« Some More Feedback, Please Friday On The Record »
December 29, 2006
Outlook 2007: Longs and Shorts
Note: We're moving this post up from yesterday to encourage more input.Welcome to the third annual installment of our market prognostications. Last year, we picked Prospect Heights and Carroll Gardens to outperform and Williamsburg to slump, which in retrospect look like pretty good calls. As for next year, our eyes will be on the areas bordering Prospect Park that have the location and housing stock on their sides but have yet to attract widespread interest from the gentrifying crowd. We'd also be front-running the newly Brooklyn-focused Landmarks Preservation Commission by looking in spots like the soon-to-be-designated Crown Heights North. On the downside, it's hard to see how increasing supply of run-of-the-mill condos coming on line in Williamsburg won't continue to put downward pressure on prices. We're not as wary about the effect of Atlantic Yards on surrounding real estate as some and continue to think that Prospect Heights has a lot to offer. As has been mentioned before, quality brownstones should continue to find buyers while those in more marginal neighborhoods and lacking architectural detail will likely have a tough time. Looking back on last year's post, we can be thankful that we got our wish of a gourmet market (sorta) in the form of Choice. Now if we could just get a friggin' cheese shop we'd be really psyched.
Market Predictions for 2006 [Brownstoner]
Trackback Pings
TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.brownstoner.com/mte/mt-tb.cgi/218
Comments
I would be interested to see what the actual price increases were over the last 12 months for brooklyn neighborhoods. I'm not sure if any real analysis is done on this level other than what corcoran publishes which is really limited to the areas that they sell in.
I think the areas that have done very well but have been under the radar are sunset park and crown heights north. These areas have not yet gotten a lot of the buzz but prices have been marching up quickly.
Sunset Park had a number of brownstones sell in the mid to upper $900s, setting new records. I believe similar properties were selling in the $700s or maybe low $800s 12 months ago which represents a pretty large increase from a price perspective. As far as neighborhood development in terms of amenities that brownstone buyers are looking for I don't think that much progress was made and this will take time. I believe Sunset Park will continue to do very well over the next few years as more and more people discover it and these amenities come.
Crown Heights North has seen a similar increase in prices with top brownstones now selling in the upper $800s and $900s. As with Sunset Park this represents a significant increase over the prior year's prices that were in the $600s and $700s. This area has gained more exposure with the recent Landmarks proposal and will continue to be discovered by those seeking great architecture. While the area is definitely in transition from a safety and amenities perspective it is moving very quickly and the residents have become very active in the community. I predict that this area will continue to do very well, especially once the phase I of the landmarking is finalized.
As for Prospect Heights, I think the greatest development and increase in prices will come in the area on the border of crown heights. Franklin Ave has gotten a number of new businesses and a few more are planned. Saje is a great coffee shop, indigo is planning to reopen on franklin and there is now a sushi restaurant. This strip will develop very quickly now that a few places have opened. Washington Ave is continuing to develop as well and a number of the condo projects are very close to being occupied which will inject a large number of new people seeking more amenities into the neighborhood. I expect the area between underhill and bedford to do very well in the coming 12 months.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 9:34 AM
I agree that AY will be a positive effect on Prospect Heights. I think that Washington Avenue will continue to improve, especially the upper portion near Gen. The lower portion still has to contend with St. Johns and Lincoln Places. I think that Franklin's ascent will be slow and long. While it's nice to see a few new businesses in the area, it still has quite a ways to go.
I think that Crown Heights around Brooklyn and New York Avenues will see an increase, as well. It's a beautiful area, with many gorgeous properties and tree-lined streets.
I'm a bit doubtful about the area of Bed-Stuy around Classon and Franklin. Deeper into the neighborhood is where the more beautiful homes are, around Lewis and Stuyvesant Avenues.
Overall, I see Brooklyn going nowhere but up.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 9:46 AM
Given the homeowners' insurance issues discussed here recently (with respect to anticipated hurricanes and their impact on Brooklyn), it might be a good idea to check whether the property you're looking at is in an evacuation zone. In future, insuring properties in the evacuation zones designated (see the nyc.gov website for detailed maps and to search the hurricane evacuation status of a particular address) may get a lot more expensive, and should be factored into the ongoing costs of a property - as should the potential heartache and hassle of dealing with a property that may flood during your lifetime.
Posted by: Anon at December 28, 2006 9:54 AM
I thhink there will be no AY impact in 2007 since construction is always delayed and likely won't start till late in 2007/early 2008. While it's going to change the surrounding areas in ways I don't like (Manhattanization) AY will ultimately drive up real estate values in adjacent neighborhoods, particularly in landmark neighborhoods which wil have proximity to any amentities offered by AY while having a differentiated housing stock (brownstones vs. cookie cutter condos).
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 9:54 AM
AY definitely will have an impact, but what it's impact will be depends on AY itself. If AY is a poorly designed and poorly built eyesore, and if it really does overwhelm Brooklyn's infrastructure as expected, it will indeed have a negative impact on property values. Based on Rather's history, I think this is what we're looking at. I also think it will have a relatively immediate impact on property values because potential buyers in 2007 will know AY is going to happen, even though ground is yet to be broken.
I've seen the "just look at Manhattan" argument on this board to the effect big development inevitably results in increase property values, but I don't know how seriously this argument was being offered. I once saw AY compared to Madison Square Garden. If anyone is serious about THAT comparison, it's time for a reality check.
At the very least, I think AY will cause some drop in values in the nabes immediately surrounding AY, but it will probably help stabilize values in other parts of Brooklyn.
Posted by: J.D. at December 28, 2006 10:04 AM
Interesting article in NY Sun today about effect of new 421 tax abatement on land prices. Areas that were added to non-421 eligible will have negative price pressure. So maybe less new condo development in much of Brownstone Brooklyn.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 10:08 AM
I see Sunset Park and Greenwood Heights as the next hot nabes for 2007 and beyond. The commute to Manhattan is short, the area has good public elementary schools, prices aren't wacked, close proximity to Red Hook, Park Slope, Prospect Park.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 10:18 AM
J.D. 10:08 AM
I'm interested to know why AY is not comparable to MSG. When complete, I see AY as sort of a second rate verison (multi-use arena near a transit hub). Some established residential areas near by (Murray Hill in Manhattan vs. Fort Green, Boreum Hill and Park Slope in Brooklyn). Higher expected auto traffic in AY is different and damaging as I think more people take mass transit to MSG than AY.
Certainly commercial rents and commercial property near AY will increase in value as the Dunkin Donuts, Starbucks, Subways and Mcdonalds of the world will displace the mom and pop businesses that we all love. Those types of stores are willing to pay rents that don't make sense for mom & pops. Residential property value prospects are less clear to me. My personal opinion of Brooklyn will be diminished since I've always liked the low rise, low density style. The history of the City however has been that higher population density = higher real estate values. AY will certainly bring population density.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 10:26 AM
I think the primary difference b/t MSG and the AY plan is that the AY arena is really a small portion of the AY project. AY is really about the 16 odd residential and office towers that are being built. The arena, imo, was really a move by Ratner to garner some support from sports fans and others in Brooklyn and the city generally (though the arena has had the opposite effect for those opposed to the entire AY project). Personally, if there was no use of eminent domain and the arena was removed, I'd most likely be in support of the project.
The proposed arena is located at the intersection of Flatbush and Atlantic, which is a spot that will never really be a low rise residential destination. Many of the nearbyblocks of brownstone neighborhoods (which are separated from the arena by large roadways such as Atlantic and Flatbush) are landmarked or are not zoned for commercial use (i.e. they are rows of brownstones) so an influx of MacD's and other such places is not going to occur on those streets. I would not be surprised to see several of those types of fast food outlets in the commercial spaces of the AY project as a whole, but I think the spread of such stores will not be as viral as the real customer base for such services will be those attending arena events, not the brownstone neighborhoods.
That's how I see the difference from MSG.
I agree with 9.54's assessment that AY will have a positive long term effect on values, but think that in the immediate future (i.e. during construction) the area that will experience the a downside will be Northern Prospect Heights as there is no major roadway separating it from the AY project. Ft. Greene is buffered by Atlantic Avenue. All other neighborhoods in the proximity are far enough away not to be materially affected by the construction from a property value point of view (Clinton Hill, Park Slope, Boerum Hill are all far enough away and/or separated by major streets that act as buffers of sorts).
Over time, I think PHeights will experience a rise in value as a result of the project for the reasons noted by 9.54am (differentiated housing stock). So I think Prospect Heights, especially blocks further from the AY construction site, is a good long term investment.
I agree with Brownstoner that PH/Crown Heights border is a good long term bet for conversion of old warehouses and other development.
Posted by: lp at December 28, 2006 10:49 AM
I agree with the other posters that Ditmas / Victorian Flatbush will continue to flourish next year.
No opinion to offer on AY.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 10:51 AM
Outlook 2007: middle class getting smaller and smaller
$900K for a house in Sunset Park? Goodbye average joe. Hello Starbucks target market.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 10:51 AM
LOL. oh man i just posted on the wrong one. I posted on last years instead :p.
anyway i think clinton hill, prospect heights, greenwood heights, long island city. will continue to gentrify and add value.
services are being added at the moment in those area's and have more amenities.
places that would go down are bed-stuy, bushwick(not lol"east williamsburg" part of bed-stuy) they lack amenities.
sunset park(too many immigrants buying into area for american type of gentrification, they have their own stores and so on)
red hook no subway and huge projects around the corner. so short term it sucks, but long term they could be full of rich folks, its isolated and perfect for people who could afford drivers or cars but thats probably decades away.
its near enough to all the nice areas.
hmm thats about it for me :p.
Posted by: armchair_warrior at December 28, 2006 10:53 AM
I believe that the area between grand and franklin on the bed-stuy/clinton hill border, will continue to improve. it has already changed so much in the past three years it will continue to do so. the building on franklin ave. is intense as are the increases in new business. a new bakery one day,a boutique the next. amazing revitilization.
Posted by: kay at December 28, 2006 10:54 AM
If the new housing resulting from AY is actually decent, then the nearby brownstone alternatives won't have as much appeal.
If the new housing resulting from AY sucks (and it probably will), then no one will want to live near it.
Of course there's the differentiated housing stock argument. I guess we can always seek consolation in that when we see the Fedders sign appear next door.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 11:18 AM
Should never short in housing(not even sure how one does that)....and it all (NYC)goes up together, goes down together or stays same together.
Maybe with some good press and buzz one neighborhood may be all the talk and generate more than its share of interest - and as last years buzz fades about another will weaken to norm.
And if a slew of new buildings open in one area - it can make it appear from misused stats that sale prices are 'up 25%'. But existing stock will follow citywide trends with slight variances.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 11:34 AM
When in the history of New York has a big residential development made surrounding property values go down? I don't mean that faceitously; I'm just curious if anyone has historical examples. It seems to me that, regardless whether you like or hate the AY plans, it's hard to believe that surrounding property values will actually go down, especially given that the development is, for the most part, being built over the rail yards, which are a crappy area now.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 11:40 AM
I disagree with 11.18am. While there may be some overlap in the pool of potential buyers of brownstones and highrise luxury condos, for the most part they are different markets of people looking for different types of accomodation. Even if the AY development is not all it is cracked up to be (a real possibility), lackluster residential units there is not going to be any worse than the desolate, pretty much deserted stretch of railyards it is now.
I'm not a big fan of the AY development, though I do not agree that it will inevitably depress brownstone brooklyn property values. In fact, I think it will ultimately do the opposite and will accelerate gentrification (and resulting displacement of lower income folks in the surrounding brownstone neighborhoods), which is ironic and sad considering ACORN's position that it will be a win for lower income residents.
I don't want to get this thread off topic and make it all about AY (hard not to mention, I know, since it is something that will have an impact on the long/short discussion).
I doubt that many who read and post here are in any RE investment for the short term (read: flipper), so I think a previous poster's comment re where you would invest for long term growth is probably the most relevant question now.
Posted by: lp at December 28, 2006 11:56 AM
When thinking about long-term growth, and the Fedders & AY factors, it might be good to think about which neighborhoods will attract more and more of those developments. Like pertaining to that, look at South Slope. In 2007 and beyond, I think South Slope prices will continue going up because amentities are creeping further south down 5th avenue all the time. BUT South Slope houses are teeny and many of them completely lacking in detail. (Though they can be cute with extensive renos) Even Sunset Park offers houses that are bigger and better. The South Slope houses take a lot of money to be renovated, having served as low income apartments for many many years. Unlike other neighborhoods where a greater number of houses remained one-family homes (BS, Bay Ridge, PLG, CH).
Yet despite this, in South Slope there aren't any houses to be had for under a million. Even if you buy one for that, it's going to be so rundown you put $200-400K into it. But it can seem to some these houses should still be under-a-million including the cost of renos, because the blocks are spotted with hideous buildings and blight in between the updated houses. It doesn't "feel" much improved there. And yet the proximity to Park Slope is a huge plus and 5th Ave amenities are getting better all the time. Anyway after all my babbling here's my long long range prediction: sadly, I keep thinking South Slope blocks will be comprised of nearly all new condo buildings 10 years from now. Like whatever doesn't sell to someone wealthy enough to improve the house greatly, will get sold to developers. And it would stink to be a cute little South Slope house (or row of houses) sandwiched between big condo buildings.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 11:58 AM
11:40: That's easy...housing projects. Projects are notorious for driving down property values.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 11:59 AM
As Park Slope and Carroll Gardens continue to spread into the Gowanus, and are almost now touching, I think we will find a lot of development in Gowanus. The AY decision wil probably accelerate this. Now its a vialble investment to spend the money to clean up those brownfield sites, Whole Foods is a great examlpe. I guess it will mostly be renovating the exisiting warehouses into condo's, and a lotof new construction a la Willamsburg condo style. Suddenly the West 9th Street stop never seemed so hip.
Posted by: anon at December 28, 2006 12:00 PM
My point in my last post discussing 11.18's comment is that if AY's housing "sucks", I do not think that it will mean no one will want to live near it. People currently want to live near the hole in the ground that is the rail yards and pay a pretty penny to do so.
If the residential units are nice, then you live in a 19th century brownstone nabe near nice modern residential towers (the towers might not be your cup of tea, but I don't think it will detract from you prop value necessarily - location specific circumstances will dictate that ultimately).
Posted by: lp at December 28, 2006 12:00 PM
I think we might as well all believe that Atlantic Yards will be a good thing becuase it's going to be rammed down our throats regardless.
The battle to stop AY is lost. It's now time to deceive ourselves about its consequences.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 12:06 PM
I just think people still need to think more about location and be more measured in their analysis of AY and its effects based on the location of any property they are interested in. I think the all up or all down arguments might be too simplistic when thinking about AY's and its affect on property values in the future. It is difficult to be dispassionate and measured, though, since the development does strike an emotional chord in most who live in brownstone brooklyn.
Posted by: lp at December 28, 2006 12:09 PM
11:59: Which housing projects. Yes, there are projects in crappy areas where prices are cheap. But there are also projects in areas where the surrounding areas are very pricy (Peter Cooper, UWS, Bleeker/Mercer, etc.). I have never heard of any examples where a project has been put up in a desirable neighborhood (e.g., PH, FG) that has resulted in the property values actually going down.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 12:13 PM
I second Brownstoner's prediction about neighborhoods around Prospect Park - Windsor Terrace, Lefferts Gardens, Prospect Park South, North Coney Island Ave (Kensington?). Good transport, good housing, great park.
Posted by: Gary at December 28, 2006 12:24 PM
Projects located in a desireable neighborhood do not make the values of surrounding houses/buildings go down. I've never seen that.
However projects in a blighted neighborhood that's isolated or more distant from an upscale area (I'm thinking of an area of Minneapolis I saw) will keep that neighborhood down for a while. It makes it slow to improve a neighborhood. Not impossible, but slow.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 12:31 PM
"rojects located in a desireable neighborhood do not make the values of surrounding houses/buildings go down. I've never seen that."
I lived on CPW and 100'th street. The Public housing projects north of 100'th street were a drag on the neighborhood and prevented the gentrification of Manhattan Avenue and hurt the value of Park West Village to the south of the projects. And there is a police precinct on 100'th st.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 12:42 PM
Didn't that whole area of Manhattan experience general decline in the 1970's to 1990's, though 12:42? I think what was being said was when a neighborhood was already very desireable and fashionable and on an upswing, bringing in projects didn't drag it down. And why is anyone talking about "projects" with regard to AY anyway? From everything I've read and heard, the "affordable" units at AY will be for middle-class not low-income people. They'll cost too much for low-income families.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 12:47 PM
Something that I think needs to be looked into is the subway transportation glut that AY will bring about. Won't the fact that all those new AY residents will be piling on to the trains that go through AY (which is quite a few) and make the morning commute that much more miserable...won't that affect people wanting to live out here? The trains are already over-crowded as is...
Posted by: Anon at December 28, 2006 12:50 PM
so much talk about AY, which will not be completed for several years. What are the predictions for 2007.
AY is not the only new project in the works. stay focused.
Posted by: jake at December 28, 2006 1:13 PM
PLG should continue to rise. Look for prices on houses surrounding the Lefferts Manor historic district in PLG to go up or at the least not fall (I think prices have peaked in the manor itself). Condo prices on Ocean Avenue in PLG should also rise as many of those buildings are renovating and more wealthy folk follow the wealthy folk who have already moved in (the change in demographic of these buildings has been startling).
Ditmas and Beverly Square West will continue to rise. Cortelyou is slated for a major makeover (historic lighting, benches etc.) some of whic has already taken place. The commercial rebirth there is not limited to "one good restaurant" despite what an earlier poster says (there's Vox Pop cafe/bookstore/concert space, Cinco de Mayo, Picket Fence, the fancy restaurant next door and more coming). The local PS (139) on Argyle is on the rise with an effective new principal, magnet status and two mini-schools with parent involvement (PS 139 is a good choice for PLG residents as well). The local merchants association is headed by former senate candidate Sander Hicks and seems likely to get a lot done and the neighborhood has strong block associations (and no, I don't live there).
I agree that Crown Heights will continue to rise as well.
Posted by: anon at December 28, 2006 1:28 PM
Re 9:46 a.m.: I'm a bit doubtful about the area of Bed-Stuy around Classon and Franklin. Deeper into the neighborhood is where the more beautiful homes are, around Lewis and Stuyvesant Avenues.
---------------------------------------------
PAY ATTENTION: Bed-Stuy! Bed-Stuy! Bed-Stuy! From Classon to Saratoga, DeKalb to Fulton. There are beautiful homes all over. Always have been. The amenities have been slower in coming, but they are. I've not been wrong yet.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 1:38 PM
West 9th street should appreciate with the whole foods and other projects in the gowanus area
Posted by: hola at December 28, 2006 1:38 PM
Looks like DDDB supporters are trying to hijack another board. Just ignore them and stay on topic. Picks for 2007!
Long - "brownstone Bed-Stuy" (great housing stock in brownstone belt next to Fulton Street between CH and SH, and excellent transportation), Crown Heights North (great housing stock, activist community, good transportation and future landmark designation), Prospect Heights (AY hysteria will produce great deals), Sunset Park (relative ease in gentrifying non-black minority community, good food and increasing amenities) and Stuyvesant Heights (great housing stock, stable middle class nabe with long time residents, clean/well kept blocks and transportation - A express).
Short - "fringe Bed-Stuy" (area far north and close to Williamsburg and far east and close to Brownsville - pocket of crime and poverty too entrenched to see any meaningful improvements this decade), Bushwick (all broker hype, dark and dreary), Greenpoint (poor transportation, lacking amenities and condo overdevelopment), South Park Slope (becoming Fedders Town), Williamsburg (too many crappy/cheesy condo developments on one end and an ever expanding Warsaw ghetto on the other - yuck).
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 2:30 PM
It looks like the hypsters from Williamsburg are moving into Bushwick, so this area is headed for a change. Looks like more rapid migration than anywhere else of new residents totally different than existing.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 2:39 PM
To 12:50 PM re the subways overcrowding. This is the kind of thing that opponents of AY were trying to emphasize - thousands of new residents and sports fans with no additional transit infrastructure - Ratner was/is going to give free metrocards to people going to events at AY - that will really help - it is sad that the community didn't react quicker so that this could have been prevented or scaled back. I live in PH and am really depressed about the whole thing.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 2:44 PM
I'm someone who was defending the neighborhoods around AY, saying their values would not go down due to AY. But I don't work for Ratner; I'm against AY in general, I think it was a sham and a shame the way that development has been shoved down our throats. I certainly think transportation in Brooklyn will be a joke after AY is built. But I don't believe Fort Greene or PH values will go down because nothing in Brooklyn is going to be going down. The NYC population is growing and growing. Plain simple fact that means prices will always go up, just more slowly in some periods perhaps.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 2:48 PM
Man, when people start talking about how we CAN'T lose money and property values CAN'T go down, that's when you know the sh*t's about to hit the fan.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 3:05 PM
First, AY is not a housing project so the comparison is stupid. To the contrary, AY will be primarily luxury housing and produce instant gentrification for most of Brownstone Brooklyn east of Flatbush Avenue. If anything it will produce black and lower income displacement which is sad and unfortunate. On the flip side, it will attract a slew of high income families, new shops and businesses to the area, all of which will further drive up propery values.
Second, the day that they start to build NEW brownstones, limestones and federal brick townshouses full of details is the day I start worrying about property values in Brownstone Brooklyn. These homes will always be in high demand. Further, since most new developments are aparment building condos, as the city becomes more overpopulated and apartments become smaller, the truly urban rich will be primarily concerned with square footage and the ultimate trophy prize - owning a single family townhouse in the heart of Manhattan or Brownstone Brooklyn. Remember, Wall Street is just minutes away and Brooklyn is no longer the anathema it used to be but rather HOT HOT HOT!!!
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 3:20 PM
The southern part of park slope and "south slope" (from 9th street south to 15/16th street and above 5th ave.) will become increasignly more attractive when AY gears up. There are brownstones and nice frames, train access, good school zone, the park and the commercial offerings are much more mom and pop. The builidng of AY and inevitable "Manhattanization" of downtown Brooklyn and the areas surrounding AY will make this area really appealing.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 3:23 PM
shhhhhh..... BAY RIDGE
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 3:29 PM
Re 3:20 Post - You, sir, are a sage beyond measure.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 3:29 PM
Sir? I'm a woman. Thank you very much! ;-)
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 3:34 PM
Brownstoner owners, you have nothing to fear.
Suppose a large meteorite crashes into Brooklyn tomorrow, destroying everything. Not to worry. You'd have merely to sit back and watch as your brownstones rebuild themselves.
Suppose that 90% of the population of the earth is wiped out tomorrow by a plague. Don't sweat it! The remaining ten percent will be willing to spend 100% more to live in brownstone Brooklyn.
There is absolutely nothing under the sun that can negatively impact brownstone values. Absolutely nothing. Ever.
All the talk you hear about "gentrification" in Brooklyn...don't buy a word of it; for it suggests that there was a time when brownstone Brooklyn was not gentrified. There was no such time. It is merely an urban myth. Property values have always soared in Brooklyn. They cannot do anything else. They are not affected by the local, state or national economies. Their value will always be on the rise and this cannot be changed by anything.
It's a good day to live in Brooklyn!
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 3:42 PM
Anon 3:42pm,
Hell has no fury like a renter scorned....
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 3:46 PM
I can't understand why Downtown Brooklyn isn't more popular (in + around fulton St.). It reminds me of Soho + Tribeca in the 1970s. At night it's just dead. There are a lot of large buildings that look like they'd be great loft conversions. It's centrally located and is surrouned by neighborhoods (Brooklyn Heights, Carroll Gardens Boerum Hill, Dumbo) which have appreciated incredibly over the past 20 years.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 3:47 PM
Long: carpet baggers
Short: middle class
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 3:53 PM
To anon 3:20 PM and AY as luxury housing. Given the environment - endless traffic jams, riff raff types heading to sporting events, fast food and chain restaurants and bars cater to them, poor people in the 'afforable units' - when you put it all together is this the kind of place one would seek luxury housing. Are traffic and noise selling points in units where you always have to have your windows closed. Are chucky cheese and wing joints what draws the well heeled? What are they thinking? Have never understood who was going to live in the apts other than the affordable ones.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 3:54 PM
3:54: probably same types who've bought in One Hanson and the Smith St. condos across Atlantic. It's the same area and likely the same price range, right?
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 3:58 PM
To 3:51:
I think the idea is that those who rent will not be able to profit from the inevitable and unalterable rise in property values hilariously described by 3:42. Consequently, the author of 3:42 and the rest of us who own property in Brooklyn can expect to be resented by renters. Guess that makes them both renters and resenters...lol
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 3:59 PM
I can only speak for myself and other house-hunters I know, but I don't think ANY "new" areas will be hot. In these uncertain times, when the market is still very much in flux, I'd only put money into a sure thing. The people I know looking for places have all ruled out any "fringe" areas, including those near the park. Betting on gentrification is way too risky right now. So I'd bet that the hot areas of '06 will continue to be hot, and all the others will slump.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 4:00 PM
You're right anonymous 3:54.
If there's is one thing that has been proved over the years, it's that New Yorkers don't like to live in high rise buildings in heavily trafficked, commercial area. PS, given the developer's plan for AY, the same people who will be living in the "affordable" apartments would be considered wealthy by IRS.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 4:04 PM
Sure Thing: The remaining HOT areas plus Bed Stuy..
Dont know: Sunset Park...There seem to be many illegal chinese mulit-family dwellings for it to really come up.
Again, air on the side of caution this year...dont know what the market has in store for us..especially with the inverted yield curve...I would say to sit tight and stay away from a huge amount of Risk this year.
Posted by: wondering at December 28, 2006 4:08 PM
When AY opponents had a glimmer of hope they argued that AY had too much luxury units, not enough affordable housing and thus should be stopped. Now that AY appears to be a foregone conclusion, they are now arguing that the affordable housing component will be a drag on the development and a negative to surrounding communities. You people are unbelievable!!! Do you want affordable housing or not?!?! This is why DDDB and their supporters lost the AY fight; they could never get their story straight.
The above comment by 3:54pm just goes to show you that it's always been about the arena and the luxury housing angle was but a ruse. Why not just attack the arena? Can't because Ratner outfoxed DDDB and as it turns out Brooklynites want the Nets!!
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 4:16 PM
I think the big old grand 20's buildings south of prospect park on and around ocean avenue. Every area around it has started to go, and I predict its next. Those super grand elegant huge apartments have me salivating!
Posted by: anonymous at December 28, 2006 4:17 PM
I don't understand all of the ballyhoo with respect to the arena. It's tucked away on the periphery of brownstone Brooklyn, on a commercial strip (which was upzoned for high density development) and at the corner of two major thruways. The hysteria of AY, the arena and falling real estate prices was put forth by DDDB for the sole purpose of scaring nearby residents into opposing the project. Now that this tactic has failed can we please move on and focus on Brooklyn's very bright future?
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 4:42 PM
And PH rez at 2:44pm, you sound unstable and on the brink of an emotional meltdown. If AY has you so depressed before construction, it's going to kill you later. My solution would be to sell and allow someone else who wants to live in post-AY downtown Brooklyn enjoy your PH home. I'm sure you have enough equity that you can afford someone place really nice in a less densely populated area. The buyer of your property? Well he or she will make out like a bandit in five to ten years. You, on the other hand, will have peace of mind. You can't put a dollar value on that.....
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 4:44 PM
Anon 3:58 -- I heard that Hanson Place and the Smith St. condos (particularly Hanson) are struggling. Rumor is that prices at Hanson will come down after the new year due to that fact.
Target, Chuck e cheese, all those retailers don't appeal to ppl who can afford Hanson place prices. Think about the train/bus station in anytown USA --generally where the homeless and crazy hang out and the flatbush LIRR/subway station right outside Hanson place's front door is no different.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 5:03 PM
Don't worry. Most of the homeless crazies will get run over by the ridiculous traffic. How many posters have ever tried crossing Atlantic at 4th Avenue?
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 5:11 PM
I agree that "the sky is falling" rhetoric is DDDB propaganda intended to scare people into opposing AY. Clearly, it has failed. The AY will put the area on the map and have a resoundingly positive effect on property values.
Let me save the unhinged DDDB cult members the trouble: "It's nice to see Ratner's paid PR flacks posting on this site."
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 5:13 PM
Dear 4:44 - I am honored that out of 67 posts you chose mine to respond to. Having lived here through blackouts, car theft, muggings, the murder of Amy Watkins, the Rodney King and Yusef Hawkins unrest, the Crown Heights riots, and various other bad things I will probably survive this, but it is very sad to see our unique neighborhood destroyed for the sake of a money grubbing developer.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 5:27 PM
1:28 - Is PS 139 aka The Caton School?
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 5:54 PM
5:23 - Ooooooh - I'm all shook up! So, when I come down, who do I ask for?
Posted by: stone cold terrified at December 28, 2006 5:55 PM
3:05 and 3:42, dude, get real. You can't be back here once again trying to drive the property values down in Brooklyn single-handedly. Those discussions of this past Fall are over. Why? Everyone finally saw the big crash isn't coming. Economists announced it wasn't coming. On top of that, experts predict a huge increase in NYC residents over the next couple decades. Huge. So where do those new residents live? Also consider one of the biggest real estate firms in the city is getting ready to announce their profits in 2006 - and despite the market softening starting this past Spring, their profits were double in 2006 than what they were in 2005 which was the height of the bubble. Also, realtors have noticed there was no slowdown over the holidays in buyers looking at properties, this year. It stayed active. So give it a rest.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 5:59 PM
"1:28 - Is PS 139 aka The Caton School?"
Not that I know of - it's the Alexine Fenty school - see below:
http://www.insideschools.org/fs/school_profile.php?id=612
Posted by: anon at December 28, 2006 6:11 PM
Which one of the "biggest real estate" firms would you mean, Anon 5:59? A developer, owner, or broker? If you're thinking of NRT (owner of Corcoran, Citi Habitats, Sotheby's, et al), they may not be releasing anything, because they've just been bought by Apollo Real Estate and are now a private company -- so nobody needs to know anymore how well (or not) they're doing -- and I imagine it's more that they're doing very (obscenely) well than not.
Posted by: babs at December 28, 2006 6:43 PM
I think prices have gone up pretty high in Clinton Hill/Better Bed Stuy and schools and services need to improve for further growth.
Meanwhile, places like Brooklyn Heights has lagged Cobble Hill and the North Slope in growth but that will change with the improved PS8 there.
Carroll Gardens still hot for brownstones (not condos) and Carroll Gardens West still hot (again bcs of the school zones)
It's all about schools now.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 8:00 PM
Bay Ridge Has the schools .
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 9:10 PM
I think that it is finally Ditmas' time--there are many positive things going on out there. Recently went to an Open House and a community event at PS 217 over on Westminster and Newkirk and was really impressed--would definitely not think twice about sending my child to school there.
Posted by: anonymous at December 28, 2006 9:38 PM
5:23
I'll be there. i'll talk to you real good.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 10:30 PM
"1:28 - Is PS 139 aka The Caton School?
The Caton School is PS 249 which is located in Prospect Park South. It looks like a good school, but not very diverse.
http://www.insideschools.org/fs/school_profile.php?id=490
Posted by: Anonymous at December 28, 2006 11:02 PM
Clinton Hill and Fort Greene public schools are actually getting better due to parent involvement. I say Clinton Hill will continue to go up in price in the long term, and the Prospect Heights/Crown Heights border due to conversion and development.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 12:26 AM
I think most of Crown Heights North and Bed Stuy between Franklin and Throop, Fulton and Greene will see a huge influx of new buyers. I also think the better rowhouse blocks of Bushwick and East Flatbush are going to start seeing more gentrifying moves, as will the non-Hasidic parts of Crown Heights South. Frankly, I really think anywhere there are groups of nice looking, intact row houses, there will be lookers and buyers who have never been to that particular part of Bklyn before. As someone is always saying, they are not building anymore brownstones. The search for a period home will take people wherever it takes them, and if the price is right, many will buy, and figure out schools, amenities and other issues later. I am talking about people primarily interested in a long term home, not those with a quick resale investment in mind.
I think Williamsburg and downtown Bklyn is going to see a big slump, due to a condo glut, and in general, I don't see many of the new fugly multi-family Fedders buildings doing too well, and predict many of them, especially on so-so blocks, will end up as rentals.
I think any developer who comes up with well designed, quality built, middle income housing will be a civic hero, as well as a rich man/woman, no matter where this housing is, but especially if it is in the Clinton Hill/Bed Stuy/Crown Heights/Prospect Heights areas.
Posted by: Brower Park at December 29, 2006 12:28 AM
Everyone, just so you know, I did not make the post at 12:28AM. My handle was hijacked.
Posted by: Brower Park at December 29, 2006 5:55 AM
Browner Park--I disagree with you about downtown Brooklyn. The numerous subways and new condos should bring in a lot of new residents, especially from Manhattan, which will bring in more development, which will bring in more residents. You can argue whether this is good or bad for downtown, but I think it will begin to happen starting next year.
Posted by: JD at December 29, 2006 10:30 AM
I can see a building like the Board of Ed condos doing well, because of its history and location, and the fact that people like the cachet of living in a historied building. But all of the other buildings going up along Atlantic and on or near Smith, along with DUMBO condos, not all that far away.....I dunno. Seems like way too much. Not to mention its not like they aren't building anything in Manhattan. I work in NoHo, and just in that area, on down the Bowery, on Houston, and towards the Lower East Side, there are (luxury) buildings going up everywhere. That's just on small part of Manhattan. I still don't get where all these buyers are coming from, but what do I know, I'm just an observer, not a player in this vast real estate game.
Posted by: Brower Park at December 29, 2006 10:50 AM
windsor terrace
Posted by: rbk at December 29, 2006 10:53 AM
J.D., I actually agree with you (and disagree with my shadow) about this. The people who worry about the fate of downtown have legitimate concerns, some of which I share. However, all things considered, I think the future looks bright for downtown. Yes, there will be problems. Yes, mistakes are sure to be made. But we have to bear in mind that the current situation is pretty rotten. A change, in my opinion, can only be a good thing.
Posted by: Brower Park at December 29, 2006 10:55 AM
There is nothing wrong with downtown Brooklyn that the market won't take care of itself. Obviously it is doing quite well, store rents are among the highest in the city, and when a store can't cut it, it goes out of business, just like anywhere else. The stores may not be your cup of tea, but they obviously work for many. The only thing rotten I see is your elitist attitude, not to mention your identity poaching.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 11:02 AM
I think Stuy Heights still has a ways to go. Great housing stock, good community. If we were looking I would focus there.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 11:04 AM
I agree that South of Prospect Park will take off. With all the new restaurants nearby (the farm on adderly, endura in PLG) and the great access to transportation (Q and B), I can't see why this area hasn't already happened.
Posted by: j park at December 29, 2006 12:28 PM
I agree with the folks who have pointed out the aggregate demographic trends in NYC. The population of NYC is supposed to be 9 million in a couple of decades and those folks has to live somewhere. As some have previously mentioned, housing stock quality, space and transit access will remain key factors in determining a neighborhood's short and/or long term future.
For 2007, short any neighborhood with an overabundance of condos going up. I think the market's going to lag for a year or two and apartments will fare worse that houses in a slower market. It’s just a hunch..
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 12:40 PM
"I could tell you why PLG hasn't happened, but out of respect for Mr. B and because I don't want to be branded a troll, I won't."
Thank you for your restraint :-).
I live in PLG, however, and it is undeniably already going through rapid change in terms of the people moving in (i.e. whiter, younger and wealthier).
Posted by: anon at December 29, 2006 12:54 PM
Anon at 12:54, do you own or rent?
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 1:16 PM
the border of clinton hill/bed stuy...westbed.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 1:24 PM
anon at 1:24, you can be sure that the area on the edge of clinton hill/bedstuy will continue to increase in value and feel more like clinton hill/fg-it reminds me of those neighborhoods less than 7 years ago. walk 5 minutes and you're in the heart of clinton hill.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 1:35 PM
Just remember people considered 5th Avenue in Park Slope a blighted dump not too many years ago. 'Nuff said!
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 2:00 PM
G train doesn't go to Manhattan. That's a big negative for certain areas of Clinton Hill and Bed Stuy.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 2:33 PM
It doesn't Matter that the G doesn't go to Manhattan. From Some points in Bed-Stuy, the quick change at Court St. in queens from the G to the E/V gets you to midtown manhattan in 20 minutes.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 2:37 PM
man, all this talk of park slope melding into gowanus kind of makes me sick. All the 'hoods of brooklyn are just smashing together, pushing out the residents so some more rich white people can come in and take ove.r btw, i'm white. just noticing that there is NOWHERE affordable to live - in terms of neighborhoods already gentrified. i am too old to pioneer and don't want to. i don't want to push out anyone else. is this just a brooklyn problem? feels like it.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 2:56 PM
Anon 11:02, the Caton School (on Marlborough Road) has been our neighbor for 20 years, and remains mired in the old Board of Ed culture, although there are obviously some folks trying their best there. One plus for Windsor Terrace/Greenwood Heights will be the coming revival of Holy Name School, an old-fashioned Catholic school slated for an excellence makeover by an ambitious private foundation and a $4K-a-year alternative to the private-school rat race.
As for Flatbush and environs south of Prospect Park, we're right on the spot where the terminal moraine halted the great glacier of the Ice Age, and gentrification has followed this pattern through repeated cycles. Can't say I'm totally sorry about that, since our house prices have achieved very silly heights even without a proximate Starbucks or sun-dried-tomato emporium!
Posted by: Brenda from Flatbush at December 29, 2006 3:40 PM
"the quick change at Court St. in queens from the G to the E/V gets you to midtown manhattan in 20 minute"
You call that a quick change? Are you being serious?
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 4:19 PM
If it makes you feel better, 2:56pm, yes it's happening in other cities. In Minneapolis when I was back there a couple years ago I could not BELIEVE the prices for downtown lofts, and for older houses in the metro area. Downtown prices there approach NYC prices believe it or not. Also Seattle got really high for the cool, historic areas. So did Atlanta. I think the general trend of people migrating back inside cities from the suburbs, due to insanely congested freeways, is driving up prices everywhere for in-town properties.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 4:20 PM
The other thing to contemplate with the Atlantic Yards is the need for the developer to sell units there. That will mean a big marketing campaign, his need in a falling market to underprice all competition to make his units move (FCR will effectively control the market's prices when they dump so many thousands of units on the market), and also their need to market themselves as different housing stock than what you or I might be selling with a resale. Also if he thinks that the market is going to get rough Ratner will have to throw in other ammenities to get his units moving. Sure the older housing stock is better looking than most new stuff. But Ratner is going to have to do whatever it takes to move units and he will price accordingly and market accordingly and if that means using his PR BS to make our neighborhoods less good, less safe, less prestigious, whatever that evil little man will do it. So it's all well and fine to sit back and look at the equity you've built up and think you are safe from market forces. That is only true if you don't have to see in a market that is controlled by somebody who is sitting on a goldmine that he bought for much, much less than market rate and is totally subsidized by NYS taxpayers in the form of bonds and other incentives for him. You just cannot compete against that. Sorry.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 7:38 PM
7:51, you're either joking or your out of your mind. The value of my brownstone dropped by about 10% in the last year. Yes, it is still almost 50% higher than it was 5 years ago, and yes I imagine it will increase sometime in the future. But it sure as hell has and can depreciate.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 8:23 PM
sorry , bad math. at 8:23 I meant to say that it my brownstone is worth almost double what it was 5 years ago. But I was right that is has depreciated by about 10% in the last year.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 8:28 PM
Is there a reason why so many readers on this site hate Williamsburg so much?
Posted by: Anonymous at December 29, 2006 10:04 PM
So DON'T buy a brownstone then, 7:51. Give it a rest.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 30, 2006 2:42 AM
10:04, I'm a 40 something native Brooklynite who never understood why Williamsburg took off the way it did. I thought it was ugly (still do) much the same as 6:46am. But interestly enough, I find myself more comfortable in Williamsburg these days than Park Slope, where I lived and owned for many years. My guess is that people on this board are middle aged (like me) and prefer quiet, tree lined streets (like me). The reason I'm drawn to Williamsburg now is because I associate more with the bohemian artist lifestyle than that of a yuppy breeder. (No offense to yuppy breeders) Parts of brownstone Brooklyn (Park Slope) were once cool, but the more Brooklyn becomes like the suburbs, the more appeal Williamsburg will have to people like me. Disclosure: I'm in Bed Stuy now. Pretty AND urban.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 30, 2006 9:16 AM
as much as i love dissing billyburg...i must say its a more pleasant place to hang than the stroller crazy park slope, etc...so basically wb & parts of red hook are fine to hang out, but i wouldnt want to live there
Posted by: willy at December 30, 2006 9:40 AM
I think Brooklyn, is the next Manhattan. Say bye bye to the middle class..
NYC is becoming a city for the Rich..
Posted by: Anonymous at December 30, 2006 10:53 AM
Double wide baby carriages? I believe the correct term for those is "bugaboos"...
Posted by: Anonymous at December 30, 2006 11:47 AM
Ugh...pardon me while I slit my wrists.
Posted by: Please, no at December 30, 2006 11:55 AM
Same here with me, "Stroller City" makes me ill. What a huge turnoff those women are. We're trying to have a child ourselves, and I'm like "slap me if I become like that." The thing that baffles me is I know plenty of very good mothers whose children turned out marvelously, who were not uptight, obsessive mommies like that. It's not like there are no options for mothering styles. There are plenty. I'm very curious to see how the children of these women turn out. Not sure I want my child going to school with them though! I'd rather be in a hardworking, grounded, middle and working class area, where kids grow up with a grasp on reality.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 30, 2006 12:57 PM
The only thing I associate with Park Slope anymore is the stench of soiled diapers.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 30, 2006 2:10 PM
there's no question that the best neighborhood in Brooklyn and nyc is Ft. Greene with its mix of peoples, culture, unchanging historic architecture.
its values will continue to rise.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 30, 2006 2:44 PM
time for wannabe hispters to quit whining and mother's and their children children.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 30, 2006 4:33 PM
Enough with the bs woman hating on this board. I'm sick of it. Of course your mothers were all madonnas and today's moms are just in your way while you are picking up your lattes. Fathers btw, don't factor in to these posts, funny that. Guess your dads weren't all that and you don't see any dads slowing you down over at Starbucks folks.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 30, 2006 11:08 PM
"What you see in Park Slope is an aberration, a weird, bourgeois, neurotic version of motherhood."
What you see in Park Slope is a bunch of whiny singles in a crowded neighborhood who hate the suburbs and yet resent parents for not moving to the suburbs the instant they had kids.
Someone care to offer a theory WHY women push double-wide baby carriages? You think it's a status symbol? That they're so roomy and capacious that one simply MUST have one even if they inconvenience others? Newsflash: the things are a pain in the ass to push, and you would only have one if you had two very young children, and then with great regrets. Maybe you have more twins in a neighborhood with more older parents (and thus more fertility treatments), but seriously, they're not actually like SUVs: people don't just get them because they think they look cool and make life convenient for themselves.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 30, 2006 11:26 PM
No one has argued that people buy "bugaboos" because they're status symbols. Did you even read the preceding posts? I'm sure people buy their "bugaboos" because they need them to transport multiple children, and that's fine; but it is NO excuse to treat other people (e.g., pedestrians) like garbage. Other people have the right to walk down the sidewalk without being treated like human refuse. The fact that one half of my DNA doesn't come from you does not make me a second class citizen. Sorry.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 12:43 AM
Bugaboos cost $900. Of course it's a status symbol, nobody say otherwise. As for the giant strollers, 99% of the time I see ONE child in them, not two, in Park Slope. Give us a break.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 3:50 AM
And 12:43 is right. The point people are making is it's the attitude not the stroller. That said, the big expensive strollers are status symbols. I have to hold to that.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 3:54 AM
1. There are just as many inconsiderate pedestrians without kids as inconsiderate pedestrians with kids. I'm constantly detouring into the street around groups of friends whose conversation is too important to interrupt by stepping aside to let me pass.
Single jerks become jerks with kids and there are plenty of both. But single jerks are not resented as a symbol of a culture that gives EVERYTHING to people with kids and treats childless like SECOND CLASS CITIZENS and its NOT FAIR NOT FAIR NOT FAIR and when will my mom stop ASKING ME FOR GRANDCHILDREN and go away breeders I'm SICK OF YOU!
2. Bugaboo, like many stroller manufacturers, makes single and double strollers. I suspect the people using "bugaboo" as a synonym for "double stroller" derive their whole knowledge of child-rearing from reading Gawker and New York magazine trend articles.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 9:59 AM
I just copped some spinnin 22's for my bug... you know you be hatin'
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 10:03 AM
Victorian Flatbush, including Brooklyn College Area (South Midwood)- long.
New Target/Barnes and Noble scheduled to open at Flatbush Junction this year. Although some may shake their heads, this is a great economic boost for the area, and the many families (all demographics) who live here will shop there. No more shlepping to the Atlantic Center, avoiding the whole AY traffic congestion to follow.
It should be noted,however, that Victorian Flatbush does not offer many buldings with multiple units. You have to be able to afford and maintain a single family home to buy here. You can't buy a brownstone and rent out a unit to defray your mortgage. This limits the pool of potential buyers somewhat.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 10:59 AM
You can get a Graco double stroller for a fraction of the price of a Bugaboo (double or single)...
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 11:00 AM
The bugaboo stroller is the easiest to push/turn/go over curbs, etc... and, therefore, works best on city streets. It is very expensive but, not having a car and having to get around with a young child, worth the investment for many who live in an urban environment and walk everywhere instead of driving. The $700-$900 they cost is less than most suburban parents pay for the gas they use in their mini vans and SUVs in one month. I don't understand the strange resentment. I do agree that a lot of park slope parents are self involved and don't pay attention to those around them - but I agree with the earlier poster that these people were probably equally obnoxious and self absorbed before they had children. For some reason park slope seems to attract this type now. Sad. That is great deal of the reason I moved out of park slope. I didn't want my children raised like I see a lot of the parents there raising their kids - to feel entitled and all important, etc... This has little to do with the stroller they are pushing, however.
Anyway - back on topic - long any part of Victorian Flatbush. There is nothing like it for sheer beauty, commutability, diversity, etc... Short - the suburbs and over-inflated apartment stock in Park Slope toward 4th Ave, etc...
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 12:41 PM
Just to throw into the mix, i bought in The Casa Lofts (leonard and conseylea) two years ago and have predicted condo glut and decreased value for a while. Surprisingly, my apartment was just appraised for 185K more my purchase price...
Posted by: anonymous at December 31, 2006 12:56 PM
The Victorian Flatbush Neighborhoods
(Ditmas Park, Beverley Square West/East, Prospect Park Sout, Caton Park, etc..) are definitely good investments. Cortelyou Road is attracting great new business and the houses are beautiful. Most have a minimum of 10 rooms,porches, long driveways and great yard space. The Q and B train are also close by. I don't know that bargains can still be found there.
Posted by: SSB at December 31, 2006 1:37 PM
The Victorian Flatbush Neighborhoods
(Ditmas Park, Beverley Square West/East, Prospect Park Sout, Caton Park, etc..) are definitely good investments. Cortelyou Road is attracting great new business and the houses are beautiful. Most have a minimum of 10 rooms,porches, long driveways and great yard space. The Q and B train are also close by. I don't know that bargains can still be found there.
Posted by: SSB at December 31, 2006 1:38 PM
I agree that PLG and Prospect Park South will definitely be hot in '07. Prospect Park is a huge asset and most of the destinations are located "across the park" such as the Botanic Gardens, Zoo, ice skating, tennis courts, horse stables, drum circle etc. They are also on the express Q/B lines.
I really like the area around Cortelyou in Victorian Flatbush / Kensington/ Ditmas (what are the borders?), which has some good restaurants and shops....Farm on Adderley, Flatbush Food Co-op, Vox Pop, Belle and Maxie, T.B. Ackerson.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 2:05 PM
I went ont eh Victorian Flatbush house tour this year and if I am not mistaken the term "victorian flatbush" is a term used for a number of small communities. Cortelyou Road is in Beverley Square West (BSW) and is the commercial strip. Beverley Square East (BSE) I think is the eastern side of the train tracks between Cortelyou and Beverley Roads. BSW is the west of the tracks to Coney Island Avenue. I got most of this information from the brochure put together by the Flatbush Development Corp (FDC) for the tour. Ditmas Park and Ditmas Park West are around Dorchester to Newkirk and one of them is a historic district.
Posted by: SSB at December 31, 2006 2:19 PM
short - Park Slope apartments, and perhaps also townhouses, as huge inventory comes online on 4th Avenue and in the South Slope
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 2:59 PM
Right back at ya Brownnoser. A happy new year to you and yours...
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 5:13 PM
ft. greene
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 5:19 PM
AY will cause nightmarish traffic getting into Manhattan, but may also mean that don\'t have to go there as often. Imagine living and working in Brooklyn...
Meanwhile, I wouldn\'t read much into Jon Brownstoner or the din created by its claque of kooks. There\'s a lot of mindless chatter on that blog - most of it posted anonymously.
Posted by: Ed | December 30, 2006 at 08:20 PM
Posted by: Ed at December 31, 2006 6:17 PM
Ditmas Park and Victorian Flatbush have some upside left per square foot, that's for sure. Some of the best homes in the city. But just watch which block you choose, and make sure your neighbor did not convert his Victorian into a multi-family like the house on the corner of E19th and Dorchester Road. I've lived in the nabe for over 30 years and it has steadily improved but there are still some saftey issues.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 8:40 PM
Still some saftey issues? We are living in a post 9/11 world. I'll take my chances with the neighborhood thug ( whether in Victorian Flatbush, Park Slope, Bed-Sty, SoHo, etc.) over some terrorist (eco or otherwise) anyday! We live in New York for crying out loud. Everywhere has a safety issue.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 9:09 PM
I think the multicultural melting pot of racies, classes, and different mixing of peoples from around the world will suffer as the city become more gentrified.I think in a few years New York City will become something like Boston, except that it will be populated by only the rich.
Posted by: Anonymous at December 31, 2006 10:20 PM
Outlook for 2007....
SHORT EVERYTHING!!!
2007 is the year of the pig. How appropriate that the pigs will be slaughtered.
Every neighborhood will experience price declines! Its not about long/short... Its about shorter and shorter.
Posted by: DontYouSeeTheRapture? at December 31, 2006 10:32 PM
My favorite bugaboo incident in Clinton Hill: trim blonde Mama having an animated conversation on her cell phone as she aggressively pushes her bugaboo straight through the middle of an ongoing drug deal. Literally. Hands were extended to proffer and receive the goods, and she shoved the bugaboo right down the middle on her way to Choice. Dealer and customer dropped their jaws and stepped back as she careened through, apparently oblivious to the fact that both were packing heat. Now there's a portent for the future.
Posted by: Anon at January 1, 2007 7:35 AM
I will go ahead and jump on the Victorian Flatbush bandwagon. I do think it will be THE hot area in 2007, though it's plenty hot right now.
I also agree with Mr. B that parts of Crown Heights will take off.
I'm going to say I'm short on the areas around AY, even though I'm open to changing my mind about it. Some of you make interesting arguments to the effect that AY will be good (or at any rate, not bad) for property values. I agree that population density ordinarily correlates with increased property values. However, dense populations usually have the benefit of an infrastructure capable of handling such density. Such an infrastructure is largely lacking in the case of AY, and lacking to quite an unprecedented degree. I think the consequences of this could be very serious.
But again, I'm open to being persuaded otherwise and I'm not an AY basher.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 1, 2007 10:35 AM
So funny that FG is now considered a "safe bet". Only a year ago it was considered to have major quality of life problems by many on this board. Good for FG- love the neighborhood. Don't really think it changed that much -crime rate, etc..., people just got used to it being considered OK to live there. Perceptions change and things turn into safe bets.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 1, 2007 12:33 PM
I agree that PLG, Sunset Park, etc are not going to see any increases this year. Any area that did not "take off" in the 5 years of Boom certainly won't do so now that the market is shakier and people are more conservative in their investments. The people I know who are looking are all super-cautious about where and what they buy.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 1, 2007 2:40 PM
Re: Anon 9:09
In my part of Ditmas Park every New Year is celebrated with gun shots in the air - last night included. I don't think "everywhere" in NY has this kind of saftey issue. In addition, there was a crime wave in the area earlier in the year. There are now groups of cops around Newkirk and sometimes Cortelyou. You don't see this type of police presence every where in NY.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 1, 2007 4:09 PM
The whole bugaboo thing is really about some neighborhoods (Park Slope in particular) getting really crowded as local people have more expendible income (the rich pushing out the middle class), which attracts more shops in general, and as shopping and restaurant options become more plentiful and the crowds come out there is quite simply a limited amount of real estate (sidewalk space.) Maybe before people were moving up in to Westchester, LI and NJ, but now they are staying put. And so Ratner and Bloomberg and Doctoroff are betting big that what we all need is more dense living. So you single folks had better grow up and get used to families working hard to share the sidewalks. And now that I'm a parent I gotta say that as a single person I never really appreciated the hardships that older people or people struggling with the demands of taking care of children have to go through. Previously all my concerns about others was mainly expressed through charitable giving, concerns raised in the NY Times, etc. I think perhaps the fact that as adults we choose to just party or work so hard for so many years that it's hard to understand that people out there that you are sharing your sidewalks with in this city are sometimes really struggling. And I don't mean struggling to get to work in time to grab a cup of coffee and a bagel. Some of us are struggling to feed our families, some of us are struggling to get a job, some of us are struggling to make our medication last longer than it should. It's a tough city. Stop being so selfish and realize that part of the reason you live here is because it's a vibrant place and there are opportunities. Open your eyes and realize that not everybody is in your very fortunate position.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 1, 2007 4:37 PM
Increased Police presence was requested by many of the neighborhood associations in Victorian Flatbush. Spent New Years Eve in Great Neck with family. I heard gun shots. I was told by my brother that they were fire crackers. Sounded like gun shots to me though. Either of the two were not smart. All par for the course in NYC unfortunately but I wouldn't trade lving here for anywhere else at this satge in my life.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 1, 2007 6:53 PM
According to neighbors, there were numeros gunshots in my area (PLG) last night. I was visiting friends in semi-rural westchester and we heard fireworks and then the roar of the nearby stream. Woke up to total quiet and went outside to chat with the deer. Very nice way to start the year I must say. As for price prognosis, I have no idea. But I certainly hope they go back up at least to 2005 levels since I for one am ready to leave.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 1, 2007 7:36 PM
I think that there are lots of rude and/or nutty people in this city. Some of them are different than you are. Some of them have different color skin, have made different family planning decisions and are interested in different genders than you are. Why should you think that it is okay to stereotype all of one type of people just because you have experienced some rudeness on the part of people different than yourself. I would never call all Orthodox Jews rude just because one guy cut me off on Vanderbilt Ave. today. I would never call all young African Americans slobs just because I saw a guy peeing on a tree near my house the other day. This is offense behavior, sure. But that doesn't mean I should lower myself to slander and stereotype any one type of person. I think that it is because people here think it is okay to openly hate women that they do so frequently on this board. Get in touch with your own bias before you make hateful, stereotype driven remarks on the internet. Jerks come in all shapes and sizes. And I don't think that a woman who was on her cell phone pushing a stroller qualifies as anything other than that -- even if she happend to be in the middle of a drug deal. Sorry. Many people happen to be on cell phones at all sorts of inappropriate times. Does that mean that all moms with bugaboos are a certain type of person? One time I saw an Asian person talking on a cell phone in a restaurant and people were annoyed. OMG, I guess all Asian-Americans are rude like that by your reasoning??
Posted by: Anonymous at January 1, 2007 8:08 PM
Ewwwww - 9:10pm, you're a bit angry and annoying.
Posted by: Ed at January 1, 2007 11:35 PM
Does anyone know how to tell the difference between gunshots and firecrackers?
Posted by: Anonymous at January 1, 2007 11:38 PM
Yo 9:10 post...I'm trying to find a way to put this kindly. So I will talk only about my own experiences...when I am in a bad mood sometimes I smile at people on the street and then they usually smile back at me. Makes for a nicer sort of social exchange. I think there was some sort of '70's program that encouraged this sort of thing, part of the "I'm Okay, You're Okay" book's era. Much easier to pass on the warm fuzzies than assume that the evil Park Slope moms are out to getcha.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 12:02 AM
Well, I can certainly say that my encounters with the moms of PS tend not to leaving me feeling happy about the world. It's great to be a mom, but it's really not an excuse to be rude to others. Certainly it doesn't benefit the kids.
Posted by: anon at January 2, 2007 12:12 AM
11:38,
Yeah, you can tell they are gunshots if you feel pain and start bleeding right after the sound of the "pop."
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 1:33 AM
KENSINGTON...Ocean Parkway Baby Love it!
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 9:21 AM
I work in Park Slope and I have no idea what you people are talking about. There are rude people everywhere. I've never been insulted by a Park Slope mom. I think you are just tripping.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 9:47 AM
Anyone else hear New Years gun shots or semi-automatic fire after the ball dropped?
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 10:45 AM
10:08, that really stinks. To be rude to people is bad enough, but to risk hurting a small animal is really going over the line. I hope you enjoyed New Year's Eve in spite of this mutha.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 10:57 AM
The newbie gentrifciation of Brooklyn is complete when our the greatest fear is of being rundown by a yuppie mother and her bugaboo stroller.
I remember when I used to sprint home from the subway at night to avoid getting mugged and when when my car was broken into seemingly every night.
In the relative scheme of things, the bugaboo wileding moms seem very tolerable.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 11:54 AM
Hmmm. I'm confused now. I thought people were simply complaining that PS mothers are often rude. I didn't realize that someone said they were intolerable. Where was this said?
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 12:08 PM
10:08 a.m.: I agree that the mom's behavior was rude, but, I'm sorry, if you were walking your dog in such a way that you left no room to pass, you were being rude too. People constantly complain about the room strollers take up on the sidewalks--well, that goes for doggies too.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 12:40 PM
People, people, people.
This is crazy. We are lucky to live in one of the greatest cities of the world, and many of us live in perhaps one of the most beautiful neighborhoods of a pretty amazing borough. (park slope)
Please - get a grip. Why are we fighting and arguing about such unimportant stuff - strollers and "self-centered moms" and such?
Take a step back and realize how lucky most of us are to be living here, and affording the means and time to be on this blog.
The goal in life is to be happy and to be thankful for what we have. Maybe we need to step back and wake up to what that means!
Here's wishing tolerance, success, and prosperity for you and yours in 2007!
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 2:29 PM
I look for the market to remain very strong in Harlem, Lower East Side, and the staples of the West Village/Gramercy/Tribeca. Downtown will continue its strong growth also. Williamsburg will slip somewhat (saturation of inventory, prices stalling), but sales will remain brisk. Greenpoint will inch up a few spots in "heat." Dumbo will cool, Red Hook will grow cold, and the South Bronx will actually begin its rise into a red-hot 2009 or 2010.
Posted by: jbjb at January 2, 2007 2:45 PM
you people that complain about park slope moms are such pussies. i'm a early 30's single man who just recently moved to park slope and couldn't be any happier in the neighborhood. i constantly get smiles and thank you's from mothers with strollers when i hold the door for them or simply pass them on the street. i think it's your poor attitudes and apparent disgust for the neighborhood that ruins it for the rest of us. if you don't like the strollers, there are plenty of other childless hoods to move to. grow up and stop being such babies....
pun intended.
Posted by: anonymous at January 2, 2007 2:54 PM
jbjb, I agree with you that life is great and we need to take stock of the really important things.
I also agree with some of the other posters that a lot of Park Slope mothers are rude and obnoxious.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 3:15 PM
2:54, please spare us the pro-mom claptrap and accompanying milf fantasies. You're not going to get laid here.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 3:36 PM
3:36...
i'm gay, asshole.
and a new neighbor to your incredibly vibrant and beautiful neighborhood. maybe make a new years resolution to start appreciating it.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 3:58 PM
To all of the above,
Thanks for reminding me why I moved out of Brooklyn. Sometimes I forget that it was all the idiotic a-holes who made the place such a nightmare to live in.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 4:02 PM
This is so ironic to read these posts. They relate to my recent experience. I went to PLG on New Years Day, around noon. To visit the house we just bought, and meet with a kitchen installer guy. It was totally utterly quiet and peaceful, regardless of whatever shenanigans happened the night before. I passed about 5 different people walking back to the Q subway after my meeting, and all of them smiled and said "hello". One young black woman standing outside her house on her cell phone, even put down her phone for a moment to smile and say "Happy New Year" to me as I passed by. Which made about fall over in shock. My friends don't even get off their cell phones for me, much less a perfect stranger. As soon as I arrived back in Park Slope, I get off the subway and encounter a PS Mom and her stroller coming towards me. Filled with goodwill, I smile at her, intending to say "Happy New Year". But before I could, she gives me a cold look in response to my smile, passing in her stressed-out self-important hurry, that chills me into silence. So I'll say it here to all of you instead, Happy New Year!
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 4:08 PM
Man, this is the best Brownstoner thread ever!
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 4:23 PM
Me again who posted at 4:08, I should add I don't think the Park Slope attitude is about being a Mom. I'm not Mom-bashing. I think it's about people not behaving like members of a community. It seems like this all feels temporary to these people. Like they think they might trade up to a place in Connecticut at some point. New residents and "gentrification" can be a great benefit to a community. But people who move to neighborhoods in Brooklyn should strive to be a good neighbor and a part of the community in how they conduct their daily lives. I totally understand why old residents hate gentrification. It can be like an invasion by aliens. My hairdresser, who is a Brooklyn native, talks about it sometimes with her older clients.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 4:24 PM
Welcome to the neighborhood Anon. 4:08/4:24. I'm confident you'll like it here, but don't be too hard on Park Slope. Although services are improving here, we still have to do a lot of our shopping across the park.
Posted by: Bob Marvin at January 2, 2007 4:35 PM
Park Slope and many other brownstone neighborhoods are filled with elitists liberals. Know it all's who think they are smarter and better then everyone else.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 4:46 PM
Agreed, Bob, we love Park Slope and its amenities! I was just relaying some of my observations of SOME people certainly not all, in PS. Since these topics were being discussed already, here.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 4:49 PM
So, nasty moms are a major quality of life issue, but gunshots are just "shenanigans." Interesting perspective. But it's true, I'd hate to live somewhere where I was constantly worried about my kids being hit by stray strollers.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 4:50 PM
It just had to happen - an attempt at a fresh new conversation about how to be neighborly somehow becomes the old, done again a million times over, debate about crime. SO predictable for Brownstoner dot com. Boring. I'm outta here.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 4:54 PM
I, the author of the 4:50 comment, really did not intend to encourage a stupid PLG=death rant. But I just couldn't ignore the idiocy of calling gunshots "shenanagins" and then going on to complain about rude behavior.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 5:27 PM
Well, 5:27, you're adept enough at ignoring your own idiocy. Why the double standard?
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 5:29 PM
Why don't you just express your concerns to the people that are bugging you instead of on an anonymous board. There are misunderstandings and honest mistakes made every day on the sidewalks of NYC. You might even make a new friend if you tried to get to know your neighbors in Park Slope or anywhere by saying hello instead of just grumbling and assuming the worst of your neighbors. I still think it's insane that moms are being singled out here. I wonder if its because people feel that woman should have better communication skills, or be more in tune with all the concerns and/or nuances of you lot as you move through life. But get real. Not every woman out there is going to be a saint. And I think you all are pathetic for calling people out on a blog instead of trying to either suck it up and be flexible and realize that you are really not the center of the universe no matter where you live and that people might just have a) not have noticed your dog. b) might have made a bad decision that they regret. or anything really. I'm a mother and the hardest thing I'm trying to do is to teach my children flexibility and to understand that other people might just be having bad days when they take your toys away on the playground...that to think of those people as, "mean," or whatever label you choose to use would mean you wouldn't ever get to be friends with that person and probably my kids would be so inflexible with their demands on the playground that they wouldn't make many friends either. So I'm sorry if this doesn't come naturally to you either. It doesn't totally come naturally to me. But if you work hard at chilling out I guarantee you will enjoy life and make more friends.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 5:35 PM
Anon at 5:35PM, you desperately need a course in elementary logic. No one in this interminable thread is defending any of the views your rejecting.
Posted by: Hmmmm at January 2, 2007 5:47 PM
I disagree. Why are they choosing this forum to bash moms in Park Slope who are struggling with strollers on busy sidewalks?
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 6:22 PM
6:22, all of the posts I've read have focused on rude behavior by PS mothers on sidewalks. No one has said that all PS mothers are guilty of such rudeness. Many PS mothers are no doubt delightful people, and no one has claimed otherwise. So, I don't know what your beef is.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 6:32 PM
5:35, you are right and the latter are wrong.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 6:42 PM
Stereotyping is pathetic. Look at the posts. They weren't talking about one incident, or some incidents. A couple of posts indicated that nice/not hostile Park Slope mothers were the exception. I don't live in Park Slope. I think it's really shallow to fall in to this type of stereotyping. It wouldn't be defended on here if we were talking about other races, genders or classes of people. What next, Asian-American drivers? African American shop clerks? Come on recognize this for what it is. Classist, sexist and childish.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 6:46 PM
Who is throwing the tantrum? Who is defending the stereotype? Why don't you explain to us what your gender is, what your race is, what type of relationship you are in, if any, where you live and what kind of job you have and I am sure any number of people on this board would be happy to provide you with an obnoxious stereotype of one of the groups you could be identified with. Stereotyping isn't a science. It's an insult.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 7:54 PM
Damn! The way you all sound...
Long: Osh Kosh & Peoria (No bugaboos, PS Moms, gunshots or fire crackers!)
No diversity, B'way plays, Off B'way plays, great eats etc..
Short: Brooklyn (Bugaboos, PS Moms, gunshots, firecrackers, diversity, great eats, etc..
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 8:40 PM
Huh? What are you talking about??
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 8:42 PM
all of those posts are clearly from one very very bored and lonely person
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 10:06 PM
Nobody should believe only those who are not mothers have had these observations about PS Moms by the way. I've heard this same complaint by women who are mothers, and even read an essay about it in New York Magazine written by a mother who lives in Park Slope. About how competitive she found fellow PS Moms to be, when interacting with them at the playground. Did anyone remember seeing that? Maybe a year or so ago? Nobody is just making this stuff up just now. It's been a pretty much accepted characteristic of the PS neighborhood for a while now, all over NYC. I didn't even know there was any question or debate about it.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 2, 2007 11:41 PM
The author of one of those NY Observer articles was none other than Lizzie Ratner, daughter of Bruce Ratner. It's become acceptable to bash Park Slope moms perhaps, but the real question should be why? Bad behavior is endemic to many people in many places. It used to be acceptable to use the N word, make "colored" people use different water fountains, schools, stores and sit in the back of the bus too.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 9:54 AM
"It's become acceptable to bash Park Slope moms perhaps, but the real question should be why?"
Umm....because they behave very badly?
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 10:18 AM
i find mothers on the upper west side where i have worked for 7 years to behave equally as bad as some of you describe about park slope moms. i've also witnessed it on the upper east side, west village and carroll gardens. i live in park slope. i don't think the question is whether or not SOME people have had bad experiences with SOME moms, but to generalize a neighborhood as you do just shows how ignorant and short-sighted you are about the remainder of this huge metropolis. get out of the neighborhood once in a while. or better yet...next time a mom in park slope is rude to you, say something to her so that perhaps in her quest to do her best to raise another human being while working full-time and taking care of a household, she may coddle to your precious little dog on the sidewalk while smiling and thanking you profusely for existing next time.
and no..i'm not a mom. nor am i looking for sex with ps moms.
Posted by: anonymous at January 3, 2007 1:25 PM
Amen.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 2:03 PM
"... but to generalize a neighborhood as you do just shows how ignorant and short-sighted you are about the remainder of this huge metropolis"
You just talked about moms on the Upper East Side, West Village and Carroll Gardens, but we're not allowed to make exactly the same observations about moms in Park Slope? Interesting. Why is that?
"..next time a mom in park slope is rude to you, say something to her so that perhaps in her quest to do her best to raise another human being.."
You know, I think I will, because if that really is her best, then she should be informed of the locations of some abortion clinics.
"...and no..i'm not a mom. nor am i looking for sex with ps moms."
Oh, it doesn't really matter. With your attitude I don't think there's much chance of your getting laid with anyone...in any neighborhood.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 2:10 PM
Well said, 2:10PM.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 2:16 PM
2:10pm is disgusting.
thanks for your comments 1:25. not everyone here is as revolting as the previous poster.
Posted by: anonymous at January 3, 2007 2:16 PM
2:10pm is disgusting.
thanks for your comments 1:25. not everyone here is as revolting as the previous poster.
Posted by: anonymous at January 3, 2007 2:17 PM
2:10,
I think you're projecting your own insecurities ;)
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 2:22 PM
Give us a break people. This whole romanticization of motherhood is so overworked. The idea that someone is immune to criticism simply because they have one or more kids is ridiculous.
What about fathers? Are they also incapable of rudeness, or is this only true of mothers?
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 2:25 PM
i am poster 1:25 and i venture to guess that many of you posting on here are men...i am as well. and i find it absolutely amazing how you can be so lacking in respect for women. i never said anyone was a saint. i have seen very little on this thread that is respectful towards women (ESPECIALLY YOU 2:30) for your blowing choad comment. why on god's green earth should a mother in park slope be respectful and kind to someone like you???? or most of you other people who clearly must project their disgust for women in person on the streets of park slope. this is quite a hypocritical bunch, if you ask me.
Posted by: anonymous at January 3, 2007 2:45 PM
2:45, the only women who've been discussed here, at least thus far, are moms in PS. I don't see how criticizing them specifically translates into a hatred or disrespect for all women. I might be tempted to think that misogyny was at work here if people were criticizing PS moms for no reason, but the reason for the criticism seems to be rude behavior, and rude behavior is a legitimate basis for criticism, is it not?
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 2:50 PM
May I ask you a question, 2:45PM?
Under what circumstances do you think it is legitimate to criticize someone?
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 2:53 PM
i do agree that rude behavior is a basis for criticism. i also believe that the comment "but a woman doesn't become a saint simply because some guy blows his choad between her legs" is far more disrespectful and unkind than anything i've heard said about ps moms thus far. talking on a cell phone, trying to get by narrow sidwalks, perhaps accidentally running into a small dog (which i have done on occassion by accident) does not warrant the kind if criticism and child-like behavior that has been posted on here. i think it's a case of stereotypes, which as a gay man, i usually find to be quite disrespectful and unkind.
Posted by: anonymous at January 3, 2007 2:56 PM
How do you know what kind of criticism is warranted by the examples of rudeness described in this thread? Were you present when the woman ran her baby carriage into the dog? Do you know how easy it was for her to see the dog, or how hard she pushed it, or how badly it hurt the dog? We know you think there's some kind of stereotyping going on here. You're only too eager to throw that accusation around. However, since you weren't present on any of these occasions, I'd like to know what justifies YOUR criticism of so many of the people who've contributed to this thread.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 3:01 PM
I'd also like to know why it isn't stereotyping when 1:25 accuses moms on the Upper East side, West Village and Carroll Gardens of rudeness.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 3:04 PM
3:01, I think he's obviously stereotyping us :)
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 3:06 PM
guess i'm just more of a glass half full kinda guy compared to most of you all. i live in park slope, come into contact with many moms...live in a building full of them. i don't automatically judge them as disrespectful or unkind on the basis of what i've heard here. i've had nothing but pleasant interactions with almost all of them, and wanted to share that side as well. just like i don't know what happened exactly in these instances, you i'm guessing don't know what it's like to be a mother raising kids in a big city. nor do i really, but i do have compassion for others and try to look on the brighter side. so what if every mom isn't ms. cleaver walking down the street...i could say the same thing for yupster girls in their 20's in this city. feel free to criticize away...i guess i just don't understand how one group can be so singled out in such a fashion. and you are doing a disservice to your own neighborhood by continuing the stereotype. maybe we'd get a more diverse crowd living in the hood, if you all weren't on here complaining about how awful all the moms in park slope are. there are people who read this post who are newcomers to our neighborhood and those who might be interested in living here, and you are doing them no favors by continuing such stereotypes.
Posted by: anonymous at January 3, 2007 3:11 PM
Going up: South Slope/Greenwood Heights (with even more new construction), nicer areas in Sunset Park (like those near Sunset Park itself), definitely Ditmas and victorian Flatbush, Gowanus particularly around upper 4th Ave. (partially due to AY), and still undervalued areas in Queens like Sunnyside, Jackson Heights, etc. which already have vibrant and active commercial areas and pretty quick commutes to Midtown.
A lot of people here seem to see Williamsburg going down, and I think it will for this year when the ridiculous overbuilding of condos comes into the market, but overall there is a lot of population pressure in that area so I would bet that it's temporary. What's really going on there is the replacing of a housing stock that was aged and inadequate for gentrification. Other areas that are still a bit marginal for gentrification, like Bed-Stuy, Crown Heights, areas to the east of Prospect Park, and most especially Bushwick (which doesn't have the fine housing stock of the others) will see sales and prices (and gentrification) stall if the economy takes a downturn, which means that the amenities that will attract gentrifiers will also not occur. Still, this will probably be relatively short term, as most of these neighborhoods are full of housing types that will never be built again.
The impact of AY is difficult to predict, but I would guess that it will cause some reshuffling of population over the next several year, as people who won't like the changes wrought by the project leave for other areas, which will in the end result in significantly elevated prices and a rather different sort of neighborhood even further removed from its former working class state. It also may, at last, spur upscaling and development in Downtown Brooklyn, although this is probably a few years off.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 3:16 PM
"just like i don't know what happened exactly in these instances, you i'm guessing don't know what it's like to be a mother raising kids in a big city."
Correct, but I'm also not criticising anyone for being a mother raiding kids in a big city, so I don't see how that's relevant.
"so what if every mom isn't ms. cleaver walking down the street..."
No one has criticised anyone for failing to be June Cleaver. So, I don't know who you're addressing here.
"i could say the same thing for yupster girls in their 20's in this city."
No one in this thread has denied that yupster girld in their 20's in this city can be criticized for various things. So, I don't know what you're getting at here.
"feel free to criticize away...i guess i just don't understand how one group can be so singled out in such a fashion."
In what fashion?
"There are people who read this post who are newcomers to our neighborhood and those who might be interested in living here, and you are doing them no favors by continuing such stereotypes."
We're painting an accurate picture of the neighborhood, warts and all. I think it's a cool enough neighborhood that it can withstand our frankness. Don't you?
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 3:18 PM
I would still like to know where this guy gets off criticizing mothers in parts of Manhattan and Carroll Gardens. He seems to be a complete hypocrite. HE can criticize these mothers (on the basis of who knows what...he hasn't actually described ANY incidents here), but no one is allowed to criticize mothers in PS--even when they can supply details. If that's not hypocrisy, then nothing is.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 3:22 PM
do indeed think it's a cool enough neighborhood to warrant such honesty. i was just adding another side to this, as my experience with ps moms has been unlike those of many other posters on here. my only real beef with the neighborhood is that it lacks the sortof diversity that it could have, but no place is perfect. i do think that places like curbed.com and other outlets who pick up articles and run with them about park slope moms has been taken to the extreme and has shed light onto a "wart" that really begins and ends with people from our own neighborhood being too overly sensitive about such a thing. perhaps i'm the one who's overly sensitive about a neighborhood that has captured my heart lately.
Posted by: anonymous at January 3, 2007 3:26 PM
You conveniently failed to mention anything about your criticisms of mothers in parts of Manhattan and Carroll Gardens. Somehow I'm not surprised.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 3:27 PM
and just to clarify, i said that i noticed moms in manhattan and carroll gardens. i never criticized any of these mothers. SOME people of any category are rude. i was making the point that if you think park slope moms are rude, then take a look in other neighborhoods. people everywhere are rude. don't just argue with someone just to argue. make an actual point and read before you speak. i have no qualms with mothers in any neighborhood because i would never lump any one group into such a confined category. that's all i'm saying.
Posted by: anonymous at January 3, 2007 3:35 PM
So far as I can tell, your "criticisms" of the posters in this thread don't amount to anything substantive. They're just longwinded ways of saying "Boooo...I don't like you...boooooo". You accuse people of saying things they never said--always a charming tactic--and then criticize them on that basis.
aren't you doing the same exact thing, 3:44? is there something "substantive" in YOUR post?????????
Posted by: anonymous at January 3, 2007 3:50 PM
Yes. The exposure of your hypocrisy.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 4:02 PM
Technically speaking, Lefferts isn't really even a neighborhood. It's more like a sort of self-directing firing range.
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 4:08 PM
I think the chord that was hit by the whole concept of the ficticious creature, "Park Slope mom," is worthy of a more substantive discussion. Today I was walking with a friend and we were both pushing strollers. We live in another nabe though. It is almost impossible for 2 strollers to be anywhere near each other on a sidewalk and not to potentially inconvenience everybody on the sidewalk going both ways. We of course went out of our way to let people by but we can't look behind us at all times, etc. Luckily we live in a nabe that is more accepting of minorities in general be they moms, or whatever, and I think that's why everybody was totally cool and was not put out by our presence. But perhaps in places like Park Slope and in Manhattan people are feeling so stressed and in such a rush that they don't understand that strollers are part of urban living and so they feel that it's okay to take that hostility out on the ficticious creature, Park Slope mom. It's just like when I'm in a store (bodega, 99 cent, dept. store, whatever) and people are just too on top of one another I go out of my way to remind myself that the problem is not the people in the store, it's the fact that the store chose to make such narrow aisles, or in some cases have no aisles that are clear. I guess I could just think everybody in the store is a jerk. And if I'm in a bad enough mood sometimes I do. But good architecture, good city planning, good design in general is usually helpful in these kinds of situations. And sidewalks with trees, dogs, strollers, garbage cans, newspaper machines are a pain for all of us. Taking it out on our neighbors is not the way to go here. Figure out what the problem is and try to fix it. Do we need Sharpton to come over and have a town hall meeting on CNN so we can all work it out?
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 7:25 PM
I'm the 7:25 post....The point I was trying to make is that it's always possible that people will assume that just because you are in their way and you didn't see them coming that they will think you are a self-righteous jerk when you are pushing a stroller that is in their way. I've seen it happen time and time again. And mainly when I'm in Park Slope or Manhattan. I think it's just the nature of a too crowded sidewalk. My husband says he never gets these kinds of attitudes from other pedestrians though. He thinks it is because people give him the, "What a great guy, he's out with the kiddies vibe." Which is a nice vibe to be getting, but is sexist isn't it?
Posted by: Anonymous at January 3, 2007 8:59 PM
I've had these experiences too, and the women were not overwhelmed or distracted, which would

Overall the market will be flat, with some further flight to quality.
Condos will suffer, there aren't enough empty nesters to take 'em all in.
I predict AY will in the end be a good thing for Prospect Heights, Park Slope. People will have to use public transportation inthat area, sorta like 57th Street in Manhattan. That may not be apparent until several years from now.
Posted by: ChuckD at December 28, 2006 9:12 AM