10:57 PM

During summer time real estate sales slow down + people are just more selective at this stage of the real estate cycle. I visited the property on MacDonough and it was clearly mispriced at the onset. Buyers are more educated in this market, and they know time is in their favor when an average property hits the market. That said there's a lot of people looking for well maintained quality properties with original details in BedStuy and whenever one comes to market on a nice block it receives multiple offers. I don't believe you can buy one of these 4-story brownstone for $800ks anymore. Lets face it that's the price of a one-bedroom apartment in manhattan, and you only got a 10-min commute to get there. You're lucky if you get one for $900-950k and expect to have to do some work, but what you'll get is well worth the effort. I did it last year, and know people that are interested to do the same. So despite all the nay sayers, if any readers are looking to sell a nice solid original brownstone, on a nice stuy/bedf hght block, please provide your info.

Posted by: anonymous at June 26, 2007 11:42 PM

Does anyone ese have a problem with the term "retard(s). Just seems like there are other, less offensive, words that can be used. Thx

Posted by: anon at June 26, 2007 11:44 PM

Not if the goal is to offend.....

Posted by: Anonymous at June 27, 2007 5:56 AM

Pleae keep your comments down tyo a matter of lines. They are too boring.

It is summer and that is why prices in "marginal" hoods are lower. Top prices sell and sell quick now for quality. Most people of wealth who drive the market don't have time to look at crap now. The listings that were lowered are crap and just that. Wait to fall you'll see. People who spend time writing dissertations for brownstoner should be buying up the crap now because they will priced out again and then we will have disertations on brownstoner again.

Posted by: stonersquad at June 27, 2007 8:21 AM

"Pleae keep your comments down tyo a matter of lines. They are too boring."

So don't read them! Who died and made you boss anyway?

This is a forum and as such ideas, thoughts and opinion must be vetted out and sometimes debated. At times, this can not and will not occur within a "matter of lines."

But then again, given your lack of spelling, reading something of depth and quality might be too hard for a 5th grader with ADD.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 27, 2007 10:05 AM

I agree with 8:21, the above post is much too long-winded. It sounds like something that Norman Oder would write.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 27, 2007 12:20 PM

I hate Norman Oder.....

Posted by: Anonymous at June 27, 2007 1:28 PM

...Keep me out of it.

Posted by: Norman Oder at June 27, 2007 4:07 PM

So this week we are down on Bed-Stuy? lol, I have to admit, pessimists sure are a persistent bunch. I guess we'll see our economy come crashing down any minute now. Just like folks have been predicting for 5 years now, due to gas prices or oil prices or the price of bras in Brazil. Or how about that real estate bubblicious explosion that was supposed to leave everyone all gooey? Now the pessimists are wringing their hands waiting for that soon to come sub prime super supreme surprise. I guess I'll believe it when I see it. Till then , it's just a bunch of hooey.

Posted by: Harry Haller at June 27, 2007 4:12 PM

10:57pm, I know the definition of the words, so that was not the point, the reference I made was to choosing a culture. Nobody that says "hood" says "nabe" - get it DUMBASS!

Posted by: anon at June 27, 2007 4:32 PM

Ha! I knew that area was technically Bed Stuy. We have friends who rent a duplex on Franklin (between Gates & Monroe), and they always claimed it was Clinton Hill. Although they have a nice backyard, their apartment and the neighborhood are *trash*. I say that after visiting them from Ditmas Park almost every weekend for the last two years.

Happily for our friends, they're throwing in the NYC towel after 10 years and moving to Seattle next month.

Posted by: Escape Brooklyn at June 27, 2007 4:35 PM

Escape Brooklyn:

"Although they have a nice backyard, their apartment and the neighborhood are *trash*."

Considering the fact that you spent almost every weekend in Bed-Stuy, that's not saying much for Ditmas Park or your own apartment.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 27, 2007 5:50 PM

Hey, I say "nabe" and "hood" so I guess that makes me a dumb ass too.

Posted by: Dumbass at June 27, 2007 6:01 PM

No Dumb ass, that just makes you confused.

Posted by: anon at June 27, 2007 6:25 PM

5:50
LOL,you are so right. That poster calling the neighborhood "trash" after admitting to spending the entire last two years there is like that old guy in the movie Porky's who holds up a porno film reel and says; "...I watched every disgusting, sordid frame of this film....twice...." Priceless.

Posted by: Humbert Humbert at June 27, 2007 8:19 PM

I am looking at two family homes in Bed Stuy near the A train at Utica and they all seem to be priced right around $750-$800K. Is it crazy to pay that much for something that needs work? I think the neighborhood is beautiful and even though I am a Manhattan native, I would live there in a heartbeat. 20 minutes to 14th street aint bad! Thanks for the feedback!

Posted by: BS Wannabe at June 29, 2007 9:50 PM

Sounds like a good deal since houses not far from there already sell for over a million.

Posted by: anon at June 30, 2007 12:29 PM

Corcoran is indeed a scourge in the CHN district with it's inflated pricing and empty promises to sellers. That said, as a resident of St. Marks Ave., I will tell you unequivocally that the Franklin Ave. corridor between Eastern Parkway and Fulton St. is the next frontier. If you can find something in the 700-800K range (as far east as Nostrand Ave), jump on it-you'll be sitting pretty in 3 years time...

Posted by: BKNY at June 30, 2007 7:59 PM

Corcoran is indeed a scourge in the CHN district with it's inflated pricing and empty promises to sellers. That said, as a resident of St. Marks Ave., I will tell you unequivocally that the Franklin Ave. corridor between Eastern Parkway and Fulton St. is the next frontier. If you can find something in the 700-800K range (as far east as Nostrand Ave), jump on it-you'll be sitting pretty in 3 years time...

Posted by: BKNY at June 30, 2007 7:59 PM

Don't blame Corcoran it is up to the non-thinking individuals that believe the hype of those lofty prices and the sales pitch that are to be blamed. Corcoran can't make you do anything, people are basically greedy and Corcoran is aware of that so they lock them in for six months and get the same price - probably from the same small broker - they would have gotten to begin with.

Posted by: Anon at July 1, 2007 12:13 PM

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